Pretty obvious that MSL doesn’t like Kovacevic, as he went from being our steadiest defenseman to being a professional bench warmer. I honestly don’t want to move him but it sure seems like the writing is on the wall there.
Id say the most likeliest players to move at or before the deadline will be Kovacevic, Monahan, Savard, and Allen.
Kovacevic should be worth a 2nd or 3rd, cheap depth and physical right hand shot defensemen are always at a premium at the deadline.
Monahan should either get a top prospect, or a first and a middle prospect from a contender. Colorado and Winnipeg are two teams that should be in the mix. I’d prefer Winnipeg as they have more top prospects in their pool.
Savard is a wildcard. IF the Habs retain 50 percent on his contract? He will get return a first round pick plus. He’s won a cup and he’s a stabilizing force on the back end. Someone will pay up to have him for two playoff runs. If the Habs don’t retain? I doubt he returns much and will probably be dealt at the 2025 trade deadline.
Allen - again a wildcard. There is a market for goalies out there but does anyone want him? I don’t think he’s done much to improve his value. Doubt he returns much.
Kovacevic, not unlike Kulak, should fetch a 2nd round pick, IMO. Signed for this year and next at 776K, he's valuable depth piece, as you say, as a RHD to boo
I'm not certain that Monahan would land a premium young attacker in a trade (a blue chip prospect), but he's definitely worth what we got for Toffoli, a late first round pick and a B prospect. I'd target a team that ion the line between making and not making the playoffs -- and looking for a quality, veteran C to make it happen -- rather than front runner for the Cup as a trade partner.
The advantage with Monahan is that, with what's left of his 2M salary come trade deadline, most teams should be able to afford him without any retention from the Habs. Many potential suitors might drive up the payday to unexpected heights for his services.
Savard is a tougher case. At his age (he is slower and slower out there on the ice, TBH, but willing to take a puckin the chicklets for the team, nonetheless, plus the younger Ds see him as their big, burly brother), he might not be as useful next season. That might force Hughes to hold back salary if Savard is moved at this trade deadline?
I wouldn't hold back salary on Savard this early. I'd rather use him most of next season to eat up more minutes that would be suicidal to a younger, less experienced D and to allow more time to mature for Mailloux, and perhaps Reinbacher, in the AHL. Holding back salary at next year's deadline, after having used up what's left of Savard's value the younger Ds, would be betters of this clause the CBA, IMO.
I really don't see Savard being worth a 1st round pick as a return, much less a 1st round pick and a prospect like we got for the Chia - rot.
I'd be ecstatic we got a 2nd round pick this year and a 3rd round pick next year for Savard, but I wouldn't hold back salary for that return since I think he'd still be worth a 2nd round pick as a rental at next year's deadline if healthy and at 50% then.
We'll be lucky to unload Allen and we'll need to hold back 50% if we do. I don't think it's worthwhile to lose a retention spot for this year and next just to move Allen for a measly return.
I'd put him on waivers and allow him a chance to find a team, even if that means zero return. I still don't think that teams will be in a position to taken his full salary before the offseason. I'd make sure he was available on waivers again at that point and, if he isn't claimed, as I dislike having salary on the books for two years due to a buyout (even if lower than the full current Cap hit), I'd bury him in the minors next year.
Allons Cap hit in the first year of a buyout would be 2,317M, followed by 776Kin the 2nd and final year.
Allen's NHL Cap hit for the lone season he would be buried in the minors, next year, would be 3.85M - 1.125M or 2.75M!
For the 408K difference, I'd rather not have the 776Kon the books the next season.
Mind you, that's a matter of stubborn principle and, since the 776K cap hitting two years likely won't have much incidence on Montreal's overall Cap situation at that point, buying out Allen might carry more goodwill across the league with onlooking players.