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2026 NHL Draft

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Just read through the "Blackbook" from HockeyProspect. Lots of takes I agree with and saw for myself, lots of takes I disagree with as well. I think they get a lot more live viewings than I could ever hope for which are a lot better than watching iso videos or trying to pickup a player in a game video.

I have to agree with a lot of their assessment on Bjorck. He's extremely talented and there is a really good chance he ends up the best player from this draft. But the question of sticking at Center is not something that can be overlooked. But even as a winger there is a really good chance he's a more productive player than Stenberg will be. They are kind of neck and neck for me a little bit but I'm still leaning Stenberg because I like his IQ more. Bjorck is a buzzsaw though but the NHL is a different beast than even the World Championships, especially come playoff time. A lot of these small buzzsaw guys either continue doing what they are doing or get smacked by a Zadorov trying to drive the net and end up sticking to the perimeter for the rest of their days. I just don't know how it will go for him which makes it a bit of a risk but I'm still on board with him on the Jets.

The more I keep watching of Malhotra the more I'm impressed by him. He's now passed Stenberg for #2 on my list. We are getting into the last week so there is a bit of a crunch time. Trying to get more viewings of guys and making adjustments. I've done a deep dive on the OHL and keep coming out not being sold on Reid. I'm glad he's likely going high because I'm not sure he has the chops to be a #1. But the odds of him being a solid 2-3 type of guy are definitely there I think. The skill and skating are elite and he could put it all together but there is a definite lackadaisical mental game there from what I can see. For that I've now got him as the #4 defencemen in the class. But with the caveat that if he puts it all together he could be the best in class and I think that is so much of what is driving his consensus rankings.


I've read through HP's writeups on the Rucks and it keeps coming down to the skating angle which is the biggest knock on them. But the hockey sense is so sky high with these two. I still think they are liklely the smartest players in the class on the ice and it's not close. When they are together it multiplies it and if you get them together and with the right kind of linemate the sky is the limit. They are small for sure and that will be something they need to overcome but if they can put in the work and get their skating to that Tavares kind of level they can more than make up for it.
 
Just read through the "Blackbook" from HockeyProspect. Lots of takes I agree with and saw for myself, lots of takes I disagree with as well. I think they get a lot more live viewings than I could ever hope for which are a lot better than watching iso videos or trying to pickup a player in a game video.

I have to agree with a lot of their assessment on Bjorck. He's extremely talented and there is a really good chance he ends up the best player from this draft. But the question of sticking at Center is not something that can be overlooked. But even as a winger there is a really good chance he's a more productive player than Stenberg will be. They are kind of neck and neck for me a little bit but I'm still leaning Stenberg because I like his IQ more. Bjorck is a buzzsaw though but the NHL is a different beast than even the World Championships, especially come playoff time. A lot of these small buzzsaw guys either continue doing what they are doing or get smacked by a Zadorov trying to drive the net and end up sticking to the perimeter for the rest of their days. I just don't know how it will go for him which makes it a bit of a risk but I'm still on board with him on the Jets.

The more I keep watching of Malhotra the more I'm impressed by him. He's now passed Stenberg for #2 on my list. We are getting into the last week so there is a bit of a crunch time. Trying to get more viewings of guys and making adjustments. I've done a deep dive on the OHL and keep coming out not being sold on Reid. I'm glad he's likely going high because I'm not sure he has the chops to be a #1. But the odds of him being a solid 2-3 type of guy are definitely there I think. The skill and skating are elite and he could put it all together but there is a definite lackadaisical mental game there from what I can see. For that I've now got him as the #4 defencemen in the class. But with the caveat that if he puts it all together he could be the best in class and I think that is so much of what is driving his consensus rankings.


I've read through HP's writeups on the Rucks and it keeps coming down to the skating angle which is the biggest knock on them. But the hockey sense is so sky high with these two. I still think they are liklely the smartest players in the class on the ice and it's not close. When they are together it multiplies it and if you get them together and with the right kind of linemate the sky is the limit. They are small for sure and that will be something they need to overcome but if they can put in the work and get their skating to that Tavares kind of level they can more than make up for it.
Looking forward to your analysis of the other top defensemen that could be there at #8.
 
Looking forward to your analysis of the other top defensemen that could be there at #8.

Everyone but Carels in this class has warts for me. Carels is the most complete defencemen in the class. I project him as a top pairing all situations minute munching defencemen. He can lead the attack, he can stay back as an option, has a great first pass, he has a great shot, he can play a physical game, he has a great stick, great gap control. Is he the best at all of those things in this class? Maybe not but the most well rounded of all the dmen in this class and it's not close.

I don't know how we get him but if he somehow falls to us at #8, I"ll be over the moon. Really hope the teams ahead of us have someone like Smits or Cullen or Belchetz or someone like that higher on their list. But I can't see it happening. I don't know how you can watch all the defencemen in this class and not come away with Carels being the best of the bunch.
 
Everyone but Carels in this class has warts for me. Carels is the most complete defencemen in the class. I project him as a top pairing all situations minute munching defencemen. He can lead the attack, he can stay back as an option, has a great first pass, he has a great shot, he can play a physical game, he has a great stick, great gap control. Is he the best at all of those things in this class? Maybe not but the most well rounded of all the dmen in this class and it's not close.

I don't know how we get him but if he somehow falls to us at #8, I"ll be over the moon. Really hope the teams ahead of us have someone like Smits or Cullen or Belchetz or someone like that higher on their list. But I can't see it happening. I don't know how you can watch all the defencemen in this class and not come away with Carels being the best of the bunch.
Yeah I’ve been trying to figure out a best case scenario to get Carels, but that would probably require finding a way to move up in the draft. Not sure how that happens.
 
Yeah I’ve been trying to figure out a best case scenario to get Carels, but that would probably require finding a way to move up in the draft. Not sure how that happens.

I don't think it's possible unless we make a deal with NY that likely involves moving a roster player so unlikely.

We just have to hope the draft gets squirrely early and some unpredictable stuff happens. I've heard that a lot of teams have very different lists so things could get interesting quickly. I honestly have no clue how things will play out.
 
I don't think it's possible unless we make a deal with NY that likely involves moving a roster player so unlikely.

We just have to hope the draft gets squirrely early and some unpredictable stuff happens. I've heard that a lot of teams have very different lists so things could get interesting quickly. I honestly have no clue how things will play out.
One thought I had was if we traded Helly for 9, 40 and 48. Then trade 8 and 9 to NYR for 5, 26 and 64 you could get Carels and probably find a way to trade the excess picks to get the Ruck brothers. Just on pick value NYR would have to add a couple more mid round picks, but that is the general plan.

Of course this Mort level fantasy. 🤣
 
Everyone but Carels in this class has warts for me. Carels is the most complete defencemen in the class. I project him as a top pairing all situations minute munching defencemen. He can lead the attack, he can stay back as an option, has a great first pass, he has a great shot, he can play a physical game, he has a great stick, great gap control. Is he the best at all of those things in this class? Maybe not but the most well rounded of all the dmen in this class and it's not close.

I don't know how we get him but if he somehow falls to us at #8, I"ll be over the moon. Really hope the teams ahead of us have someone like Smits or Cullen or Belchetz or someone like that higher on their list. But I can't see it happening. I don't know how you can watch all the defencemen in this class and not come away with Carels being the best of the bunch.

Like you I spent time going over about 15 prospects and it was pretty educational. This publication is the only one I trust. I just don’t get the viewings necessary to trust myself enough so I need to add resources and lean on them allot and for me it’s Hockey Prospects. I don’t take what they say as verbatim but it informs my direction.

The way their scouts talk about Carels “I f***ing love this guy” and the way that is sounds like other pro scouts “love” him I just don’t see him dropping. The only small postive is Carels doesn’t project to be a #1 PP QB (like perhaps Reid or Rudolph do). There are also other org that might value the size and shot of a Verhoeff and want to bet on this upside. Smits is a physical beast that can skate and shoot and I can see an org going that guy is built for the playoffs. The reality is though the sequence of events to have Carels drop to us is very unlikely.

I am settling in to just hoping we pick a very good asset at #8 and for once in the Hiller era that we overachieve with a first round pick.

On draft day I will handicap my who will fall to us prediction (not saying we would pick em).
 
Just read through the "Blackbook" from HockeyProspect. Lots of takes I agree with and saw for myself, lots of takes I disagree with as well. I think they get a lot more live viewings than I could ever hope for which are a lot better than watching iso videos or trying to pickup a player in a game video.

I have to agree with a lot of their assessment on Bjorck. He's extremely talented and there is a really good chance he ends up the best player from this draft. But the question of sticking at Center is not something that can be overlooked. But even as a winger there is a really good chance he's a more productive player than Stenberg will be. They are kind of neck and neck for me a little bit but I'm still leaning Stenberg because I like his IQ more. Bjorck is a buzzsaw though but the NHL is a different beast than even the World Championships, especially come playoff time. A lot of these small buzzsaw guys either continue doing what they are doing or get smacked by a Zadorov trying to drive the net and end up sticking to the perimeter for the rest of their days. I just don't know how it will go for him which makes it a bit of a risk but I'm still on board with him on the Jets.

The more I keep watching of Malhotra the more I'm impressed by him. He's now passed Stenberg for #2 on my list. We are getting into the last week so there is a bit of a crunch time. Trying to get more viewings of guys and making adjustments. I've done a deep dive on the OHL and keep coming out not being sold on Reid. I'm glad he's likely going high because I'm not sure he has the chops to be a #1. But the odds of him being a solid 2-3 type of guy are definitely there I think. The skill and skating are elite and he could put it all together but there is a definite lackadaisical mental game there from what I can see. For that I've now got him as the #4 defencemen in the class. But with the caveat that if he puts it all together he could be the best in class and I think that is so much of what is driving his consensus rankings.


I've read through HP's writeups on the Rucks and it keeps coming down to the skating angle which is the biggest knock on them. But the hockey sense is so sky high with these two. I still think they are liklely the smartest players in the class on the ice and it's not close. When they are together it multiplies it and if you get them together and with the right kind of linemate the sky is the limit. They are small for sure and that will be something they need to overcome but if they can put in the work and get their skating to that Tavares kind of level they can more than make up for it.

Outside the Ruck twins what is the one prospect of the Black Book you differ with the most as far as players in our range.
 
Like you I spent time going over about 15 prospects and it was pretty educational. This publication is the only one I trust. I just don’t get the viewings necessary to trust myself enough so I need to add resources and lean on them allot and for me it’s Hockey Prospects. I don’t take what they say as verbatim but it informs my direction.

The way their scouts talk about Carels “I f***ing love this guy” and the way that is sounds like other pro scouts “love” him I just don’t see him dropping. The only small postive is Carels doesn’t project to be a #1 PP QB (like perhaps Reid or Rudolph do). There are also other org that might value the size and shot of a Verhoeff and want to bet on this upside. Smits is a physical beast that can skate and shoot and I can see an org going that guy is built for the playoffs. The reality is though the sequence of events to have Carels drop to us is very unlikely.

I am settling in to just hoping we pick a very good asset at #8 and for once in the Hiller era that we overachieve with a first round pick.

On draft day I will handicap my who will fall to us prediction (not saying we would pick em).

Not comparing them but guys like Carel are more like a Slavvin just good sized skates well plays hard and is hard to play against. Never a top points guy but you win with him in the lineup. I don't know if there is a Cale Makar in this draft maybe Reid is the closet or maybe someone like Lin or Villeneuve are kind of Makar like but Carels is going to end up a lot like Slavvin in the NHL 30+ points but extremely difficult to play against for offensive players
 
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Everyone but Carels in this class has warts for me. Carels is the most complete defencemen in the class. I project him as a top pairing all situations minute munching defencemen. He can lead the attack, he can stay back as an option, has a great first pass, he has a great shot, he can play a physical game, he has a great stick, great gap control. Is he the best at all of those things in this class? Maybe not but the most well rounded of all the dmen in this class and it's not close.

I don't know how we get him but if he somehow falls to us at #8, I"ll be over the moon. Really hope the teams ahead of us have someone like Smits or Cullen or Belchetz or someone like that higher on their list. But I can't see it happening. I don't know how you can watch all the defencemen in this class and not come away with Carels being the best of the bunch.
We'd all be over the moon but zero chance of that happening. I think a very small chance he goes to #7 with Bjorck going ahead and maybe an off the board pick, but I don't see any scenario he makes it to #8.
 
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Not comparing them but guys like Carel are more like a Slavvin just good sized skates well plays hard and is hard to play against. Never a top points guy but you win with him in the lineup. I don't know if there is a Cale Makar in this draft maybe Reid is the closet or maybe someone like Lin or Villeneuve are kind of Makar like but Carels is going to end up a lot like Slavvin in the NHL 30+ points but extremely difficult to play against for offensive players

I agree and the bonus is I think there is a market inefficiency when it comes to defenseman of this prototype. I think a player like a prime Slavin impacts the game WAY more than what they get paid for because its harder to quantify. I think raw point generation in D men gets overcompensated especially when it can be driven by PP usage.
 


Shane Malloy of Hockey Prospect Radio joined us on the Illegal Curve Hockey Show to discuss the 2026 NHL Draft and what options could be available to the Winnipeg Jets with the 8th overall pick.

Topics:
1) General sense on the 2026 Draft class.
2) What can he say about Viggo Björck (1:19)
3) What would a team be getting in Ethan Belchetz (3:20)
4) What's his perspective on Daxon Rudolph (5:40)
5) Why would Tynan Lawrence be a good pick 8th overall? (6:56)
6) Thoughts on Manitoba product Carson Carels (9:20)
7) Alberts Šmits as potentially most NHL ready draft pick (10:40)
8) Prospect timelines getting to the NHL (13:54)
9) Why is he high on Alexander Command? (16:29)
10) What is his assessment of Malte Gustafsson? (22:48)
11) What stands out to him about Ryan Lin? (25:04)
12) CHL players going to college before turning pro (29:30)
 
One thought I had was if we traded Helly for 9, 40 and 48. Then trade 8 and 9 to NYR for 5, 26 and 64 you could get Carels and probably find a way to trade the excess picks to get the Ruck brothers. Just on pick value NYR would have to add a couple more mid round picks, but that is the general plan.

Of course this Mort level fantasy. 🤣

You are paying way too much to move up from 8/9 to 5. That takes either 8 OR 9 +, not both.

How about KFC to Seattle for 7 + Wright, 7 + Wright to NYR for 5, or just KFC to NYR for 5? We keep 8, 9, 40, 48. Carels at 5, Bjorck at 8, Rudolph at 9. 40 + 48 to Vcr for 35. Take Trejbal at 35. This is easy with a little imagination. :laugh:
 
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One thought I had was if we traded Helly for 9, 40 and 48. Then trade 8 and 9 to NYR for 5, 26 and 64 you could get Carels and probably find a way to trade the excess picks to get the Ruck brothers. Just on pick value NYR would have to add a couple more mid round picks, but that is the general plan.

Of course this Mort level fantasy. 🤣

Trades are easy when the other party always says yes to your suggestions.
 
You are paying way too much to move up from 8/9 to 5. That takes either 8 OR 9 +, not both.

How about KFC to Seattle for 7 + Wright, 7 + Wright to NYR for 5, or just KFC to NYR for 5? We keep 8, 9, 40, 48. Carels at5, Bjorck at 8, Rudolph at 9. 40 + 48 to Vcr for 35. Take Trejbal at 35. This is easy with a little imagination. :laugh:
"EASports, it's in the game!"
 
You are paying way too much to move up from 8/9 to 5. That takes either 8 OR 9 +, not both.

How about KFC to Seattle for 7 + Wright, 7 + Wright to NYR for 5, or just KFC to NYR for 5? We keep 8, 9, 40, 48. Carels at5, Bjorck at 8, Rudolph at 9. 40 + 48 to Vcr for 35. Take Trejbal at 35. This is easy with a little imagination. :laugh:
Just to clarify, on top of 5 we would also be getting 26, 64 and a couple other mid round picks from NYR (#26 pick from Dallas). I was using pick values to even off the trade using the standard pick values chart. I also kept it to picks, since they have no control over the trade. KC certainly does.
 
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Like you I spent time going over about 15 prospects and it was pretty educational. This publication is the only one I trust. I just don’t get the viewings necessary to trust myself enough so I need to add resources and lean on them allot and for me it’s Hockey Prospects. I don’t take what they say as verbatim but it informs my direction.

The way their scouts talk about Carels “I f***ing love this guy” and the way that is sounds like other pro scouts “love” him I just don’t see him dropping. The only small postive is Carels doesn’t project to be a #1 PP QB (like perhaps Reid or Rudolph do). There are also other org that might value the size and shot of a Verhoeff and want to bet on this upside. Smits is a physical beast that can skate and shoot and I can see an org going that guy is built for the playoffs. The reality is though the sequence of events to have Carels drop to us is very unlikely.

I am settling in to just hoping we pick a very good asset at #8 and for once in the Hiller era that we overachieve with a first round pick.

On draft day I will handicap my who will fall to us prediction (not saying we would pick em).

IF we were to start moving out core players, which I honestly think is very unlikely, we could get the assets to trade up to get Carels. In spite of the HP list I'm pretty sure the first 4 taken will be McKenna, Reid, Malhotra and Stenberg. Maybe in that order or maybe a little different. That makes 5 the spot to trade up to. 6 might do it, or not. No guarantee. We could wait out the first 5 and go for 6 if Carels is still there. But even trading up from 8 to 6 would cost and I suspect that Flames might want Carels themselves at that point.
 
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Just to clarify, on top of 5 we would also be getting 26, 64 and a couple other mid round picks from NYR (#26 pick from Dallas). I was using pick values to even off the trade using the standard pick values chart. I also kept it to picks, since they have no control over the trade. KC certainly does.

I realize that but 8 & 9 is just too much high end quality to give up. Pick values are based too much on things like games played. 64 isn't worth much compared to top 10's and mid rd picks aren't even close.

I believe KC has a 10 team no trade list until July 1 when his new contract kicks in. Seattle being on it might be a coin toss. I doubt NYR are on it.

Edit: Much as I would like to get Carels, I wouldn't trade Bjorck + Rudolph or Smits + Rudolph for him. No matter how many 64-100 picks are thrown in.
 
I realize that but 8 & 9 is just too much high end quality to give up. Pick values are based too much on things like games played. 64 isn't worth much compared to top 10's and mid rd picks aren't even close.

I believe KC has a 10 team no trade list until July 1 when his new contract kicks in. Seattle being on it might be a coin toss. I doubt NYR are on it.

Edit: Much as I would like to get Carels, I wouldn't trade Bjorck + Rudolph or Smits + Rudolph for him. No matter how many 64-100 picks are thrown in.
It was mostly just a thought experiment over coffee waiting for the day to start out at the lake. The idea was how the Jets could move up and get Carels (My favourite prospect in this draft) and get the Ruck twins with 26 and 40, using a late 2nd and 2 - 3rd or 4th round picks to adjust value if we to move around 26 and 40 to get it done.
 
Outside the Ruck twins what is the one prospect of the Black Book you differ with the most as far as players in our range.

I'm not at my computer right now but if I'm remembering correctly they had Belchetz and Hurlbert quite a bit lower than me. They are also far lower on Lawrence than even I am which is pretty surprising. His projection is bottom 9 for me though so I suppose it could go lower.
 
It was mostly just a thought experiment over coffee waiting for the day to start out at the lake. The idea was how the Jets could move up and get Carels (My favourite prospect in this draft) and get the Ruck twins with 26 and 40, using a late 2nd and 2 - 3rd or 4th round picks to adjust value if we to move around 26 and 40 to get it done.

Carels and the Ruck twins is my dream scenario too. So much so that its guaranteed it won't happen because I'd be way to happy.
 
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