For some reason I wouldn’t be upset if these happened…
make all 3 picks
suck again this year for another top 10 pick
trade Vrana for a 1st
trade Kap for a 2nd
we’d have a pretty stacked minors and be set up pretty nice for 2024-2025
That's not my Plan A because I think it will be pretty hard for us to be bottom 10 in the league again without selling multiple good players before the season starts.
I'm high on Hofer to outperform what we got from Greiss last year. Even if we don't change the D at all, I think Scandella in the lineup all year makes the PK and defensive ability of the D group better. And I think a change to the defensive team structure will help the back-door tap ins. I wouldn't expect the group to be great defensively, but I wouldn't expect bottom 5 in the league again.
And our division is shaping up to be brutal. Arizona and Chicago should still be bad. Maybe not as bad as 2022/23, but still bad. It's looking like a tear-down in Winnipeg. Minnesota only has $8.2M to fill 7 roster spots (including extending/replacing Dumba and Gustavsson). I expect a step back from them. Nashville has some nice young players, but a full season without Ekholm is going to take its toll and there is still a non-insignificant chance that they sell another player or two for picks today. Lots of winnable games in this division next year.
I think the roster we have today is more like a 85-90 point team than an 80 point (or worse) team (which is usually about what it takes to be bottom 10). And if we do sell at the deadline, we would almost certainly be calling up Dean/Bolduc. They would be eager to earn jobs and they'd have gotten 50ish AHL games. I think that infusion of raw young talent (along with Alexandrov/Torpo getting increased ice time) would be enough to prevent a 5-15 post-deadline slide.
So I think that the top 10 pick is a tough one to pencil in. But if we don't upgrade the D, make all 3 picks, and wind up sellers then I'd be very pleased if we turn Vrana and Kap into a couple nice assets. A 2024 draft where we pick in the top 16, the late 1st, and three times in the 2nd would set the prospect pool up nicely.