Everything with Toronto is mental. When you're on a seven-year 1-and-done streak where you've lost nine straight times when you've had a chance to clinch a series and been eliminated on your home ice three years in a row (including the 2020 bubble since those games were in Toronto), it's pretty unavoidable. We're all too smart to get too far ahead of ourselves after one game, but one thing we've seen this team to many times, including three times in the last two playoffs, is open up on the road, win the first game, and then go win the second game as well. Losing one home game isn't a deal breaker for Toronto; in evenly-matched series I generally believe the road team needs to get two road wins if they expect to win the series because I expect the home team is going to win a road game themselves at some point too. But the Leafs cannot drop Game 2 and expect to win this series, and so we need to be able to leverage that pressure against them and tun the tables.
I said beforehand that I didn't mind the Leafs having home ice here. Frankly, playing more games in Toronto than on the road is the last thing the Leafs need. You need a steak knife to cut through all the tension in that building during playoff games.