i
I think Chicago goes Hagens for sure, views it as Toews/Kane 2.0 (hype not playing styles)
I think Seattle and Nashville both go high end forward as well.
Am i biased? Probably, but i do see worlds where teams who lack that future 1C value that over Schaefer. Especially a team lacking offence with Bedard.
All things being equal, Chicago, Nashville, NYI, Buffalo likely would probably prefer a forward. Anaheim, Seattle, and the Sharks would likely prefer a big smooth skating dman (though Anaheim is strong at LHD, none at Schaefer’s level). Philly would probably prefer a center, but need a franchise Dman as well. That being said, I don’t think it’s all that equal. Schaefer has been getting all the press to be the #1 player in the draft, though mono and the broken collarbone may minimize that a bit. I do think with a strong second half Hagens could close the gap, but I’d be very surprised to see Schaefer slip to third. As it is (or even with further regression) we’ll need lotto luck.
Somewhat bizarrely #1 OA dmen are usually top 4 but not elite guys. However; outside the #1 OA, the top Dman taken in a given draft is often excellent.
1991. Lindros/Falloon/Niedermayer/Lachance
1992. Hamrlik/Yashin/Rathje/Warriner
1993. Daigle/Pronger/Gratton/Kariya
1994. Jovo/Tverdosky/Bonk/Bonsignore
1995. Bernard/Redden/Berg/Kilger
1996. Phillips/Zyuzin/JP Dumont/Volchov
1997. Thornton/Marleau/Jokinen/Lou/Brewer (5th)
1998. Lecavalier/Legwand/Stuart/Allen
1999. Stefan/Sedin/Sedin/Brendl/Mezei (10th)
2000. Dipietro/Heatley/Gaborik/Kesla
2001.Kovalchuk/Spezza/Svitov/Weiss/Komarisek (7th)
2002. Nash/Lehtonen/Jbouw/Pitkanen
2003. Fleury/Staal/Zherdev/Horton/Suter (7th)
2004. Ovy/Malkin/Barker/Ladd
2005. Crosby/Ryan/Jack Johnson/Pouliot
2006. EJ/Staal/Toews/Backstrom
2007. Kane/JVR/Turris/Hickey
2008. Stamkos/Doughty/Bogo/Pietro
2009. Tavares/Hedman/Duchene/Kane
2010. Hall/Seguin/Gundbransson/Johansen
2011. Hopkins/Landeskog/Huberdeau/Larsson
2012. Yakupov/Murray/Galyenchuk/Reinhardt
2013. Mackinnon/Barkov/Druoin/Jones
2014. Ekblad/Reinhardt/Draisaitl/Bennett
2015. McDavid/Eichel/Hanifun/Strome
2016. Matthews/Laine/Dubois/Puljujarvi/Juolevi (5th)
2017. Hischier/Patrick/Heiskanen/Makar
2018. Dahlin/Schevchnikov/Kotkaniemi/B. Tkachuk
2019. Hughes/Kaako/Dach/Byram
2020. Lafreniere/Byfeld/Stuzle/Raymond/Sanderson (5th)
2021. Power/Beniers/McTavish/Hughes
2022. Slafovsky/Nemec/Cooley/Wright
2023. Bedard/Carlsson/Fantilli/Smith/Reinbacher (5th)
2024. Celebrini/Levshunov/Sennecke/Lindstrom