Juxtaposer
Outro: Divina Comedia
Appreciate you doing the legwork on this one!This caught my interest. I had never considered it but there are more number one overalls who have played in the WJC (after being drafted) than I expected off the top of my head.
Modano
Sundin
Lindros
Daigle
Jovanovski
Phillps
Fleury
Ovechkin
Malkin
Johnson
Nugent-Hopkins
Yakupov
Some were only available due to a holdout or lockout, but it does happen. Regardless, Fleury is the only one who was an active NHLer and sent to the WJC. In terms of playing well, to be lazy and use flawed goaltending stats Fleury was 74th in save percentage that year and 86th in GAA. Pittsburgh was an awful team at the time but Fleury wasn't exactly setting the world on fire.
So anyway, first overalls are never sent when they are playing decently. Sometimes they can be pretty poor (Thornton, Hughes, several others over the years) and still stick with the main team.
Definitely supports my point, which is that it's been a really long time since a 1st overall player who was playing in the NHL at the time of the WJC was loaned out. And Celebrini is not the guy I see breaking that trend, not least because he's going to sell a lot of Sharks tickets this season and they'll want him to be around during the holidays when kids are on vacation and people are going to go to games. I'd say there's maybe a 1% chance of him being released.
Smith on the other hand I could easily see having a solid first half of his season but who might be in a position where it would benefit him to gain confidence against juniors for a while instead of the NHL. I'd call him 60/40 in favor of staying in the NHL right now.
As much as they would have similar impacts on their respective WJC rosters as the 1C, let's not act like Celebrini and Smith are equal as prospects. I don't think it would be a declaration of war on Hockey Canada to release Smith but not Celebrini like some in this thread seem to think it would be.