Blue Jays GDT: 2023 v12 | Sun, Oct 1 | vs TB *Last Regular Season Game* | 3:00pm ET/12:00pm PT | Lopez vs Parsons

[Bjindaho]

Exactly and this is why I was saying that dropping to 3rd may not be feasible.

The only way possible now is if Seattle sweeps and Houston loses out.

In that scenario, if you survive Minny, you get Scherzer, Montgomery, Eovaldi (Baltimore has mediocre starters and a great BP, but Texas has horses that could prevent you from facing their BP)

 

[Bjindaho]

Playoff scenarios:

Houston
- wins West with 2 wins and less than 2 wins for Texas
- WC2 with (2 wins and 2 Texas wins OR 1 win and 2 Seattle wins) AND 2 Toronto losses
- WC3 with 2 wins, 2 Seattle losses, 1 win and 1 Seattle loss OR (1 win, 2 Seattle wins, and a Toronto win)
- misses with 2 losses

Seattle
- wins West with 2 wins AND 1 Houston win
- WC2 with 2 wins AND 2 Toronto losses AND at least 1 Houston loss
- WC3 with 2 wins and 2 Toronto losses and 2 Houston wins OR 1 win and 2 Houston losses
- misses with 1 loss and 2 Houston wins OR 2 losses OR Houston win and Toronto win

Texas
- wins West with a win OR 2 Houston losses
- wins WC2 with a 1 win, 2 Houston wins and 1 or 2 Toronto losses
- wins WC3 with 2 losses, 1 Houston win, AND 2 Toronto losses
- misses with 2 losses, 1 or 2 Toronto wins AND 1 Houston win

Toronto
- WC2 with win OR 2 losses and Seattle loss and Houston loss
- WC3 with 2 losses and 2 Houston wins and at least one Seattle loss OR 2 losses and 2 Houston losses and 2 Seattle wins OR 1 win, 1 Texas win, and 2 Houston wins
- misses with 2 losses, 2 Seattle wins AND at least 1 Houston win

 

[Vector]

Of course I am taking the kids to a 12:30 showing of the Paw Patrol movie today…

 

[Bjindaho]

Playoff scenarios:

Houston
- wins West with 2 wins and less than 2 wins for Texas
- WC2 with (2 wins and 2 Texas wins OR 1 win and 2 Seattle wins) AND 2 Toronto losses
- WC3 with 2 wins, 2 Seattle losses, 1 win and 1 Seattle loss OR (1 win, 2 Seattle wins, and a Toronto win)
- misses with 2 losses

Seattle
- wins West with 2 wins AND 1 Houston win
- WC2 with 2 wins AND 2 Toronto losses AND at least 1 Houston loss
- WC3 with 2 wins and 2 Toronto losses and 2 Houston wins OR 1 win and 2 Houston losses
- misses with 2 losses OR 1 loss and a Houston win

Texas
- wins West with a win OR 2 Houston losses
- wins WC2 with a 1 win, 2 Houston wins and 1 or 2 Toronto losses
- wins WC3 with 2 losses, 1 Houston win, AND 2 Toronto losses
- misses with 2 losses, 1 or 2 Toronto wins AND 1 Houston win

Toronto
- WC2 with win OR 2 losses and Seattle loss and Houston loss
- WC3 with 2 losses and 2 Houston wins and at least one Seattle loss OR 2 losses and 2 Houston losses and 2 Seattle wins
- misses with 2 losses, 2 Seattle wins AND at least 1 Houston win

The skinny is:
Seattle wins all tiebreakers except a 2 way tie with Texas
Houston beats Texas (2 way for division they win and any 3 or 4 way they finish 2nd behind Seattle)
Texas beats Toronto and Seattle (only in a 2 way tie)
Toronto beats Houston (only in a 2 way tie)

 

[Bjindaho]

Toronto win and they are in (could be WC2 or WC3)
Houston win and they are in (could be West champ, WC2 or WC3)
Texas win and they are in (same as Houston)
Seattle can win both and miss. Texas can lose both and win the West.

 

[Discoverer]

The only way possible now is if Seattle sweeps and Houston loses out.

In that scenario, if you survive Minny, you get Scherzer, Montgomery, Eovaldi (Baltimore has mediocre starters and a great BP, but Texas has horses that could prevent you from facing their BP)

I'm not any more comfortable against Minnesota than I am against Tampa Bay at this point. They're both good teams, but the Jays can beat either.

The number of injuries the Rays have had kind of levels it off for me and the Jays have played really well against them recently, including against Glasnow.

 

[canucksfan]

No Diaz but a solid lineup

 

[MS]

Probably better than a 50/50 chance this is Ryu’s last appearance (and certainly last start) as a Jay.

… and not starting well here.

 

[trellaine201]

Boooo Ryu

 

[canucksfan]

Not a surprising start

 

[trellaine201]

Jesus

Lets go Houston.

 

[MS]

Not a surprising start

Nope. Would have been a good idea to use an opener here.

 

[MK78]

As I feared, Ryu not very sharp. lucky to get away with 1 run.

 

[canucksfan]

Nope. Would have been a good idea to use an opener here.

Yup.

At least he got out of it. Worried when the top of lineup comes up again.

 

[CabanaBoy5]

FU RYU! That off speed shit is being devoured. We want this game so Gausman doesn’t have to pitch tomorrow (which can still happen if Seattle loses).

 

[Da Cool Rula]

He seemed to adjust with those last 2 outs. Let’s see what happens.

FU RYU! That off speed shit is being devoured. We want this game so Gausman doesn’t have to pitch tomorrow (which can still happen if Seattle loses).

Bochy sure looks old watching him to go to the bullpen

 

[mikeyz]

The only way possible now is if Seattle sweeps and Houston loses out.

In that scenario, if you survive Minny, you get Scherzer, Montgomery, Eovaldi (Baltimore has mediocre starters and a great BP, but Texas has horses that could prevent you from facing their BP)

You mean win out right?

 

[Da Cool Rula]

Better

 

[trellaine201]

Is this ump drunk

 

[Philly Fanatik]

Too much pressure for the Jays hitters…
Looks like a nervous ball club!

 

[MS]

Ryu can fool kids on Oakland or KC but is no match for professional hitters like Ramirez and this TB team.

 

[go_leafs_go02]

Too much pressure for the Jays hitters…
Looks like a nervous ball club!

Such a different vibe in the ballpark too compared to last night.

 

[Discoverer]

Too much pressure for the Jays hitters…
Looks like a nervous ball club!

It's been two innings a day after they scored 11 runs. Calm down.

 

[Da Cool Rula]

Looks like another gut out game. Pitching wise

 

[TheBeastCoast]

Soft tossing lefties always gonna be struggle season against the Rays. Not a chance I am letting him go through this lineup a 3rd time.