Anyone else feel you cant just analyze secondary assists at face value?

[WarriorofTime]

It definitely is not.

Probably the first thing scouts look at and that fans get wrong.

 

[kerrabria]

Probably the first thing scouts look at and that fans get wrong.

Probably why half the dmen drafted high nowadays are busts.

And look at the top pair Dmen on Stanley Cup champs over the past few years. How many have been defensive liabilities but great puck movers (bonus points if they aren’t goal scorers).

 

[Fitzy]

I've been arguing second assists should often be awarded on good intentional screens, as those often impact a goal more than secondar yassists and sometimes even primary ones.

Kreider would have like 15 more a season.

 

[Pablo El Perro]

Some secondary assists make the play. Some primary assists are a player bobbling a puck. Some goals just bounce off a players ass. Context matters.

 

[TheDawnOfANewTage]

Some secondary assists make the play. Some primary assists are a player bobbling a puck. Some goals just bounce off a players ass. Context matters.

Sometimes a dude stops a goal from happening at one end, and then he makes the key 3rd pass that leads to his team scoring. That’s a 2 point swing, but it might not get any points.

I think you could have some fun with statistics there, but I think the system mostly sums up the players who contribute the most to the offense.

 

[Pablo El Perro]

Sometimes a dude stops a goal from happening at one end, and then he makes the key 3rd pass that leads to his team scoring. That’s a 2 point swing, but it might not get any points.

I think you could have some fun with statistics there, but I think the system mostly sums up the players who contribute the most to the offense.

Yeah,I think downplaying this or that point is for nerds. And I'm good at maths.

 

[crazy8888]

The argument many people make is secondary assists are a lot less meaningful and showcase less skill than primary points. But imho, I think you have to specifically watch every goal to determine whether or not the secondary assist was the weaker point.

If a player briefly touched the puck while the primary point producers did everything else, then yeah the secondary assist was irrelevant. However, if the secondary assist happened due to one player keeping the puck in the zone along with excellent shielding and drawing players toward him, then dishing off an excellent pass, which results into a shot, and finally a rebound tip/deflection for a goal, then the secondary assist producer clearly did the bulk work and was the most important player in that sequence.

I do think for wingers secondary assists are more likely to not be as impactful. But for centres and especially defenseman, secondary assists can be just as important if not more than primary once you watch and analyze how the goal was created.

Not that your wrong or anything but secondary assists are really only brought up by fans in arguments about players they do not like. Their pettiness will always outweigh your logic.

 

[CycloneSweep]

Yes but it is 90% of the time harder to score a goal than getting a secondary assist. There may be some outliner secondary assist where this person beat a whole team and do a spinorama to someone who pass to someone who score. But 90% of the cases it isnt that.

Is it? A goal still needs to be scored.

 

[Jumptheshark]

once upon a time--there was no secondary assist

 

[NotCommitted]

Of course there's a lot of variance on the importance of the secondary assist on a goal and sometimes it might be the more important one, but on average that's not the case. Also while they might not be as important on average as primary assists, if someone keeps racking them up over a large sample size that tells you plays go through them a lot. I think the further away you get from the goal, which is the end result, the more important context becomes. Sometimes even a "3rd assist" can be really important but it's so far removed from the goal, on average handing them out would be silly and you'll just have to settle for the on-ice GF.

Btw. I'm too lazy to confirm this right now, but I think back in the 80s or something when I started watching hockey, they awarded 2nd assists on a case by case basis at least in IIHF international games. Would be interesting to hear if someone knows for sure? It was a long time ago and I was quite young back then. It could also be they were just delayed from someone reviewing the play and seeing if there was a 2nd assist, but not actually judging it by any criteria.

 

[pi314]

The argument against secondary assists universally comes from fans of Auston Matthews or Alex Ovechkin.

It’s so transparent.

They just want to prop up their favorite player.

Hockey goals happen from plays.

Often the least important player on a goal is the goal scorer.

This is especially true in empty net situations.

Where the real work is winning a puck battle with 1 less guy.

There is a reason guys like McDavid get a lot of secondary assists.

They make plays.

 

[666]

The argument many people make is secondary assists are a lot less meaningful and showcase less skill than primary points.

There are about 7 goals scored per game. Each scoring play probably lasts about 15 seconds. Analysing anything based on these 105 seconds of a hockey game is a bad idea.

 

[ijuka]

There's a strong correlation between secondary assists, and the puck going into the net:

Here's some secondary assist leaders (From Reddit, not sure how official):
View attachment 930614

There is correlation, but it's far weaker than that of primary assists or goals. You using "strong correlation" is completely meaningless. It's strong in comparison to blocked shots, or something. It is NOT strong in comparison to goals, primary assists, expected goals, etc.

And the measure I use is: [A player's past games' secondary assists as predictors for team goals in the current game]. I don't know which measure you use, but considering you're quoting completely irrelevant statistics that will never reach the sample size of hundreds of thousands of samples of the analysis I performed, I'll just assume you have no clue about what you're talking about.