Even I’m having a bit of trouble imagining this one. If he misses up to 12 games and only plays 70 games total, he could come back, average 2 PPG for the rest of the year, and still “only” hit 130 points. There is so much top end competition that I’m not confident it is enough.
Kucherov and MacKinnon are off to better starts this season and they still hit 140 last year. Panarin hit 120 and he’s there again this season so far. Makar and Kaprizov are having really exciting starts. These guys make up half of the top 2-10 players in the world and they’re already sitting at or near the top of the scoring race.
It’s also worth noting that for McDavid to not be rushed back, Draisaitl will need to shoulder the load and if he does as expected, we’re talking about a 20 point difference to make up right there.
I’m skeptical that he needs to care about making up a potential 35 point deficit in the Art Ross race, knowing how close the Oilers got last postseason. I’m letting this one go.
All that said, he is McDavid and it wouldn’t surprise me in the slightest to see him come back and win it, but put me down for him not doing it so I can enjoy however the race unfolds without that baggage and hope he can heal up without needless pressure to return.