But Philly has also played 3 more games. Going by percentage (instead of points) the Ducks are closer to 14th place right now than they are to 8th. And as confident as this team is now, I can see them picking up 8-10 more points in the final ten games.
Here's an interesting scenario of "what if the Ducks win the lottery" mock draft.
Misa and Schaefer are on another level then Martone. I would be pretty pissed if they took him at one instead of trading down if they want him.Shaefer is 1 of the youngest players in the draft(for comparison he is 5 days older than zellweger was in his draft year)... 17 and already 6'2... Would be really hard to pass on him despite having pretty deep LHD.
I dont think Misa is really a guy that our scouts/PV would really be high on.... and id expect our conversation at #1 overall would be between
Shaefer
Martone
Martone is prob the best fit for the roster now.... but Shaefer is prob the best player in draft, i dont know that you can leave him on the board.
You posted a week ago that based on the schedule you thought the team could go 2-8-2 the rest of the way. Well, they've gotten 2 wins since then so do you now think they'll go 0-8-2 the rest of the way?I'm not confident against stronger teams. I'll be ecstatic when we beat stronger teams. Against weaker teams, I expect the Ducks to win. We were fortunate that the NYR are stupid and let us back into the game after a 4-2 lead with like 6 minutes left in the game. Hey, sometimes it's better to be lucky than good.
Our last 14 games, we won six games. Five of them belong to weak teams. Then the odd win is against Edm, but if you look at losing to Chicago (a weak team), then they cancel each other out. For our six wins, we have GF = 25, GA = 11, and GD = +14. We are looking at great goal tending in our wins against weaker teams. For our eight losses, the GF = 21, GA = 39, and GD = -18. The constant between the winning set and losing set is that our offense is relatively the same.
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I said it's a possibility they'll go 2-8-2, but I also said I'd love to pull off more wins. The two wins I expected were against Bos and SJ. The OTL could come anywhere. It could have been the NYR last night.You posted a week ago that based on the schedule you thought the team could go 2-8-2 the rest of the way. Well, they've gotten 2 wins since then so do you now think they'll go 0-8-2 the rest of the way?
So you've written a lot to tell me I'm wrong about 9-14. What's your range?I said it's a possibility they'll go 2-8-2, but I also said I'd love to pull off more wins. The two wins I expected were against Bos and SJ. The OTL could come anywhere. It could have been the NYR last night.
The NYR gifted us a win. But that 2nd period against the Rangers was terrible hockey by the Ducks as they were down 1-3. Then it was 4-2 with six minutes left in the game. We were more lucky than good in that game as the Rangers choked in the last 6 minutes of the game, which I thoroughly enjoyed. In OT, we had more skill on the ice and it showed.
Woowhoo... we beat a weak team that was 3-6-1 in their previous 10 games before the game last night. We can be weak teams b/c we're the best of the worst. Some of our recent losses to stronger team were beat downs. See the orange highlights below.
- Our recent losses
- Mar 5: Ducks 2, Canucks 3
- Mar 7: Blues 4, Ducks 3
- Mar 11: Caps 7, Ducks 4
- Mar 12: Ducks 2, Utah 3
- Mar 16: Ducks 2, Blues 7
- Mar 18: Ducks 3, Stars 4 OT
- Mar 23: Ducks 2, 'Canes 5
That's a bunch of bad teams we've beaten. That's a bunch of losses we've incurred against stronger competition. So, yeah, I can see us losing a lot of games in this stretch. Do I want the team to lose them? Hell no! Does the pattern show they have a high probability of losing against stronger competition recently? Hell yeah.
- Our recent wins
- Mar 9: NYI 1, Ducks 4
- Mar 14: Preds 1, Ducks 2
- Mar 20: Ducks 4, Preds 1
- Mar 26: Bos 2, Ducks 6
- Mar 28: NYR 4, Ducks 5 OT
So you've written a lot to tell me I'm wrong about 9-14. What's your range?
Shaefer is 1 of the youngest players in the draft(for comparison he is 5 days older than zellweger was in his draft year)... 17 and already 6'2... Would be really hard to pass on him despite having pretty deep LHD.
I dont think Misa is really a guy that our scouts/PV would really be high on.... and id expect our conversation at #1 overall would be between
Shaefer
Martone
Martone is prob the best fit for the roster now.... but Shaefer is prob the best player in draft, i dont know that you can leave him on the board.
Yeah, this is where I’m at after reading up more. His game translates better to the Pros than most players in this draft.As long as we can still get Brady Martin idc where we pick
Combination of being strong in puck battles/along the boards, along with having a high hockey IQ from what I’ve seen.What's the elevator pitch on Martin, goal scorer, I would guess, well rounded?
I'll have to do more reading on him. So far the guys on my radar, assuming no lottery luck, are McQueen, Mrtka, O'Brien, Bear and EklundCombination of being strong in puck battles/along the boards, along with having a high hockey IQ from what I’ve seen.
Great shot too.
I would be pretty surprised if he wasn’t a solid 2nd line center for a while in the NHL
Mike Richards type without dry islandWhat's the elevator pitch on Martin, goal scorer, I would guess, well rounded?
Check out Lynden Lakovic too. He is in that group and is sort of a poor man's Senneke on the left wing.I'll have to do more reading on him. So far the guys on my radar, assuming no lottery luck, are McQueen, Mrtka, O'Brien, Bear and Eklund
I've considered Lakovic at times, but I feel like he leaves me wanting a bit.Check out Lynden Lakovic too. He is in that group and is sort of a poor man's Senneke on the left wing.
There are going to be some decent options for us to pick from so it will be interesting to see what direction we go in
I'm not fond of selecting Martin with a top 10 pick. I'd prefer someone who projects higher than 3C and also someone with better tools to fall back on when they reach the NHL.I've considered Lakovic at times, but I feel like he leaves me wanting a bit.
Based on my reading of Martin, I'd support that pick. Get a really good gritty 3rd line center behind Mac and Leo creates a matchup hell. This effect doubles if Gaucher becomes the shutdown C he was projected to be and gets a bit of goal scoring going in the NHL.
IMO this is just not a great draft and there really aren't any legit top 6 players after the top 8 so you are hoping for the best once they are gone. Despite the size, it just seems that Martin is such a Pat Verbeek type player. Lakovic is a possibility as well since he does look like the LW version of a poor man's Sennecke. O'Brian is intriguing if the scouts think his game can translate. Those three would probably be my top choices if all of the top 8 are gone by the time the Ducks pick. And no, I don't like the two D (Smith and Mrtka)...they are each too much of a project pick for my liking.I'm not fond of selecting Martin with a top 10 pick. I'd prefer someone who projects higher than 3C and also someone with better tools to fall back on when they reach the NHL.
A 6'0 174lbs player who specialises in effort and physicality is going to struggle at NHL level when everyone matches the effort and physicality but also have greater size and skill.
If we pick 9th, it’s one of O’Brien / Elkund / McQueen / Mrtka (probably this order for me)I'm not fond of selecting Martin with a top 10 pick. I'd prefer someone who projects higher than 3C and also someone with better tools to fall back on when they reach the NHL.
A 6'0 174lbs player who specialises in effort and physicality is going to struggle at NHL level when everyone matches the effort and physicality but also have greater size and skill.
I don't necessarily love Martin with the pick but 3C right shot buzz saw is a great piece for contending and I think creating a matchup hell in the middle does a lot in the post season. How would you matchup your NHL team against a center core of the players below in a world where these players reach most of their potential?I'm not fond of selecting Martin with a top 10 pick. I'd prefer someone who projects higher than 3C and also someone with better tools to fall back on when they reach the NHL.
A 6'0 174lbs player who specialises in effort and physicality is going to struggle at NHL level when everyone matches the effort and physicality but also have greater size and skill.
I don't necessarily love Martin with the pick but 3C right shot buzz saw is a great piece for contending and I think creating a matchup hell in the middle does a lot in the post season. How would you matchup your NHL team against a center core of the players below in a world where these players reach most of their potential?I'm not fond of selecting Martin with a top 10 pick. I'd prefer someone who projects higher than 3C and also someone with better tools to fall back on when they reach the NHL.
A 6'0 174lbs player who specialises in effort and physicality is going to struggle at NHL level when everyone matches the effort and physicality but also have greater size and skill.