How bad is the rest of his game outside his shot?
Obviously hard to judge him as a player based only on his highlight reel, but his one-timer looks elite. Seems like Frk or Pulkkinen would be easy comparisons, but I think his shot is on another level accuracy wise.
Doesn't seem to be a lot of excitement here based on the board ranking him 16th best prospect.
He's a decent prospect. I have concerns--half of his goals were on the PP. He was bordering on being a PP specialist. Most of his goals look the same--setting up somewhere on the left circle and ripping the shots. In Liiga, whether on the PP or 5-on-5, he was given a lot of space, a lot of time. He won't have that moving forward (as in, in the AHL or NHL). He doesn't handle physical play super well which will be a big adjustment for him. He puts in good effort but isn't really strong, not great in the corners, doesn't kill penalties. He's not really a driver of play himself and doesn't do much in the dirty areas.
You can be effective the the NHL as a guy who finds open pockets and relies on your teammates getting it to you in time to rip a shot. You just have to be really, really good to do that. Ryan Gropp played a much heavier game in the WHL, but still relied a lot of finding time and space to get off shots. He couldn't read and react quickly enough in the AHL which is why he was one contract and done with us. Pajuniemi moves around better than Gropp and is more creative as well, but again, can he find those seems, those open spaces, and get his shot off in North America? Can he process things fast enough when he's under constant physical pressure? It's certainly possible, but by no means a given.
I'm also
slightly skeptical he can repeat that performance, even in Liiga. Coming into the year he was a guy known far more for his vision, passing ability, and creativity than for his shot. And suddenly he becomes a sniper? Is it sustainable? Who knows.
I like him as a prospect but I think the odds of him making it are quite low, which isn't abnormal given where he was picked. He has some nice tools, but his overall game is not one that easily translates. He'll need to quickly adjust, because if he doesn't score goals out of the gates he's not likely to be successful in a bottom six capacity and in turn won't play much. He's not going to jump right onto the top PP unit. It's a tough path. You can see Stromwall and Meskaknen who were similar in their reliance on time and space, they came over and struggled. Pajuniemi is better than them at a younger age, but still, it's about the games they play and how well that translates.
In an average system he's probably 9-12 overall, which is good.