24 25 Point Projections

[Ezpz]

I think most of the guys will have career bests except maybe Nick Suzuki, I'm guessing he finally misses a game.

I also don't think this is the roster we start with. I doubt a move on D is made as we have stiff competition for roster spots, but I can't imagine the current 12 + Roy are the only option at forward. Heinemen and Farrell don't seem like they're going to push for opening day roster spots anymore. New guys like Mesar, Tuch, Kapanen, Beck, and others likely won't either.

I still think they're pursuing a trade whether it's McGroarty, Laine, or whoever else that fits the timeline or has not a huge contract length investment.

 

[Rapala]

Nick Suzuki, I'm guessing he finally misses a game.

STFU

 

[Rapala]

I think everyone is low balling Slaf.
If Suzuki hits PPG Slaf hits70 pts minimum unless he's not on his line which I don't see happening.
Slaf will be directly responsible for Suzuki's ability to hit 80+ points.

With seasons of 66 and then 77 why not 88 for the slick Nick.

 

[WeThreeKings]

Wow. Some of you have Matheson really low. With a healthy second line and better PP (hopefully) I can see him hitting 70 points. It’s only 8 better than last year.

Hutson should take his PP1 duties at some point so I feel like it would be difficult for Matheson to produce as good as he did last year, let alone better.

 

[Lshap]

Montreal's goal-scoring the last three seasons (along with league ranking):

2023/24: 232 GF (26th)
2022/23: 227 GF (26th)
2021/22: 218 GF (27th)

A lot of projections in this thread have the team scoring about 265 goals, which would've been tied for top-10 last year. Yeah, I think adding Dach and Hutson, and having Slafkovsky, Caufield, Newhook, and Roy improve should add to the offence, but I don't see the Habs scoring 30 more.

 

[Number 57]

As things stands:

Suzuki: 30-52-82
Slafkovsky: 33-37-70
Caufield: 35-28-63
Dach: 26-31-57
Newhook: 15-32-47
Dvorak: 12-27-39
Roy: 10-27-37 (around 65 GP)
Gallagher: 16-20-36
Armia: 14-19-33
Anderson: 13-16-29
Evans: 8-19-27
RHP: 7-15-22
Pezzetta: 4-13-17
ABB: 2-5-7
Heineman: 2-2-4
Beck: 1-2-3
Gignac: 0-1-1

Matheson: 13-40-53
Hutson: 4-23-27 (around 65 GP)
Guhle: 4-21-25
Xhekaj: 4-19-23
Savard: 2-20-22
Barron: 5-15-20
Harris: 1-17-18
Struble: 0-9-9
Reinbacher: 1-2-3

 

[BLONG7]

As things stands:

Suzuki: 30-52-82
Slafkovsky: 33-37-70
Caufield: 35-28-63
Dach: 26-31-57
Newhook: 15-32-47
Dvorak: 12-27-39
Roy: 10-27-37 (around 65 GP)
Gallagher: 16-20-36
Armia: 14-19-33
Anderson: 13-16-29
Evans: 8-19-27
RHP: 7-15-22
Pezzetta: 4-13-17
ABB: 2-5-7
Heineman: 2-2-4
Beck: 1-2-3
Gignac: 0-1-1

Matheson: 13-40-53
Hutson: 4-23-27 (around 65 GP)
Guhle: 4-21-25
Xhekaj: 4-19-23
Savard: 2-20-22
Barron: 5-15-20
Harris: 1-17-18
Struble: 0-9-9
Reinbacher: 1-2-3

We need to stay healthy................please hockey gods, please.

 

[morhilane]

Montreal's goal-scoring the last three seasons (along with league ranking):

2023/24: 232 GF (26th)
2022/23: 227 GF (26th)
2021/22: 218 GF (27th)

A lot of projections in this thread have the team scoring about 265 goals, which would've been tied for top-10 last year. Yeah, I think adding Dach and Hutson, and having Slafkovsky, Caufield, Newhook, and Roy improve should add to the offence, but I don't see the Habs scoring 30 more.

If Caufield and Anderson go back to their normal shooting %, that's your 30 more goals right there.

 

[Doublechin]

Suzuki 29-47-76
Caufield 34-29-63
Slafkovsky 21-38-59
Dach 17-32-49
Newhook 16-27-43
Roy 13-26-39

 

[StCaufield]

Suzuki 85 pts
Caufield 80 pts
Slafkovsky 76 pts
Dach 66 pts
Newhook 54 pts
Roy 48 pts

Hutson 53 pts
Matheson 45 pts

Not sure if serious but I hope lol

 

[Lshap]

If Caufield and Anderson go back to their normal shooting %, that's your 30 more goals right there.

There's data supporting your position. A quick look shows that Nashville jumped from 223 GF to 266 GF last season - 43 more goals! Arizona went from 225 to 254 GF - +29 goals. Colorado gained 28 goals last season (274 to 302).

So yeah, I guess it's possible for the Habs to add 25-30 goals (although two of Nashville's biggest scorers were newly-added vets, Nyquist and O'Reilly). I'm expecting some of our existing guys to take another step, but it's hard to believe they'll improve that much without other players taking a step back.

 

[StCaufield]

I think everyone is low balling Slaf.
If Suzuki hits PPG Slaf hits70 pts minimum unless he's not on his line which I don't see happening.
Slaf will be directly responsible for Suzuki's ability to hit 80+ points.

With seasons of 66 and then 77 why not 88 for the slick Nick.

Slaf had 35 good games points wise. I wouldn’t be shocked if hit 70 points but I wouldn’t bet on it

 

[Rapala]

Slaf had 35 good games points wise. I wouldn’t be shocked if hit 70 points but I wouldn’t bet on it

I'm simply looking at his production once he got bumped to the top line.
He was keeping pace with his line mates his puck retrieval and wing span gave us better zone time and was a big part of the production.
He's going to be even better there is no doubt about it.
The thing I really like about Slaf is he can score so many different ways with his frame.
Tip ins deflections dekes one timers he has it all.
Then we look at his playmaking ability and hard pass accuracy.
Both Suzuki and Caufield should be able to one time a good number of those pucks if the line stays intact.

 

[schwang26]

Hutson should take his PP1 duties at some point so I feel like it would be difficult for Matheson to produce as good as he did last year, let alone better.

Love Hutson, but penciling him in as a number 1 power play D man seems waaaaay too early. Not too many rookie D men coming in and putting up 60 plus points.

 

[WeThreeKings]

Love Hutson, but penciling him in as a number 1 power play D man seems waaaaay too early. Not too many rookie D men coming in and putting up 60 plus points.

At some point, he will, because he's a more natural PP QB. He's not gonna run PP2 all year. It also allows them to give him more minutes without upping his defensive responsibilities while alleviating some TOI burden on Matheson.

 

[KevSkillz4]

I have feeling that Cole Caufield will be much more productive.

He proved this year that he can puts good assists numbers. I see him to put 30-35 assists, 35-40 goals next year.

75 points isn't out of question for him, maybe more.

Imagine having playmakers like Dach, Slaf, Suzuki and Hutson... Caufield will shine with his great shot.

 

[Miller Time]

Suzuki - 30g 79pts
Slaf - 27g 65pts
CC - 43g 72pts

Newhook - 30g 60pts
Dach - 18g 58pts
Roy - 12g 39pts

Gally - 10g 35pts
Dvorak - 5g 32pts
Anderson - 10g 28pts

Evans - 10g 30pts
Armia - 12g 25pts
RHP - 8g 25pts

Matheson - 8g 50pts
Guhle - 6g 38pts

Hutson - 7g 37pts
Savard - 4g 25pts

Xhekaj - 8g 28pts
Barron - 12g 30pts

Fwds 215 goals
Def 45 goals

260 goals... Would be a big jump, but not unrealistic.

Being healthy will be huge. Dach/Suzuki both playing 70+ games is the biggest factor imo.

 

[Lafleurs Guy]

I have feeling that Cole Caufield will be much more productive.

He proved this year that he can puts good assists numbers. I see him to put 30-35 assists, 35-40 goals next year.

75 points isn't out of question for him, maybe more.

Imagine having playmakers like Dach, Slaf, Suzuki and Hutson... Caufield will shine with his great shot.

Caufield’s a wildcard due to his injury. If the prognosis of a three year return to 100 percent is correct then we’d expect some progress there.

Even if his percentage went to 12 we’d see 36 on 300 shots. At 17 it’s 51. So hopefully somewhere in the middle. If he could put up an identical season as last year but with a higher percentage I’d be thrilled.

 

[Canadienna]

Just a few slightly spicy predictions rather than a whole list. Assuming good health.

Suzuki hits ppg
Slafkovsky less than 60p
Newhook hits 50p
Dach hits 60p
Gally hits 40p

 

[Loner]

| Suzuki   | 82  |
| Caufield | 72  |
| Slaf     | 66  |
| Dach     | 47  |
| Newhook  | 45  |
| Roy      | 37  |
| Dvorak   | 29  |
| Gally    | 28  |
| Anderson | 24  |
| Armia    | 22  |
| Evans    | 22  |
| RHP      | 18  |
| Pezzetta | 12  |

| Matheson | 54  |
| Guhle    | 26  |
| Hutson   | 32  |
| Savard   | 18  |
| Xhekaj   | 16  |
| Barron   | 15  |
| Mailloux | 12  |
| Harris   | 8   |
| Struble  | 6   |

Last year, the offense generated 432 points and the defense generated 175 points. Based on those projections, the offense is expected to generate 494 points, and the defense 187 points. Slaf, Dach, Roy, and Newhook are the most improved. I feel that is quite conservative, and at the same time, a generous increase of 60 points.

The increase in defense is smaller since I expect Hutson will prevent Mailloux, Harris, Struble, Xhekaj, and Barron from getting quality ice time.

Last year, our 3 best players were at 77, 65, and 50 points. Now, I project them to have 82, 72, and 66 points.

The next 3 players were at 35, 34, and 31 points. My projections give them 47, 45, and 37 points.

The next 3 players were at 28, 25, and 20 points. My projections give them 29, 28, and 24 points.

The next 3 players were at 13, 12, and 10 points. My projections give them 22, 22, and 18 points.

The fourth line might be too generous, but I expect to have fewer replacement players playing this year (Ylonen, Stephens, Gignac, etc).

 

[Habs Halifax]

Suzuki: 27-60-87
Slaf: 27-45-72
Caufield: 35-40-75
Dach: 25-45-70
Matheson: 10-50-60
Newhook: 20-40-60
Roy: 15-30-45
Guhle: 8-22-30
Xhekaj: 8-15-23
Anderson: 15-20-35
Gallagher: 15-20-35
Dvorak: 10-30-40
Savard: 4-16-20

 

[schwang26]

At some point, he will, because he's a more natural PP QB. He's not gonna run PP2 all year. It also allows them to give him more minutes without upping his defensive responsibilities while alleviating some TOI burden on Matheson.

I do hope that happens, but I doubt Matheson goes anywhere until the deadline. Hutson could actually see ahl time. Remember, he needs to work on his strength and put on some weight. He needs to be able to hold his own in the D zone. This D core is still super young and now we’re adding another to the mix.

 

[WeThreeKings]

I do hope that happens, but I doubt Matheson goes anywhere until the deadline. Hutson could actually see ahl time. Remember, he needs to work on his strength and put on some weight. He needs to be able to hold his own in the D zone. This D core is still super young and now we’re adding another to the mix.

I don't think Matheson goes anywhere this year at all, but that doesn't preclude him from going off PP1 to manage his minutes better and give Hutson more minutes.

D core is still young but all those young guys got another year of experience, breaking in Hutson if he earns it, and he should based on the sample we have so far, makes perfect sense.

We should see all 3 of Reinbacher, Mailloux and Hutson playing NHL games for us this year.

 

[Tabarouette]

Slaf? ppg
Suz? ppg
Caufield? ppg
Dach? ppg (3 games)
Hutson? ppg

Matheson? 30 points we should've traded his ass

 

[HuGo boss]

There's data supporting your position. A quick look shows that Nashville jumped from 223 GF to 266 GF last season - 43 more goals! Arizona went from 225 to 254 GF - +29 goals. Colorado gained 28 goals last season (274 to 302).

So yeah, I guess it's possible for the Habs to add 25-30 goals (although two of Nashville's biggest scorers were newly-added vets, Nyquist and O'Reilly). I'm expecting some of our existing guys to take another step, but it's hard to believe they'll improve that much without other players taking a step back.

Also these projections are prorated/82 so obviously not everyone will stay healthy the whole season so that will bring down the real life point totals down