Filthy Dangles
Registered User*
- Oct 23, 2014
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16 teams make the playoffs. presidents trophy team represnets 1 team. luck and random variation.
Playoff outcome | # of times outcome has happened for Pres Trophy winner | Percentage |
Lost 1st round | 6 | 19.3% |
Lost 2nd round | 8 | 25.8% |
Lost 3rd round | 5 | 16.1% |
Lost Final | 4 | 12.9% |
Won cup | 8 | 25.% |
Because hockey has a ton of luck and the level of parity is insane. I would say that the better team wins the series maybe about 65% of the time. So if you're the better team in all 4 series, you still only have a ~18% chance of winning it all. And that 65% figure is probably generous. Not sure what the home win rate is in the playoffs but I'd be surprised if it was higher than that number I just pulled out of my ass.
Well 16 teams make the playoffs meaning that each has a 6.25% chance of winning the Cup.
You just told us that PT winners have a 26% win rate, 4x that of any other team going in. I would say that is pretty damn impressive given the randomness of the POs
Your 2nd point is wrong. Completely1) There is no shootout or 3v3(/4v4) OT in the playoffs, but those two things affect the President's Trophy
2) The President's Trophy is mostly just luck. PDO dominates NHL results.