Boston Bruins 2023-24 Roster and Salary Cap Discussion VI

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GordonHowe

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Mick Colageo, Boston Hockey Now:

Through November 23rd, the Bruins had the NHL’s best goals-against average (2.08), save pct. (.933), penalty kill (.910) and goal differential (25).

My, what a difference a busy month makes.

Today the Boston Bruins are only six points ahead of the best record outside the playoffs; they hold two games in hand on Carolina, but will they win them?

Given their propensity – or by now is it a belief building in their opponents – to allow late-period goals, their inability to win a crucial defensive-zone draw has become a barnacle so heavy that it makes the ship list.

Friday night in Winnipeg was a stinker, the kind they were relieved to put behind them within 24 hours. Only an honest effort on Saturday in Minnesota was just as pointless.

What has changed? Lots of things. First, the predictable stuff:

Brad Marchand has hit a rough patch; nothing is happening for him at 5 on 5. If he is healthy, this will turn around.

David Pastrnak, tied for third in NHL scoring through Thanksgiving (12-17-29 in 18GP) has cooled off. At 8-7-15 in his last 14GP, his current point-per-game pace is still best in Boston.

At Thanksgiving, mainstay centermen Charlie Coyle and Pavel Zacha both had scored 7 goals and ranked among the NHL’s top 25 sharp shooters at 22.6% (15th) and 20.6% (23rd), respectively. Since Thanksgiving, Coyle has 3 goals, Zacha 1, and both have fallen off the top-30 shot-pct. chart.

James van Riemsdyk was 5-8-13 in 18GP through Thanksgiving; in 13 games since, he has scored one powerplay goal (6-15-21 in 31GP).

At 4-5-9 in his first 18 NHL games, Matt Poitras was tied for eighth in rookie scoring at Thanksgiving. He was 1-3-4 in his last 9GP and is spending Christmas in Sweden playing for Canada at the World Junior Championships.

Remember when three goals were guaranteed? Four times in their last eight games the Boston Bruins have been held to one goal.

Now for the less predictable:

Linus Ullmark started the season 7-1-1 with a 2.10 GAA and .932 save pct.; he is 3-4-1 in his last eight and his 2.87/.900 are middle-of-the-pack numbers. While Jeremy Swayman has only won one of his last five starts (1-2-2), his Thanksgiving stats (2.09/.933) stats are still handsome at Christmas: 2.25 (NHL 3rd) and .928 (tied for 2nd).

Of most intrigue in this space is the plight of Charlie McAvoy, who since his suspension for a miss-hit on Oliver Ekman-Larsson has been somewhat shy to risk penalties and has become a bullseye for opponents’ false courage.

Even the 73 on McAvoy’s back is taking a beating. The Bruins’ most important player is under siege. His point-per-game pace through Thanksgiving (3-10-13, +4 in 14GP) is way off the rails. Over his last 10, McAvoy has struggled to produce 5 assists and played minus-11 hockey.

Through the Bruins’ slide, neither he nor Hampus Lindholm (1-6-7, +1) have been able to support the forwards. Montgomery’s four-man attack, the basis of Boston’s offense, is sputtering.

There are many more data points that Bruins management will look hard at before the NHL’s roster freeze ends with Wednesday’s game in Buffalo.

No doubt tweaks are in order, but this is about more in my opinion.

I believe that, as Montgomery alluded before the wagon went off the rails, the NHL gets harder with every month and that, while the points the Bruins banked are invaluable, the task is not about restoring an order. It’s about manning up to the competition, which keeps stiffening.

The Boston Bruins need a left-shot, top-four defenseman with a physical edge that can ease the game for McAvoy. He doesn’t have to match Matt Grzelcyk’s speed on the retrieval, but he must be quicker than Derek Forbort, whose nagging injury has the PK specialist on LTIR.

After dropping six straight, is Ottawa’s interim GM Steve Staios (or a potential successor) desperate enough to consider parting with Jakob Chychrun, for instance?

I’ve heard/read the argument that the Boston Bruins need secondary scoring, and if hockey were played on paper I would agree. But it’s played on ice, with boards and plexiglass in hard equipment at high speed and often violently.

Finding a mercenary’s 25-goal stick might help the Bruins extend some leads and make them a slightly more comfortable regular-season team, but if there is a winger out there who can augment the top six with a menacing forecheck, sign me up over an aggregate approach eight days a week. ...

With the offseason loss so many forwards, I thought Georgii Merkulov would make Boston’s opening-night roster.

Like many deflated hopefuls, it’s taken Merkulov some time to rediscover his scoring touch, but with 8-6-14 scoring totals in his last eight games, the P-Bruins center was among the top scorers in the AHL at 13-15-28 in 30 GP.
According to eagle eye Mark Divver (rinksiderhodeisland.com), Merkulov has taken a major step this year in his play without the puck. In an interview with Bruins flagship radio station 98.5 The Sports Hub, Divver called him “a classic, Russian center.”

When I think of the classic Russian center, I think of Detroit’s Magic Man, Pavel Datsyuk, who only went 5-11 and 194 but was rock solid in the tight areas of the rink. Merkulov, who shoots right (Datsyuk shot left), goes 5-11 and 176.

I’d be lying, though, if I didn’t admit when Merkulov gets in tight on the net and rifles a backhand over the glove he reminds me of Datsyuk. ...
 

SPV

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Debrusk and Lysell to Nashville for Trenin and Lauzon
Grzelyck waived or traded for a pick
Ullmark and Steen for McLeod, Lavoie, Campbell at 50%, and a 1st.

A few more guys to help us be the hammer instead of the nail. Probably not great, but I’m not really good at proposal stuff anyway. Figured Campbell added to get the first, Edmonton saves 1.3 in cap getting rid of him, and we could bury him at half without a big penalty. Ullmark probably wouldn’t waive anyway

Marchand-Zacha-Pasta
Freddy-Coyle-JVR
Trenin-McLeod-Geekie
Heinen-Beecher-Lauko
Lavoie

Lindholm-Mac
Lauzon-Carlo
Forbort-Shattenkirk
Wotherspoon

Swayman
Bussi/Campbell
 

Ozzy Osbourne

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Are we actually linked to Hannifin? Personally, I sure hope not. The last thing we need is another over-paid, big, soft defenseman. I think we pretty much have the market cornered in that department.
I’d rather pick up a Jake Middleton or someone like him. He would fill a glaring need. Im not sure who is available, but give me a Gudas, Gudbranson or Lauzon part II.

Debrusk and Lysell to Nashville for Trenin and Lauzon
Grzelyck waived or traded for a pick
Ullmark and Steen for McLeod, Lavoie, Campbell at 50%, and a 1st.

A few more guys to help us be the hammer instead of the nail. Probably not great, but I’m not really good at proposal stuff anyway. Figured Campbell added to get the first, Edmonton saves 1.3 in cap getting rid of him, and we could bury him at half without a big penalty. Ullmark probably wouldn’t waive anyway

Marchand-Zacha-Pasta
Freddy-Coyle-JVR
Trenin-McLeod-Geekie
Heinen-Beecher-Lauko
Lavoie

Lindholm-Mac
Lauzon-Carlo
Forbort-Shattenkirk
Wotherspoon

Swayman
Bussi/Campbell
I could get on board with this.
 
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wintersej

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Debrusk and Lysell to Nashville for Trenin and Lauzon
Grzelyck waived or traded for a pick
Ullmark and Steen for McLeod, Lavoie, Campbell at 50%, and a 1st.

A few more guys to help us be the hammer instead of the nail. Probably not great, but I’m not really good at proposal stuff anyway. Figured Campbell added to get the first, Edmonton saves 1.3 in cap getting rid of him, and we could bury him at half without a big penalty. Ullmark probably wouldn’t waive anyway

Marchand-Zacha-Pasta
Freddy-Coyle-JVR
Trenin-McLeod-Geekie
Heinen-Beecher-Lauko
Lavoie

Lindholm-Mac
Lauzon-Carlo
Forbort-Shattenkirk
Wotherspoon

Swayman
Bussi/Campbell

I don’t think the plus in that deal needs to be or should be Lysell.
 

Thomas 11

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Debrusk and Lysell to Nashville for Trenin and Lauzon
Grzelyck waived or traded for a pick
Ullmark and Steen for McLeod, Lavoie, Campbell at 50%, and a 1st.

A few more guys to help us be the hammer instead of the nail. Probably not great, but I’m not really good at proposal stuff anyway. Figured Campbell added to get the first, Edmonton saves 1.3 in cap getting rid of him, and we could bury him at half without a big penalty. Ullmark probably wouldn’t waive anyway

Marchand-Zacha-Pasta
Freddy-Coyle-JVR
Trenin-McLeod-Geekie
Heinen-Beecher-Lauko
Lavoie

Lindholm-Mac
Lauzon-Carlo
Forbort-Shattenkirk
Wotherspoon

Swayman
Bussi/Campbell
I want nothing to do with Campbell. He has 3 more years after this. No thanks at 2.5 million in dead cap space, certainly not for McLeod and Lavoie.
 

Fenian24

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Debrusk and Lysell to Nashville for Trenin and Lauzon
Grzelyck waived or traded for a pick
Ullmark and Steen for McLeod, Lavoie, Campbell at 50%, and a 1st.

A few more guys to help us be the hammer instead of the nail. Probably not great, but I’m not really good at proposal stuff anyway. Figured Campbell added to get the first, Edmonton saves 1.3 in cap getting rid of him, and we could bury him at half without a big penalty. Ullmark probably wouldn’t waive anyway

Marchand-Zacha-Pasta
Freddy-Coyle-JVR
Trenin-McLeod-Geekie
Heinen-Beecher-Lauko
Lavoie

Lindholm-Mac
Lauzon-Carlo
Forbort-Shattenkirk
Wotherspoon

Swayman
Bussi/Campbell
Don't like the Edmonton part as I think you can get more for Ullmark, love the Nashville and dumping Grizz parts.
 
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DKH

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Feb 27, 2002
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Fabbro the guy a few here wanted over Mac in the draft has been very ordinary and soft as warm butter. Lohrei and Shatty have a better point-per-game total than him this year. Why bother with small sideways moves, that's not going to change anything.

Go big, Forsberg was talked about a lot in the summer and he would be a positive move. They need to get tougher and find a Bergeron replacement. Most likely it happens after this year when the cap is our friend. Hanifin will be available without giving anything up.
I wanted Fabbro I feel for articles I read even though I went to several BU games and loved McAvoy

I do not see Fabro - I see the guy who has a house 20 minutes from TD Garden getting to play with several of his friends
 
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DKH

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Didn't change my take about this team: they are overachieving and imo far from being good enough to be called contender.

That being said my opinion is certainly minority: I'd not waste any asset on a transition year (for a hockey trade I'd be on board though). They need to clean cap and hoping to get a #1b center in free agency/offseason.
They have 26-30 M offseason and really only Swayman a priority

According to the Athletic non Bruins writer they are in great shape and poised to add 2 significant players if they don’t retain DeBrusk

Not happy with his last playoff performance and still angry about it but motivation and skill can be a lethal combination. Hopefully Ullmark shows that this time around.
Rewatch the one bad game by Ullmark - the killer was ……….


Conor Clifton
 
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wintersej

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Averaged out over a full season that’s 10 or 11 more non power play points, which is a good amount.

If I told you that player A that plays with McDavid full time had 10 more points than player B who didn’t play with McDavid full time would you say “that seems reasonable”?

Because Pasta was a better non PP player than McDavid last year.

I just think that JDB is ONE of the guys that is failing to produce enough offense, but has been getting the full ire of all the offensive issues. Trent Frederic shouldn’t have more 5 on 5 points than DeBrusk. Or Zacha. Or Marchand.

But he does.
 

UncleRico

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May 8, 2017
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They have 26-30 M offseason and really only Swayman a priority

According to the Athletic non Bruins writer they are in great shape and poised to add 2 significant players if they don’t retain DeBrusk


Rewatch the one bad game by Ullmark - the killer was ……….


Conor Clifton

Which one bad game would that be?

Game 2 with the .828 save percentage

Or

Game5 with the .840 save percentage

Or

Game 6 with the .813 save percentage
 

UncleRico

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May 8, 2017
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If I told you that player A that plays with McDavid full time had 10 more points than player B who didn’t play with McDavid full time would you say “that seems reasonable”?

Because Pasta was a better non PP player than McDavid last year.

I just think that JDB is ONE of the guys that is failing to produce enough offense, but has been getting the full ire of all the offensive issues. Trent Frederic shouldn’t have more 5 on 5 points than DeBrusk. Or Zacha. Or Marchand.

But he does.

1. No one on the bruins is playing with mcdavid so it’s a moot point

2. It’s not just 10 or 11 points it’s even strength points

You are making excuses left and right the past couples days for Debrusk sucking. 10 or 11 even strength points is a considerable difference over a full season.

Trent Frederic only had 7 less even strength points than bergeron last year and Marchand last year.

10 or 11 even strength points differential over the course of a season is a lot
 

wintersej

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Nov 26, 2011
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North Andover, MA
1. No one on the bruins is playing with mcdavid so it’s a moot point

2. It’s not just 10 or 11 points it’s even strength points

You are making excuses left and right the past couples days for Debrusk sucking. 10 or 11 even strength points is a considerable difference over a full season.

Trent Frederic only had 7 less even strength points than bergeron last year and Marchand last year.

10 or 11 even strength points differential over the course of a season is a lot

Pasta had MORE even strength points than McJesus last year and didn’t get a bunch of time with Drai. If being attached to Pasta and getting fed offensive zone time isn’t worth 10 or 11 even strength points…

It’s just amazing the free pass that Zacha and Marchand are getting by folks that are sorting by points without thinking about context. MOST players in the league have their point totals highly affected by their teammates and role. It’s not excuse making for DeBrusk, he needs to score more, it’s pointing out there is more criticism to go around and JDB is getting the scape goat treatment.
 

UncleRico

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Pasta had MORE even strength points than McJesus last year and didn’t get a bunch of time with Drai. If being attached to Pasta and getting fed offensive zone time isn’t worth 10 or 11 even strength points…

It’s just amazing the free pass that Zacha and Marchand are getting by folks that are sorting by points without thinking about context. MOST players in the league have their point totals highly affected by their teammates and role. It’s not excuse making for DeBrusk, he needs to score more, it’s pointing out there is more criticism to go around and JDB is getting the scape goat treatment.

Marchand turns 36 years old in less than three months. He’s on the downside of his career. If debrusk was carrying his weight then he would have replaced Marchand on first line LW.

Why are we comparing a soon to be 36 year old Marchand a little over a year removed from double hip surgery to Debrusk in the prime of his career?

If you’re confused as to why people are criticizing Debrusk more than marchand you need to step back and think a little harder.
 
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DKH

Worst Poster/Awful Takes
Feb 27, 2002
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If I told you that player A that plays with McDavid full time had 10 more points than player B who didn’t play with McDavid full time would you say “that seems reasonable”?

Because Pasta was a better non PP player than McDavid last year.

I just think that JDB is ONE of the guys that is failing to produce enough offense, but has been getting the full ire of all the offensive issues. Trent Frederic shouldn’t have more 5 on 5 points than DeBrusk. Or Zacha. Or Marchand.

But he does.
Monty should stick JVR-Coyle -Frederic together and play third line

They seem to carry play every shift
 
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