Red Sox/MLB 2023 Regular Season III

[CDJ]

With Perales it will come down to health and control/command. The stuff is already big league caliber, everything else lags pretty far behind at the moment. Fairly certain we will need to add him to the 40 man in the off-season to protect him from the Rule 5 and I think they will do it

 

[BruinsFanSince94]

I don’t think there is a bigger schmuck on the radio right now than Matt McCarthy. Holy f***, does this guy continually suck. It’s impressive actually.

 

[CDJ]

The strength of the schedule the Sox have played to date is something to account for- this is from Eric Van who had a role in the org under the Epstein administration


“So, there are 8 teams in MLB with a score of less than -0.5 in b-Ref's schedule-adjusted run differential metric: A's, Royals, Tigers, Rockies, Nats, White Sox, Mets, and Marlins.

Games against them played so far by AL East and other WC candidates:

22 Orioles
19 Rays
19 Angels
16 Astros
13 Blue Jays
6 Yankees
3 Red Sox

And we're 4 games back in the WC race, with 96 games left.”



None of this matters if they continue to score 3 runs a game but it’s an interesting thing to note. The schedule will get easier for them and it will get more difficult for many of their AL opponents.

 

[McGarnagle]

The strength of the schedule the Sox have played to date is something to account for- this is from Eric Van who had a role in the org under the Epstein administration


“So, there are 8 teams in MLB with a score of less than -0.5 in b-Ref's schedule-adjusted run differential metric: A's, Royals, Tigers, Rockies, Nats, White Sox, Mets, and Marlins.

Games against them played so far by AL East and other WC candidates:

22 Orioles
19 Rays
19 Angels
16 Astros
13 Blue Jays
6 Yankees
3 Red Sox

And we're 4 games back in the WC race, with 96 games left.”



None of this matters if they continue to score 3 runs a game but it’s an interesting thing to note. The schedule will get easier for them and it will get more difficult for many of their AL opponents.

And on the flipside, if you take away our 1-7 record against Tampa, who are a wagon, our placement would look a lot better. Especially since the Orioles and Astros have only played the Rays 3 times a piece and the Angels haven't met them at all yet, there's the opportunity to make up ground in the WC race.

I'm trying to not let myself get too crazy with optimism, I think it's more likely than not that we're going to end up in last place, but I think they'll hang in it long enough to keep us watching into September.

 

[Bruinswillwin77]

The strength of the schedule the Sox have played to date is something to account for- this is from Eric Van who had a role in the org under the Epstein administration


“So, there are 8 teams in MLB with a score of less than -0.5 in b-Ref's schedule-adjusted run differential metric: A's, Royals, Tigers, Rockies, Nats, White Sox, Mets, and Marlins.

Games against them played so far by AL East and other WC candidates:

22 Orioles
19 Rays
19 Angels
16 Astros
13 Blue Jays
6 Yankees
3 Red Sox

And we're 4 games back in the WC race, with 96 games left.”



None of this matters if they continue to score 3 runs a game but it’s an interesting thing to note. The schedule will get easier for them and it will get more difficult for many of their AL opponents.

And they swept the Tigers but it's depressing even reading posts like this.

Like it's come to this. Cherry picking stats to convince yourself and everybody else they're a playoff team.

 

[Johnnyduke]

I don’t think there is a bigger schmuck on the radio right now than Matt McCarthy. Holy f***, does this guy continually suck. It’s impressive actually.

Because he's critical of a bad baseball team?

 

[McGarnagle]

June and July will be crucial for this team. From now until July 23rd, aside from 3 games with Texas and 3 against an overperforming Marlins team, everyone you're facing is at or below your level. Over those 34 games, you should aim for 24-10 as a goal. Anything over 20 wins in that stretch puts you reasonably back in the race, but you really need to take advantage of this stretch.

Knowing them though, the Sox will charge back and get in a wild card position in September then pull a Penguins and get swept by the White Sox on the penultimate weekend to eliminate themselves from contention.

 

[Bruinswillwin77]

June and July will be crucial for this team. From now until July 23rd, aside from 3 games with Texas and 3 against an overperforming Marlins team, everyone you're facing is at or below your level. Over those 34 games, you should aim for 24-10 as a goal. Anything over 20 wins in that stretch puts you reasonably back in the race, but you really need to take advantage of this stretch.

Knowing them though, the Sox will charge back and get in a wild card position in September then pull a Penguins and get swept by the White Sox on the penultimate weekend to eliminate themselves from contention.

I'm gonna guess 19-15.

 

[CDJ]

And they swept the Tigers but it's depressing even reading posts like this.

Like it's come to this. Cherry picking stats to convince yourself and everybody else they're a playoff team.

Oh I’m not convinced it’s a playoff team at all, but I do think it’s relevant context

 

[McGarnagle]

And while the schedule is favorable from here onwards, mathematically there's a lot of work to do.

The playoff line for the third WC last year was 86 wins (3rd WC Tampa), to get to 86 you'd have to go 53-43, which is feasible but the competition is much more stiff this year and 86 isn't going to be enough. Right now the Astros are the 3rd WC and playing at a 91 win pace. But let's presume there will be regression from the others in the race and set 90 as a target. To get to 90 wins we'd have to go 57-39 the rest of the year which is a 97 win pace over a full 162. With the state of our pitching rotation, that's asking a lot. But I do like this team.

 

[Bruinswillwin77]

Oh I’m not convinced it’s a playoff team at all, but I do think it’s relevant context

Hey, I'm not rooting against em'. I watch when I can I just don't see it unless they go on some crazy streak but with their starting pitching.

 

[CDJ]

And while the schedule is favorable from here onwards, mathematically there's a lot of work to do.

The playoff line for the third WC last year was 86 wins (3rd WC Tampa), to get to 86 you'd have to go 53-43, which is feasible but the competition is much more stiff this year and 86 isn't going to be enough. Right now the Astros are the 3rd WC and playing at a 91 win pace. But let's presume there will be regression from the others in the race and set 90 as a target. To get to 90 wins we'd have to go 57-39 the rest of the year which is a 97 win pace over a full 162. With the state of our pitching rotation, that's asking a lot. But I do like this team.

I think it’s most likely they end up the way you see it- competitive but likely on the outside looking in due to the intense competition in the division

 

[BruinsFanSince94]

Would love to blow the doors off old friend Connor Seabold tonight. Paxton on the bump. Continue to throw well and let’s go for 2 in a row! Lol

 

[Johnnyduke]

If you ever get excited about a college pitcher...

I lean old school but 156 pitches is absurd and completely irresponsible from a coach.

 

[BruinsFanSince94]

Saw this tweet and 10000% agree. If they can land an ace this off-season, things get a lot better quickly. Yamamoto is the “ace” signed for his mock but there’s a few other options.

 

[BruinsFanSince94]

I get sitting Yoshida after a rough series at the dish but I would have liked to see him get right against Seabold tonight.

Devers, wtf man. That’s trash.

 

[quietbruinfan]

I officially do not want to see Devers with RISP anymore. He is an impatient mess.

 

[McGarnagle]

JBJ got DFA'd by KC.

Don't even think about it, Chaim

 

[EverettMike]

 

[BruinsFanSince94]

Jesus, that was a pretty legit play by Kiké there. Devers essentially screening him.

 

[Dennis Bonvie]

Is Millar coked up or what?

 

[BruinsFanSince94]

Jesus, that was a pretty legit play by Kiké there. Devers essentially screening him.

And an inning later he makes a garbage throw and costs the Sox a run. That is frustration level 100 right there.

 

[CDJ]

death by Kikè’s throwing yips

 

[McGarnagle]

Kike is a butcher

 

[BruinsFanSince94]

Is Millar coked up or what?

I need it with how boring DOB is. Merloni and Millar are fun.

14 errors by Kiké. That is so trash.