Will Connor McDavid win the Art Ross this season?

[HabsCode]

He had a somewhat slow start for his standard with like 10 points and 10 games, when he got injured with Mackinnon, Kaprizov and Kucherov having strong start I taught that was it for him this season as far as getting the Art Ross.

Well since his fast injury comeback he has 14 points in 7 games. He is 10 points out from leader Nathan Mackinnon.

Still early season but what do you think?

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[Skolman]

Considering how terrible the Oilers PP has been, they are bound to turn it around here at some point.

It's pretty tough to bet against 97.

 

[SillyRabbit]

It's kinda crazy that he's only 10 points back given how hot MacKinnon and Kaprizov have been.

When it comes to the Art Ross, McDavid has proven to be inevitable.

I'm voting yes.

 

[Video Nasty]

Last season, with a nagging injury, he trimmed a 20 point deficit in just 28 days to retake the scoring lead late in the season. Kucherov and MacKinnon were not cold either. His goal scoring touch seems to be back and he’s looking pretty damn good. He can absolutely win this thing. If he doesn’t miss more time, I think he matches Howe and Lemieux with his sixth Art Ross.

 

[Jetcetera]

No chance

 

[Albatros]

He probably still remembers what it was like being out of gas in game seven.

 

[Kerberos]

Only him and Draisaitl are able to piss a drop offensively for the Oilers right now. If Hyman, RNH and the others ever actually do something and the PP stops sucking, I don't think it will be a particularly close race.

 

[jigglysquishy]

No, I don't think so but I do think he gets close.

MacKinnon is still red hot and proved he can put up 140 points.

When the bar is that high, even missing a couple games can do it.

 

[The Gr8 Dane]

Tough to bet against 97 , I voted Yes but i'm not very confident about it , Mack is going crazy , if he stays healthy I don't think 97 can catch up

 

[TheGoldenJet]

Last season, with a nagging injury

Speculation.

Last season showed that McDavid is quite mortal, even at his “peak”.

 

[Skolman]

Speculation.

Last season showed that McDavid is quite mortal, even at his “peak”.

132 points in 76 regular season games.
42 points in 25 playoff games.

Who had better numbers?

 

[Video Nasty]

Speculation.

Last season showed that McDavid is quite mortal, even at his “peak”.

Speculation? I watch and/or follow every game of his career, and I also know to look at similar injuries and spot patterns. McDavid was rushed back after two games because the Oilers were in a downward spiral and he lacked his shot all season long.

The fact that he dropped 132 in 76 with a nagging upper body injury and then 42 in 25 playoff games after a lower body injury actually demonstrates how not mortal he is, probably the most immortal someone can be in today’s game.

 

[Cup or Bust]

I said no but it's still possible if some of the Oilers wingers actually start scoring some goals.

 

[NeverForget06]

If Hyman wasn't ice cold to start the season he'd probably have about 7 more assists right now.

 

[WetcoastOrca]

Not likely imo. There’s a lot of good players ahead of him. Of course if there’s injuries to the leaders he could sneak in.

 

[Video Nasty]

Not likely imo. There’s a lot of good players ahead of him. Of course if there’s injuries to the leaders he could sneak in.

Two weeks ago, he was 98th in scoring and 15 points behind MacKinnon.

He’s the leading scorer since then and has rocketed up to 12th and is 10 behind. He’s gained 10 on Kucherov alone.

Players ahead of him like Necas, Reinhart, Eichel, and Strome will almost certainly not be among our top 10 scorers by the end. Similar to last year, MacKinnon and Kucherov are the biggest threats, and it will be interesting to see if Kaprizov can hang around.

It won’t require injuries to any of those three, as long as McDavid himself can avoid any more injuries.

 

[WetcoastOrca]

Two weeks ago, he was 98th in scoring and 15 points behind MacKinnon.

He’s the leading scorer since then and has rocketed up to 12th and is 10 behind. He’s gained 10 on Kucherov alone.

Players ahead of him like Necas, Reinhart, Eichel, and Strome will almost certainly not be among our top 10 scorers by the end. Similar to last year, MacKinnon and Kucherov are the biggest threats, and it will be interesting to see if Kaprizov can hang around.

It won’t require injuries to any of those three, as long as McDavid himself can avoid any more injuries.

As I said, highly unlikely.

 

[Kerberos]

Speculation.

Last season showed that McDavid is quite mortal, even at his “peak”.

Speculation? Injured early on in the season with a core injury, unable to shoot for the rest of the season, speed clearly limited, obviously not himself.

Still puts up ungodly stats and has one of the best postseason performances in NHL history. But sure, McDavid is "mortal". His peak blows away every current NHL player by a considerable margin.

As I said, highly unlikely.

Well you're usually wrong about McDavid and the Oilers so this post likely won't age well.

 

[McPoyle]

Speculation? Injured early on in the season with a core injury, unable to shoot for the rest of the season, speed clearly limited, obviously not himself.

Still puts up ungodly stats and has one of the best postseason performances in NHL history. But sure, McDavid is "mortal". His peak blows away every current NHL player by a considerable margin.


Well you're usually wrong about McDavid and the Oilers so this post likely won't age well.

Yep McDavid was clearly battling something all last year. He scored almost no goals off the rush, in his 64 goal campaign he probably got 20-25 off the rush. His shot lost much of its velocity.

Last night he beat a goalie clean from distance for the fist time in I don't know how long. He looks to be his normal self again.

 

[Regal]

I voted no almost solely because at this point his margin for error for injury/slump is lessened by his start. But he should still be the favourite for most points the rest of the year and now almost catching Kucherov means he and MacKinnon should probably be the two main favourites overall at this point. Starting from scratch I’d take him over the field. Starting from a 10 point handicap, I’m not sure.

 

[DitchMarner]

Assuming he's healthy the rest of the way, I think we'll see a great race this year between him and MacKinnon.. MacKinnon has a ten point lead that will shrink, but he may pull off his first Art Ross win (he's been a point producing machine himself for a while now).

Kucherov may be in the mix (again) as well.

 

[dirtydanglez]

10 points isn't much of a lead on mcdavid at this point.

 

[authentic]

No, I don't think so but I do think he gets close.

MacKinnon is still red hot and proved he can put up 140 points.

When the bar is that high, even missing a couple games can do it.

This is where I’m at it I wouldn’t rule it out but realistically I see MacKinnon doing somewhat of a repeat of last season so it will not be an easy task. That said if McDavid wants it bad enough and stays healthy the rest of the way he has a decent enough chance.

 

[Nathaniel Skywalker]

Lol no

 

[bobholly39]

Didn't McDavid only miss 3 games?

MacKinnon played 82 games last year it's true, but he missed close to ~10 games a year the 3 years prior. So playing full 82 games doesn't always happen for him either. I think I'd say McDavid has higher odds for ross as of today than Mack does.

Kucherov is definitely in the mix too.

I'd say for McDavid winning there's a ~25-50% chance. I know that's a wide range, but I think I'd place him as the #1 favorite right now slightly above MacKinnon, but definitely not above the field.

One other thing hurting McDavid is - he probably will slow down by end of year if Oilers safely in playoffs, instead of "going all out" to chase a Ross or record season. Consider past 4 years:

2021 - goes all out in regular season, his playoffs are bad
2022 - does ~okay in season, but less good than other years. Spectactular in playoffs
2023 - goes all out in regular season. Still strong playoffs, but less good than 22 or 24
2024 - fantastic season, but he does slow down a bit at very end. Spectacular in playoffs

He does much better in the playoffs in 22 and 24, rather than 23 and 21 where he could be said to have gone "all out" in the regular season.