Will the Buffalo Sabres ever fix what's broken?

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Ownership has always been a clear problem. Lack of focus/direction hurt a lot as well.

For instance, they did the thing in the summer of 2015 everyone keeps saying they didn't and should have done, which is they got very aggressive. This was a bizarre decision considering they really tore the team down to its studs. So it's going to be pretty difficult to ductape a team together.

*Before 2014-15 ended, they traded a 1st round pick and other things to bring in Evander Kane and Zach Bogosian.
*Traded the Islander 1st for Robin Lehner/David Legwand*
*Traded Zadorov, Grigorenko, Compher and a 2nd for O'Reilly and McGinn and then flipped McGinn for a 3rd
*Traded a 3rd to Nashville for Jim Vesey's rights (never signed, became a UFA a couple months later)

O'Reilly, despite being unanimously praised as an acquisition here, was a bit of an odd choice considering they had just drafted Sam Reinhart and Jack Eichel with back to back 2nd overalls, presumably to be their franchise building blocks. O'Reilly is a good example of how a "young" forward (24 at the time) isn't actually that young when you zoom out, as he was 4.5 years older than Reinhart and 5.5 years older than Eichel, so they weren't all ever really on quite the same timeline.

They also didn't really have any actual solution or plan at the time for their defense. It seemingly rested on the shoulders of a 20 year old former eighth overall pick from a couple years prior (Ristolainen). They signed Cody Franson for whatever reason.

They did improve a lot with these moves... like a lot. Unfortunately though, not enough to make any real noise... and at a time they probably should have still been in the tank and in the running for Auston Matthews, which didn't occur because that's what happens when you're mediocre.

It played itself out, with no defense they were back in the basement a couple years later and it was first O'Reilly out, then Reinhart, then Eichel who all went to win Cups on their new teams, showing they weren't really "the problem" as far as talent goes... and full rebuild the rebuild.

There's nothing wrong with tearing a team down to its studs and just going full tank/pick accumulation, but you should stick to it and not just decide that actually you don't want to do that anymore and start just filling holes form wherever. That is the worst way to do it
 
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If the Oilers can escape the decade of darkness the Sabres can fix their mess too. They have the pieces on defense, I think they are still a retool away. They need to let those dmen mature and grow and retool the forwards to be younger and get a legit #1 C. Likely comes via the draft.

I see them competing for a playoff spot in 3-4 years.
 
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Wasn't the main reason for the fallout was because a disagreement with the medical treatment and Sabres didn't allow him to get his preferred treatment until the bridge was broken? Reddit has a nice summary of the video:



Eichel wanted out before they ever disagreed on how to fix his neck. Dude wasn't built for tough times; didn't wanna help the team improve he just wanted the easy way out.
 
Dunno. Ask the Florida Panthers. One minute they were hot garbage in a perpetual rebuild for 15 years, the next, they made a trade or two, and made the finals and won the cup. Things can change on a dime if the right moves are made. They've always had the foundation, just missing a few things to put it all together.

What changed was we got a GM that knew what he was doing
 
No they have an old building, management that doesnt support the players, a market that no one wants to live in, and one of the worst states for taxes.

This isnt rocket science. They have to grow their players from the draft then overpay them to stay. This is a recipe for overspending. So they will always be behind the 8 ball compared to other teams as well as not being able to attract big named free agents.

Look at their current long term deals:

Tage: $7.142. Adams. Signed Aug 22 after seasons of:
17-18: 9 points
18-19: 12 points
19-20: injured 0 points
20-21: shortened season 14 points
21-22: then boom 38-30-68 points

Point being, they shouldve been able to lock him up long term for $6-6.5. Obviously it looks great now, but I still would argue that is not a resume for 7x$7.142 at the time of signing. Sabres gambling on hope vs consistency. Overpay by .6-1.1M.

Cozens
: $7.1. Adams. Signed Feb 23 after seasons of:
20-21: 13 points
21-22: 38 poiints
21-23: 43 points in 49 games

Again, not a resume for 7x$7.1. Sabres gambling on hope vs consistency. Easily shouldve signed the same deal for $6-6.5. Overpay by .6-1.1M.

Dahlin
: $11. Signed Oct 2023. Adams

Hard to argue anything here because Dahlin is a badass, but still I would like to think the same deal couldve been done for $9.5-10.5. Overpay by .5-1.5M.

Power:
$8.35. Signed Oct 23. Adams

A dman so tough to gauge value and obviously cant look at pure point production only, but dude got 7x$8.35 after one real season. Again, Sabres gambling on hope vs consistency. I doubt they wouldve gotten 7-8 years for less given 1OA and a solid rookie year, but how do you not bridge him then for 4x$5M or a normal amount, especially when there was no hope he would ever be your true 1D, given Dahlin has PP1 locked down. He is currently as typing this, the 16th highest paid dman in the league. Makar 2 years previously signed for $9M, Werenski $9.5M, Hamilton $9M, but Power deserves $8.35M?! Like wut?! Overpay by $1-3M?

21-22: 8GP so a nothing season
22-23: 79GP, 35 points, 23+ min, and good overall defense

Samuelsson: $4.2. Signed Oct 22. Adams

Again, another dman and he is more defensive so cant look at points only, but again dude had one shortened season under his belt and he gets a 7 year deal?! You couldnt get 8x$3M or $3.5M done?! obviously in hindsight, dude cant stay healthy so whatever, but still overpay by .5-1.2M.

These are all over Adams big deals early on where he overpaid IMO keeping them from offer sheets or bridge deals gambling on them hitting big. A rough overpay by $3.2-7.9M by my calculations. That is anywhere from a solid depth player to a low end superstar that they are missing out on because of market reasons or poor GMing.
 
As a fan of the only big-4 sports team with a longer playoff drought (NY Jets), I can sympathize, it sucks.

It's crazy to me that Buffalo hasn't turned a corner. They are just so wildly inconsistent--some games they look great and things appear to finally be looking up, then they'll play a few duds where they look like the worst team in the league. I agree with others though, ownership and complete mismanagement of the roster are the biggest to blame.
 
Until the NHL decides to get rid of (or severely limit them) the stupid NTC's and NMC's, small market teams like the Sabres will be gimped at roster construction. That being said, the owner and GM carousel (they all sucked) has been a freaking joke too. The guy that said, no one wants to live here is an ass. Tell that to my neighbors who moved here from Chicago and LA over the last 3 years, and don't ever want to leave.
 
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It's tough to build a competitive team. You really need that franchise 1C. They got it and it was Eichel and thought it was better to jack him around and then trade him. Dahlin and Power are great but 1C is still a need.

It will tough to get one with where they are at unfortunately. Can't rebuild but can't get the high draft pick.
Well...for instance how are they worse than Detroit?

Is Larkin better than the Tage?
 
Well...for instance how are they worse than Detroit?

Is Larkin better than the Tage?
I don't know. They are probably at the same level. It's why neither can really get over that hump. They both lack that one high pick that is your impact franchise player, specifically at center.
 
Eichel wanted out before they ever disagreed on how to fix his neck. Dude wasn't built for tough times; didn't wanna help the team improve he just wanted the easy way out.
lol so much hate still.

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It's tough to build a competitive team. You really need that franchise 1C. They got it and it was Eichel and thought it was better to jack him around and then trade him. Dahlin and Power are great but 1C is still a need.

It will tough to get one with where they are at unfortunately. Can't rebuild but can't get the high draft pick.
You don’t need an elite franchise #1C just to make the playoffs though.

It shouldn’t be this hard to make a wild card at least
 
It's 100% a culture issue now, right? Stemming from ownership, downwards.

Like, they can't win a trade.
They can't trade for players with any kind of NTC because they 100% will be on the list.
They have to pay premiums for players to sign there.
Guys that sign there are generally over-the-hill and looking for a last pay check.
They have a losing culture. They rush kids into the NHL and hope for the best. One player on their entire roster (homegrown) has played two full seasons in the AHL, Jiri Kulich, that's it. On a super young team. Rochester's a good team, keep guys that aren't quite ready to be in the show down there with that winning culture. It means a lot.

It's hard to dig yourself out of that. It took the Kitties like 17 years to turn their ship around.

It sucks. I get it as a Flames fan. Fully get it. No one wants to play here either (although that seems to be changing), we overpay everyone. We marry ourselves to mediocre players just because they like playing here.
 
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They had to learn that lesson, though. Now they don’t meddle.

The first couple of years were brutal. I like Cifu, but man, did he really do a little too much on twitter vs the fans to start after they fired Gallant.

Glad they quickly stepped back, got rid of the computer boys and let Tallon and then Zito run the team.

I think with Florida too it was patience at first with Tallon, but then needing that change to the more aggressive GM in Zito in filling in those holes with the core entering their primes.

At the very least, Buffalo needs a new GM.
 
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What changed was we got a GM that knew what he was doing
For now he knows what he's doing.

Seems like every great GM becomes an idiot eventually in the Cap era.

Makes you wonder about the nature of the position and how much of the credit/blame is ultimately out of their hands.
 
I get being patient with all the talent you draft, but at some point when you’ve got your four best D all being LH, a decent goalie and goalie prospect and a boatload of prospects, along with a few actual studs like Tage and Tuch, you have to start making decisions and going after players that will now shape and guide and enhance the pieces you’ve identified as keepers.

On the left, keep Dahlin, one of Byram/Powers and Samuelsson. Keep Clifton on the bottom pair with Samuelsson. You are now clearly looking for two top-4 RHD. They don’t need to be puck movers because Dahlin and whichever of Byram/Powers have that well covered. They don’t need to be super young and “fit” the timeline either. They can be stop gaps and you can add the permanent fixture down the road.

Up front you’ve got:

Tuch (local guy, only veteran leader, not going anywhere)
Thompson 8’
Cozens 6’3
Peterka 6’0
Benson 5’10
Quinn 6’1
Krebs 6’0
Kulich 6’0
Helenius 5’11
Wahlberg 6’3
Ostlund 5’11
Rosen 5’11
Kozak 5’11

And I’m really not sure I believe that guys like Peterka are 6’ or Benson is 5’10. That’s a very “same-y” group of forwards after Tage and Tuch. It’s also 13 forwards. This doesn’t include guys under contract for next year like Lafferty and Malenstyn, McLeod (RFA) nor UFAs Zucker and Greenway.

Where are they all going to play? None of them are reallllllly bottom six material. So even if you’re being patient and letting the Malenstyn and Lafferty contracts fall off, those aren’t spots those kids should be plugging in to if you want different outcomes going forward. You going to squeeze 13 guys, 11 of whom are super young, into 9 positions with nearly zero diversity amongst them and no veterans?

Out of the 11 players after Tage and Tuch, like 5-7 do not have long term futures in Buffalo if they’re ever going to turn the corner. So decide who is staying and who is going. Quinn, Benson, Peterka and Krebs (and to lesser extents Kulich and Rosen) are on the roster right now. At least 2 gotta go. Out of Ostlund, Helenius and Wahlberg, I know that Helenius is viewed the highest, but Wahlberg is the only one with some size and bite and if you add Helenius to the roster, I’d say you have to move 3 of the previous group, instead of 2 (when he ultimately makes the jump, this doesn’t all happen in one off-season). Zucker and Greenway were decent stop gaps. They’ll need more like that, preferably better, and that means they have to take spots away from kids, whether they are ready or not.

Something has to give. You take:

Quinn/Peterka (or both)
Ostlund
Wahlberg/Helenius
Rosen
Krebs
Byram/Power
Jokiharju
Picks (because you already have too many prospects)

And you get aggressive on the phones. Stop being passive. Stop being patient. Now do you trust Adams to be the guy making the moves? Different story.
 
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I "don't have sufficient privileges" to post this question in the trade chat, but what's Alex Tuch's value and why are lots of Sabres fans so reluctant to move him? Guy is 28 and is a free agent next year, doubt that he'd stay when the team doesn't appear to be very close to contending...thoughts?
 

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