last night was the caps first back to back losses
I think they've overachieved a little bit, though not nearly to the level of last year.
When I say overachieved I'm talking the difference between a couple fewer wins and what they have. Not between what they have and being a 500 or non-playoff team right now.
They had a shooting percentage over 4% higher than league average not even a week ago, if I recall correctly.
They've played well this year, just not top of the conference or division well.