If teams see top 6 potential in Nesbitt, they'll have him in the top 15. I don't picture him becoming that productive myself, but I could see an Adam Lowry type, which is still a player you're happy to end up with in the latter half of the first round.
I was surprised to see Nesbitt's name for both NHL.com writers in the top-12. He wasn't one of the regular names we have been talking about, but that was because we were looking at drafting 8OA. Do we take the risk with McQueen? I love Eklund's tenacity, but how long will his body last playing like that in the NHL?
Now we're at 10th, we're in a different pool of players. Martin's got a boost from the WJC-18's, but his offensive ceiling might be lower outside of his NHL shot. RD Hensler has top-4 tools that transfers to the NHL, but he still doesn't know if he's a shutdown guy, an offensive guy, or a transitional guy. Lakovic is a finesse 6'4 forward.
Then I see Nesbitt today. Tankathon has him going 29th. MyNHLdraft has him going 16th. McKenzie's mid-season ranking had him 23rd. The Hockey Writers' Horn has him going 14th. Wheeler has him going 32nd. CSB Final Rankings (done before WJC-18), had him as 15th NA skater. The NHL.com guys have him 10th and 12th. That's a wide range for Nesbitt.
Is Nesbitt good at faceoffs? He's taken the most faceoffs with Windsor's regular season (558/1085 for 51.4%), 3rd in FO for the OHL Top Prospects game (6/8 for 75.0%), and most for Windsor's post-season (116/233 for 49.8%). That's a lot better than some of our current centers.
Here's more
scout reporting on Nesbitt done on Feb 15 (Nesbitt has risen since then):
The question becomes, "Does Nesbitt have more runway to develop, especially as a tall 2C?" If he's a 3C, then he'd be in the same boat as Martin. I'd probably just stick with Eklund or gamble with McQueen... unless Mrtka falls to us. We could take a gamble on RD Hensler becoming a top-4D since he does possess all the tools, but not the flash.