A few take away to this.
1. The Ducks don't reach for prospects with respect to their draft board. Madden also identifies this occurs with other teams as well in that draft primer article. Yet fans think players drafted by teams unexpectedly high are reaches.
2. We're not great at drafting forwards that pan out regardless where they're picked in the draft.
3. Anaheim was willing to give up the talents of Tracey and LaCombe to land Krebs.
As for Jones, I looked at his
EP profile, his draft year production and D+1:
"
Max Jones is a diligent and hard-working power forward capable of being an impact player every shift. He's strong on the puck and routinely looks to create separation. He knows his game inside out and has a wide array of tools at his disposal. Strength and speed allow him to bull his way to the front of the net where he is relentless and creates havoc. Makes smart decisions with the puck and doesn't give the opposition time and space. Possesses high-end finishing ability and "wills" the puck to the back of the net. All-in-all, a determined forward who puts tremendous pressure on his opponents when he's on the ice. (Curtis Joe, EP 2016)"
A 6'3 power forward that just keeps going with potential to score. Jones did improve his point-per-game rate between his draft year and D+1. His playoff production also improved between his draft year and D+1. Right now, he's just a third line energy guy who's fast, has an edge, and is undisciplined/raw. I guess he's our new version of Cogs, but he isn't Cogs. He turned 22-years old February. Max may need more seasoning, but we lack talent at the NHL level to keep him developing at the AHL. LoL
I don't know what we're expecting from picks 16 +. Are we expecting 1st line, top-end players between picks 16 to the end of the 2nd round? That's the hope, but that isn't what commonly happens. I'm just hoping we get them to the NHL level. The Ducks are really good at getting players beyond the top-15 to reach the NHL level because they're rarely there on their own. Before the last two years, Ritchie was the last top-10 pick we had, but we got the 10th overall pick because it was package in trading away Bobby Ryan to the Sens. Our original pick in 2014 draft was the 24th overall, which we packaged away to acquire C Kesler in a trade. Our own last top-10 pick was D Lindholm in 2012 at 6th overall, which everyone called as an overreach. That's a six year gap of not having a top-10 pick of our own. We also never had a top-10 pick before then under GM Murray, who took over GM duties on Nov. 2008. Murray's first NHL draft under his direction started in 2009. For a decade, we've had only one top-10 selection of our own doing via record. Not too shabby!
Picks 20-30 (or 31st... Vegas joined the league to make 31 teams in 2017)
2009: 26th, RW Palmieri
2010: 29th, RW Etem
2011: 30th, RW Rakell
2012: ...
2013: 26th, D Theodore
2014: 24th, (traded away in package for C Kesler)
2015: 27th, D Larsson
2016: 24th, LW Jones; 30th C Steel
2017: 29th, (traded away in deal for F Eaves)
2018: 23rd, C Lundestrom
2019: 29th, LW Tracey
2020: 27th, tbd
D Larsson is the cutoff as to how prospects have panned out. Larsson is only 23 yrs old with 113 games played at the NHL level. That means the Ducks have hit on 3 out of 4 prospects in the 20-30 range with Palms, Rakell, and Theo. We're spoiled to expect that type of outcome often. Surprisingly, we're 2 out of 3 with drafting of forwards.
I stand corrected on point 2 that I listed in the aforementioned. ha! When Rakell was brought up as an NHL regular during the 2014-15 season, where we had already won the Pacific division two years in a row prior to the 2014-15 season. Which means Rakell was surrounded by a lot of good players on the team. Steel debuted in the 2018-19 season. We were a less talented team in 2018-19 season to where we had to field both Steel and Lundestrom into our starting lineup to begin the season, with Lundestrom playing in his draft year as an 18-year old.
Maybe the Jones, Steel, and Lundestrom group can help be that first step back to having talent on the team again to allow a Tracey to flourish like Rakell when his time comes up. Of course, Zegras and who we pick at 6th overall will probably boost our talents more than who we pick 20-31st. Guess the problem with our current forward grouping is that they're not sheltered with talents around them like Rakell was when he was brought up to the NHL level at age 21. In 2014-15, we had four 20+ goal scorers (Perry, Getz, Belesky, and Kesler) with Perry scoring 33 goals, as well as nine players with double digit goal scoring. In 2018-19, we had one 20+ goal scorer in Silf with 24 goals, but had seven players with double digit goal scoring. In 2019-20, we had two goal scorers with 20+ goals, but only five players with double digit goal scoring.
The loss of Perry, Kesler, and Eaves has a direct impact on our youths as it exploits the lack of talent the NHL club has without those top-end talents providing sheltering. Offensively, I don't know if we did a lot for 2020-21 season, but I know defensively we've improved which includes F Heinen. If our defense can be relied upon, then it may allow our talented forwards to be more creative. Tracey may be following in the footsteps of Rakell's situation when Tracey finally makes his way onto the NHL club a couple of seasons from now.