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Worst first round picks

One I haven't seen mentioned - Filip Johansson in 2018 by Minny. Was considered a 3rd-5th round pick, Minnesota decides to take him 24th overall as a massive reach. Apparently Paul Fenton (it was his first draft in charge) liked him but didnt think he would last to their pick in the 3rd (they didnt have a second round pick), so they reached. They never signed him, and Johansson is now back in Sweden after a small stint with the Canucks.

Just an awful decision by a rookie draft lead trying to make the impact move instead of taking a guy slotted to go in the first, and then using his 3 3rd round picks to move up into the late second to take Johansson.
 
David Fischer and Patrick White come to mind on players that have come through the U.

Zachary Senyshyn, Tyler Biggs, Philippe Paradis, Carter Ashton, Sam Morin, Patrick White, Joe Finley, Sasha Pokulok, David Fischer, Colten Teubert, Daultan Leveille, Henrik Samuelsson, Stefan Matteau, Riley Tufte, Shane Bowers, Liam Foudy...

That guy was drafted 20th though and in the Habs defense 6'4" RD's are often prized by GM's. He did get a 2 game stint... in the AHL.
 
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2018 was a parade of stupid decisions.
Hayton, Kravtsov, Dellandrea. And especially for me as a Flyers fan - Jay O’Brien
Kravtsov went exactly where he was projected to go. I’ll give you the other 3 though, even if Hayton panned out.
In terms of draft day profiles with truly minimal chances of success, without ANY hindsight.

Colton Gillies was pretty damn ridiculous. 0% chance he was ever going to be more than a 4th liner. #16 pick, with legit projectable players in droves behind him.

Zachary Senyshyn, Tyler Biggs, Philippe Paradis, Carter Ashton, Sam Morin, Patrick White, Joe Finley, Sasha Pokulok, David Fischer, Colten Teubert, Daultan Leveille, Henrik Samuelsson, Stefan Matteau, Riley Tufte, Shane Bowers, Liam Foudy...

are also guys in the last 20 years who, well... were longshots to actually be NHLers on draft day from their profile so far but were taken 1st round.
Feom what I remember, Morin, Teubert, Bowers, Matteau, Samuelson and Foudy went picked too far from where people projected thwm to go.
 
Boris Valabik for the Thrashers in 2005. Jay O'Brien for the Flyers in 2018, also applies to Riley Tufte for the Stars in 2016. Never liked the Flyers drafting Sam Morin that high in 2013 either.

Dylan McIlrath for the Rangers in 2010 for sure, that probably cost them a Cup, should have drafted Fowler or Tarasenko instead. Sharks drafted Ty Wishart and Nick Petrecki in 2006 and 2007 was brutal (even if they used Wishart in the Boyle trade), redundancy, probably cost them a Cup.

Historically more than 20 years ago, Johnathan Aitken for the Bruins and Lance Ward for the Devils in 1996 were horrific, same with Shawn Antoski for the Canucks in 1990. Ryan Sittler and Jason Bowen for the Flyers in 1992 were brutal as well, those picks cost them at least one Cup in the 1990s/early 2000s.

Lightning had some really bad ones like Andy Rogers and Vlad Mihalik in 2004 and 2005.
 
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Kravtsov went exactly where he was projected to go. I’ll give you the other 3 though, even if Hayton panned out.

Feom what I remember, Morin, Teubert, Bowers, Matteau, Samuelson and Foudy went picked too far from where people projected thwm to go.
I thought Kravtsov was supposed to go in the 12-16 range, not at 9? That's what I remember seeing on most mocks IIRC.
 
Kravtsov went exactly where he was projected to go. I’ll give you the other 3 though, even if Hayton panned out.

Feom what I remember, Morin, Teubert, Bowers, Matteau, Samuelson and Foudy went picked too far from where people projected thwm to go.
Yeh, but their profile meant that the odds of them being good players were very small... even if the concensus was they were first rounders! Still bad pick in my eyes when the data and skillsets say a player has basically a bottom six or 3rd pair absolute ceiling!
 
Yeh, but their profile meant that the odds of them being good players were very small... even if the concensus was they were first rounders! Still bad pick in my eyes when the data and skillsets say a player has basically a bottom six or 3rd pair absolute ceiling!
Agreed, some of those picks most people knew were low upside, but all those guys I mentioned were projected to go around that range, and I don’t think those are the guys the OP were necessarily looking for.
 
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Jesse Niinimaki.

IIRC he was expected to go around 85th overall but the Oilers took him 15th. BUST!
I think it was even bigger reach. Going to my notes Central Scouting had him 50th from Europe.

He did have 23 interviews according to Kevin Prendergast (the Oilers head scout then). But atleast Oilers failed to see all the red flags. He had some offensive skill. But zero work ethic and he was even bit proud of it as younger. So I guess this goes to the OPs question where they thought they outsmart everybody. Thought they found diamond in center thin draft.

If you give small pass for Oilers for this is the fact that they did not sign him and for that got compensatory 45. pick in 2006 draft which ended up being Jeff Petry.
 
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Zach Hamill, #8 overall in 2007 by Boston, played 20 games in the NHL. The player taken right after him? Logan Couture. Others taken after #8: Brandon Sutter, Ryan McDonagh, Lars Eller, Kevin Shattenkirk, Ian Cole, Riley Nash, Max Pacioretty, David Perron.



 
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Zack Hamill, #8 overall in 2007 by Boston, played 20 games in the NHL. The player taken right after him? Logan Couture. Others taken after #8: Brandon Sutter, Ryan McDonagh, Lars Eller, Kevin Shattenkirk, Ian Cole, Riley Nash, Max Pacioretty, David Perron.



Hamill was a bust, but wasn't someone the Bruins drafted thinking they were outsmarting other GMs. Sure, he was a late birthday CHLer who used the extra year of junior to stat pad/inflate the resume, but most people had a fairly high opinion of him pre draft.
 
In terms of draft day profiles with truly minimal chances of success, without ANY hindsight.

Colton Gillies was pretty damn ridiculous. 0% chance he was ever going to be more than a 4th liner. #16 pick, with legit projectable players in droves behind him.

Zachary Senyshyn, Tyler Biggs, Philippe Paradis, Carter Ashton, Sam Morin, Patrick White, Joe Finley, Sasha Pokulok, David Fischer, Colten Teubert, Daultan Leveille, Henrik Samuelsson, Stefan Matteau, Riley Tufte, Shane Bowers, Liam Foudy...

are also guys in the last 20 years who, well... were longshots to actually be NHLers on draft day from their profile so far but were taken 1st round.
Liam Foudy was drafted 20-30 spots too early and was an underwhelming DY producer, but he did have one projectable elite trait: speed. The rest of his game didn't develop enough for him to become a consistent NHLer, but there was belief he could be a 3rd liner, I wouldn't say his profile screamed "longshot", but you can agree to disagree with me if you'd like.
 
Liam Foudy was drafted 20-30 spots too early and was an underwhelming DY producer, but he did have one projectable elite trait: speed. The rest of his game didn't develop enough for him to become a consistent NHLer, but there was belief he could be a 3rd liner, I wouldn't say his profile screamed "longshot", but you can agree to disagree with me if you'd like.

All the stats though said he was a bottom sixer at very best though.

0.6 P/GP in draft year, 0.26 P/GP in draft-1 (even without PP time in OHL) is a profile that never becomes an NHL top 9 player... well it does... but 1/100 times.

I get he played lesser minutes in London, but players who cant score in junior hockey usually cant ever score enough in the NHL to even be a 4th liner.

Good bet in maybe the late 2nd or 3rd, but not at #18!
 
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