Washington: Loss
Tampa: Loss
Florida: Loss
Carolina: Loss
St. Louis: Loss?
Utah: Win?
Winnipeg: Loss
Colorado: Loss
Edmonton: Loss
Vancouver: Loss
Vegas: Loss
Calgary: Win
Philadelphia: Win
Looks good to me sign me up for that top 4 pick! Our wins have mostly been versus teams that are not Stanley cup contenders other than New Jersey and that's also a game where we did not deserve to win at all (Blackwood carry). Don't get me wrong the games we have had have been very fun and exciting but I am expecting the team to have a very rough month which is absolutely FINE, 9 out of the 13 games are against true Stanley cup contenders.
In terms of the standings I am quite confident we will be bottom 3, I want bottom 2 though to guarantee a top 4 pick. I am only mainly concerned about Chicago and Montreal being lower than us when all is said and done.
You've got us going 3-10 (0.230) for 6 points. It's dire but possible.
If we
hold serve on our points% of 0.426 we should get 11 points on the trip (5-7-1). Beat every non-playoff team (UTA, STL, COL) and steal 2 games out of the remaining 10, gets us to 5.
That would be a pretty solid performance.
Our last 13 games, we played 5 playoff teams and went 2-3 (0.400) - MIN, NJD, NYR, DAL, LAK. We got outplayed in all of those games but stole 2. So
assuming we keep a similar pace to the last 13, we would project to win 4 of 10 vs. playoff teams and go 3-2-3 pace (0.563) against everyone else in 3 games. Which is...
12-13 points. 6-6-1 or 5-5-3 at best.
This would be an incredible performance.
My guess is we find a way to 4 wins and 2 OTL's, or 5 wins. 10 points out of possible 26 = 0.385 and pacing between MTL and CHI's current rate. We'll see.