30?
I'm looking for better than .5 points per game, and/or a 20+ goals. That would be 42+ points over the course of a full season. He wasn't that far off this year (35pt pace). So it's not unrealistic at all.
If you're a lottery pick forward, and you can't do that in your D5 year, you're probably never going to be a great player.
Well, usually yeah but Vilardi did lose about a year and a half for his injury, so he might be due a little leeway. That said, I don't think that 40ish points is unreasonable for Vilardi next year either.
Here's some guys who were earlier picks who took 4-5 to hit that .5ppg mark:
Brayden Schenn took 4 years
JVR took 4 years
Turris took 5 years
Couture took 4 years
Johansen took 4 years
Schwartz took 4 years
Drouin took 4 years
Lindholm took 4 years
Horvat took 4 years
None of them had to deal with an injury coming in like Vilardi who lost what, 1.5 years? There is a lot of good production on that list, if Vilardi gets his conditioning sorted I think his production will fit in somewhere in the above group.