Realistically I think it is pretty safe to say these guys are going to be off the board by the time we pick: Misa, Schaefer, Martone, Hagens, Frondell
So we are probably looking at the following 10-11 guys: Viktor Eklund, James O'Brien, Roger McQueen, Caleb Desnoyers, Carter Bear, Jackson Smith, Brady Martin, Kashawn Aitcheson, Lynden Lakovic, Justin Carbonneau, Radim Mrtka
Which one of these guys do you like? Which ones do you want to avoid? Anyone want to rank them in order of who you’d want Detroit to pick?
Avoid Mrtka and McQueen. Mrtka because he gives big dumb tools-no-toolbox defenseman vibes. McQueen only because the par fracture he’s got is the type of injury that has a high recurrence rate. It’s a shame because he’d be a top 6 pick otherwise.
I’m not a huge fan of Jackson Smith either. He reminds me of Kevin Korchinski who I really disliked as a prospect. (He still looks like a bum to me.). I don’t see high IQ in his plays. I see a lot of high end athleticism but would be shocked if he becomes a top pair guy. Not a BAD pick, per se. But very underwhelming.
I have come around to liking Desnoyers with more viewings but I think he’ll be gone between 3 and 6.
O’Brien is my favorite followed by Eklund and Bear. Both Eklund and O’Brien will be gone before Detroit’s pick, though.
O’Brien probably between 4 and 7.
Eklund probably goes 6-10.
Bear probably goes 11-16 due to injury. Maybe even later.
Detroit is pretty well locked into the 10-13 slots with 12 being the most likely outcome. And I’d like to see this player on the team in 2 to 3 years max. I lean winger because they take less time to develop than centers and defensemen.
The guys I expect in our range that are my preference:
Bear: Even with that ankle injury he’s got that dog in him. I still contend that he’s one of the top 2 skilled wingers in the draft with Eklund.
Martin: I appreciate how competitive he is. 3C/2W or 3W type. Might be a top line corner guy.
Lakovic: I think someone will take him top 10 hoping he’s this year’s Musty or Sennecke. The speed and stick skills impress me. Wish he was more physical and on a better junior team.
Aitcheson: I’m not expecting much pro offense but great shutdown ability and a lot of physicality. Every team needs that guy.
Carbonneau: Good skill, good size. Nothing jumps off the page but I think he could be a producer and we hope the rough edges of his game round out.