All right, after I had time to settle things, let's try to talk about what is going on here:
This time needs a sports psychologist like badly... very, very badly.
As soon as things don't go as planned, they fall into panic mode. Things were all right for the first two games, we even saw some nice push back in the second game when they were down going into the third. Nothing to be scared about, they've done it many times this year. Start dominating the game and eventually score and so they did.
Game 3 was the start of a different scenario of course. In St. Louis, things were bound to be different and oh boy were they different. The Blues came out straight up running over the Jets as they absolutely had to. It was "now or never"-mode activated for them and it worked and they took off and eventually took the game comfortably. Sure, it sucks that your team doesn't show some real push back but the playoffs are long... even a single series can be very long. I understand, wether I liked seeing it or not, that they accepted their defeat and let the 7 goals against beating happen. On paper, it's not a big deal... but it was a big deal. Because what happens on the ice, on the way to the locker room, in the locker room and in their heads after the game when they go to their hotel rooms and into their beds is, at least for this team, basically just as important than what happend on paper being a win or a loss. This team is very, very fragile mentally. We've seen it before, we've seen it many times actually.
So at some point this started to affect Hellebuyck - this is how I see it. Because Hellebuyck used to be a decent to good playoff goaltender. Remember our Conference Finals run or the bubble playoff season. Back then, he didn't look shaky, uncomfortable, bad body language and apparently no self confidence. It grew over time. I think it grew with the mental weakness of the core of this team.
By now, it has fully caught up with him. He looked okay to good in the first two playoff games, because the entire team looked decent to good. There was no reason for mental collapsing - things went well. Not perfect, but perfection obviously isn't what you expect and/or looking for in the playoffs anyway. And THIS needs to be adressed and Hellebuyck needs to accept that blame. His job is not to get affected by it. His job is to balance out the team losing its composure. It's what people mean when they say "he can't make a safe when the team needs him" - in most cases, when this is said, people mean "timely" saves like you're up 2-1 with 1 minute to go before the end of the second and the enemy gets a breakaway which your goalie stops nicely and you go into the third period with a 2-1 lead instead of a 2-2 tie. Big for the dynamics of the game. But right now, this isn't about making the "timely saves", it is about making saves that gives your team confidence. Saves that pushes them away of the edge of panicing. Even worse, he takes part in creating that amount of panic in his jittery play. If you're supposed to be the best goaltender in the league, this is not acceptable.
No, not every goal he gave up over these two games was even saveable. Some of them were deflacting, some of them had him screened. Those are tough saves to make and you can't expect him to make all of them. This is not what we're talking about. I don't think there would be much of an discussion anyway if that would be the case. The problem is way, way bigger - the entire product Connor Hellebuyck right now is not only broken, it is part of the problem. That goal against yesterday, when Morrissey screened him, was really, really, really bad. Not because he gave up that goal but becuse of the 10 seconds after it. He 100% showed "I am blaming you for this goal, Josh. See guys, this is the problem. This is why you make me suck here" - even if he's right about it, and you know what, he might at least partially be right about it: YOU CAN NOT DO THAT! Not if you consider yourself the best goaltender in the league, a multiple times Vezina trophy winner that is even in Hart consideration. That is awful professionalism and I start to think Connor Hellebuyck might be a bad professional. Not in working hard, mastering his skills - but in turning into a sour grape when things don't got as wished which might even be the more important part of this role on the ice - even bigger than being a great goaltender in pure puck stopping. THIS PART is exactly why playoff goaltending numbers don't necesseraly translate from regular season into the playoffs. It is why you might be off with a middle of the pack goaltender that is a 110% team player first and a "star goaltender" second. It's the reason why Marc-Andre Fleury for example has still put up decent playoff goaltending numbers over the last 5-6 years, even when he wasn't even a bonafide starter anymore. Because the team in front of you will f***ing die for him if needed. He's the anti Hellebuyck in that regard.
So how can you work on this? I don't see any other way than getting a sports psychologist in there. I assume hockey is like the worst sport ever to integrate sports psychologists because of borderline toxic masculanity in like "HAHA THEY HAVE A PSYCHO DOC BECAUSE THEY ARE Pejorative SlurS" will be the trash talk on the ice? I don't know. But I am sure it would do wonders for this team - but especially for Connor Hellebuyck. And I start to thing it might be the only chance for him turning his career around in regards to fighting and beating the "Playoff-Choker-Buyck"-image.
Other than that I am not very confident anymore in the Jets winning this series. But hockey and especially playoff hockey is weird and I would also not be surprised if we see a very similar game in game 5 to what we've seen in the first two games with the Jets winning it and suddenly things look very different again. Who knows what happends, I am not losing sleep about it. As
@ps241 mentioned a couple of times over the last year or so: I learned not to define my own mood and life about sport results. I moved away from wanting a final result, the big thing, instead of actually prefering that the journey is the price and not necerssarily the trophy. At least as a fan. It makes life a lot more enjoyable.