Is it certain that bpa at 2-4 will be a forward though? I honestly havent watched these guys at all, except what I can find on youtube, but reading different scouting rapports, seems like Schaefer has no.1 D potential, so would love to hear what others think of him, and if you and others would be happy if we picked him, as my thinking is no.1 C and D are the most difficult positions to fill.
Certainly not. Rankings can and will likely change throughout the season. Iginla last year was typically 10-20ov and he went 6th as well so you also never know how internal rankings go. Hell, 5 teams passed on Michkov. There's also Fondell in Sweden and Ryabkin in Russia that will make some noise leading up to the draft.
But you're right. Schaefer is currently the top-ranked man and certainly looks good. I tend to focus on high-end forward talent because I think our biggest overall need is replacement talent for Sid and Geno. I don't think teams can get away with not having 1C or VERY high-end 1W all that often, but I think teams can survive without a franchise #1D man if they can do it by committee or if they can find them via trade/FA.
Now that said, I don't think anyone we would get at 2-5ish would be the core franchise player moving forward. As I stated before, I think the best overall thing to happen to us would be top 5 pick this year and then tank next year and get McKenna. My secret gushy hope is also for us to send out Pettersson or any other combo and get a last 1st back and use that to take Cole McKinney. He dropped a bit in the ranks (which could 100% change) but he has a high end two-way game that could really help us, ideally as a 2C behind McKenna.
To answer your question more directly though, Schaefer would be a hell of pick for the organization. Schaefer, Pickering, and Brunicke would be a solid defensive prospect pool moving forward. I would suggest it would be like us nabbing Whitney in 2002 at 5ov. At that time, he was just another piece of the supporting cast puzzle that was used to insulate Sid and Geno after a couple of years.
A great "problem" to have is if we are picking and you have two great talents like Schaefer or Misa to pick between. Or if we are picking a little later, a guy like Ryabkin or McQueen would be a'okay with me.