I would agree with all that except the bolded.
I was shocked Lander didn't become at least a 3C in the NHL let alone a 4C. The only thing I can think of that truly set him back was skating, but I never really heard it was an issue that "should" hold him back. But the point remains he didn't make it and it's very safe to say Lander was higher rated.
Edit: Some of this is just my skepticism for any Oiler Pick outside of the first round. Do we even have a second or later rounder that we drafted and is currently on the team? Petry and Marincin are the only 2 that came to mind that actually played a bit for the Oil.
Id say Rasanen and Lander were pretty bang on in draft +1 years. Both were main stays on their WJC and junior international teams with similar enough production. Neither dominated their leagues but both were solid
I can somewhat agree with the bolded. It is true Oilers were horrible with depth picks in the past but I see it as Oilers just made really, really dumb picks even on draft day. They picked numerous obvious busts like Abney, Hesketh, Bigos, Knytar etc. Depth picks are essentially pure luck because 90% of them are indistinguishable (due to them being massive ?s at 17/18). But Oilers went out of their way to simply pick the obvious busts that would never turn out. The Marincins/Reiders/Petrys/Pitlicks/Hamiltons/Landers/Omarks/Davidsons etc were all solid bets and some made it and some didnt. Issue is we didnt pick enough from the pool of similar prospects.
In the past 3 drafts ive 1 or 2 maybe bad picks from the obvious bust pool and thats with 7th round picks. I see Rasanen and the others as coming from the Reider/Lander/Omark pool. Maybe a 20% chance to make it, but still a chance