Habs Halifax
Loyal Habs Fan
The outcome of previous lotteries are irrelevant to the outcome of this one. You're not going out on a limb because what you say has a fair chance of happening. Its nonsensical because there is no reason to believe that the 49.5% odds of something happening are more likely to occur than the 50.5% odds of it not.
It's a superstitious approach. No need to nit pick it.