He's going to get to 50, or really close to it.
The down season falls mostly on a crazy low shooting percentage as much, if not more, than anything else.
In terms of his shots on goal, he's been right around where it should be.
[TABLE=collapse]
[TR]
[TD]Season[/TD]
[TD]GP[/TD]
[TD]G[/TD]
[TD]Pts[/TD]
[TD]Shots[/TD]
[TD]Shots @ 82 Games[/TD]
[TD]Takeaways[/TD]
[TD]Blocked Shots[/TD]
[TD]Hits[/TD]
[TD]Potential Goals per 82 Games @ 16% (Career Average S%)[/TD]
[/TR]
[TR]
[TD]2016-17[/TD]
[TD]82[/TD]
[TD]40[/TD]
[TD]69[/TD]
[TD]279[/TD]
[TD]279[/TD]
[TD]76[/TD]
[TD]61[/TD]
[TD]21[/TD]
[TD]44.64[/TD]
[/TR]
[TR]
[TD]2017-18[/TD]
[TD]62[/TD]
[TD]34[/TD]
[TD]63[/TD]
[TD]187[/TD]
[TD]247[/TD]
[TD]59[/TD]
[TD]61[/TD]
[TD]16[/TD]
[TD]39.52[/TD]
[/TR]
[TR]
[TD]2018-19[/TD]
[TD]68[/TD]
[TD]37[/TD]
[TD]73[/TD]
[TD]251[/TD]
[TD]302[/TD]
[TD]57[/TD]
[TD]60[/TD]
[TD]28[/TD]
[TD]48.32[/TD]
[/TR]
[TR]
[TD]2019-20[/TD]
[TD]70[/TD]
[TD]47[/TD]
[TD]80[/TD]
[TD]290[/TD]
[TD]340[/TD]
[TD]78[/TD]
[TD]60[/TD]
[TD]40[/TD]
[TD]54.4[/TD]
[/TR]
[TR]
[TD]2020-21[/TD]
[TD]52[/TD]
[TD]41[/TD]
[TD]66[/TD]
[TD]222[/TD]
[TD]350[/TD]
[TD]47[/TD]
[TD]47[/TD]
[TD]57[/TD]
[TD]56[/TD]
[/TR]
[TR]
[TD]2021-22[/TD]
[TD]73[/TD]
[TD]60[/TD]
[TD]106[/TD]
[TD]348[/TD]
[TD]391[/TD]
[TD]92[/TD]
[TD]62[/TD]
[TD]67[/TD]
[TD]62.56[/TD]
[/TR]
[TR]
[TD]2022-23[/TD]
[TD]65[/TD]
[TD]36[/TD]
[TD]75[/TD]
[TD]285[/TD]
[TD]360[/TD]
[TD]59[/TD]
[TD]84[/TD]
[TD]72[/TD]
[TD]57.6[/TD]
[/TR]
[/TABLE]
From these numbers, we can see a dramatic increase in defensive numbers over the last couple of years, but also that the "down year" is not quite as bad as it has felt all year long.
That damned snake bite just won't let go....