Lol yeah I remember all the experts claiming Schwartz was such a reach.
What a beast of a pick that was. Also funny how Ottawa was after him and now some of their fans are asking for him for Spezza.
I believe Oshie was also considered a reach. I mean, most people just don't know.
I recall
somebody being high on Schwartz, maybe MacKenzie, and his rankings/opinions are almost entirely compiled from pro scouts; so I was curious about where Schwartz was actually ranked heading into the draft.
A lazy google search:
Sports Illustrated had him going 30th.
Bleacher Report had him at 27th.
MyNHLDraft had him at 26th.
NBC's Pro Hockey Talk had him at 26th.
MacKenzie's rankings had him at 29th.
NHL's Central Scouting had him as the 28th North American skater.
ISS had him at 23.
The Hockey News at 30.
Out of five NHL.com writers, just ONE had him in the top 30 at all: Jen Raimondi, who had him at 29th (noted he was rapidly rising). These particular rankings are absurd. At least one didn't have Tarasenko at all. Russian factor paranoia peaked back then. Really makes me think NHL writers just read a semi-recent CSS/ISS ranking and make team-specific guesses.
Useless, but fun: HF member wingsfan17 chose Schwartz at 22nd on May 1st (really early considering how much of a late riser he was) in Prussian Blue's mock draft in 2010. HF
staff didn't have Schwartz in the first round in their mock a month and a half later. No surprise there.
To be fair, late risers and fallers are the hardest to estimate. I'd say if you see rankings or a mock draft from a source that's somewhat trustworthy, check to see if their apparent reach picks have been quickly climbing other rankings lately. Sometimes lazy, hack writers just copy trends, but sometimes you can also see that a player is legitimately rising.