Chazz Reinhold
Registered User
Which is one of the reasons they started tracking high danger scoring opportunities rather than just raw volume as well, but the same problem applies with the Kings, despite the large jump in events.
But believe me yes that's occured to everyone. Still, the math adds up--provided you have NHL level scoring, a few difference points in shooting percentage would still find a team pouring more shots in (while limiting the opposition's) the winner more often than not. The "provided you have NHL level shooting" thing has been the hitch for us, though.
There's also the issue of "results not matching underlying numbers" that happens a lot early in the season (see Buffalo and the unsustainable one-goal victories with poor underlying numbers during their ten-game win streak last season). Just because there's not a correlation between one or all CF%, xGF/GA%, SCF%, HDSCF%, etc. and actual results ten games into the season for most teams doesn't mean the actual results won't regress to more closely align with the underlying numbers by the end of the season (as has been demonstrated by those showing that almost all of the top corsi teams last season made the playoffs). I think that's being ignored (not by you) by some here.