Sadly I have the same feeling about this lol. But then again, I had the same feeling about last year QF too and we all know how that ended lol.
Sweden is better on paper, and they play at home. But still we are not a second grade team who just somehow squeezed into the QF also, we have also very good team (with obvious weakness at D of course) who lost only one game so far. And after all its just one game and anything can happen.
But Yeah I am also leaning towards Sweden, but who knows maybe Rulik will cook it again lol