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Who's making it into the West's WC2 spot?

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WhatTheDuck said:
Ducks are six points back, with a game in hand
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6 points with 4 teams ahead in the current system is a huge gap. It’s Gary’s illusion of parody at work.
If Calgary or Vancouver get 25 points (which is very likely) then the Ducks will need 31 in the final 23 games. That’s like 15-7-1.. which is the same pace as the Jets, Stars, Capitals and Knights…

Realistically one of those 4 teams ahead of the ducks is going to get hot down the stretch.
 
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Tkachuk Norris said:
6 points with 4 teams ahead in the current system is a huge gap. It’s Gary’s illusion of parody at work.
If Calgary or Vancouver get 25 points (which is very likely) then the Ducks will need 31 in the final 23 games. That’s like 15-7-1.. which is the same pace as the Jets, Stars, Capitals and Knights…

Realistically one of those 4 teams ahead of the ducks is going to get hot down the stretch.
Click to expand...

Yeah I'm not expecting them to make it, but they are in the mix enough to be mentioned. It's our first time playing meaningful games in March in years, let us have it.

FWIW, the moneypuck playoff odds model has those teams with the following chances of making playoffs

Vancouver 36.5%
Calgary 34%
St Louis 23.2%
Utah 19.9%
Anaheim 5%
Seattle 0.1% and everyone else below at 0
 
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Vancouver will just barely make it and there will be tons of handwringing and articles written about how they've turned a corner and saved a disaster season and Tocchet has everything back on track.

They will then lose to Winnipeg in 5 games with Pettersson putting up a 0-0-0 stat line
 
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As a Canuck fan, I could really care less as this year has been a shitshow with all the injuries and drama. I am hoping with the last 20 games EP40 shows some life and Hughes and Demmer get healthy. At the deadline, I am hoping to management looks to the future (no rentals) and trades our upcoming UFA's. Look to next year where we "possibly" could have a couple of impact rookies hit the line-up. The Canucks future prognosis lies in EP40 hands as we need him (I believe he will) to be the #1 center he is capable of. EP40 has recently recognizes and owned his bad play, it will be interesting to see the last 20 games. If we make playoffs its good and if we miss its good lol.

Cheers
 
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It's going to be up and down based on who's had the last hot streak. That was the Canucks going into the 4 Nations who have since squandered the edge, and most recently St. Louis going from out of the picture to right back in.
 
Bjornar Moxnes said:
Who's taking 3rd spot in the Pacific then lmao?
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Imagine if Dustin Wolf goes on a hot streak to bump the Oilers out of a divisional playoff place. I'd be really scared if I had to face Calgary in the first round if that happens. We've seen plenty of times before how a goalie can carry a team through multiple rounds of the playoffs almost by himself, and he'd be coming into the playoffs red hot.
 
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if Hughes is out for an extended period of time, you can stick a fork in Vancouver, I dont care how large a shell Tocchet can make the team crawl into.
 
Utah and Anaheim are currently 2 regulation wins behind Vancouver and St Louis, and 4 behind Calgary, for the first tiebreaker in the event of a tie in points. Maybe they aren't out of it quite yet, but I'm not liking their chances. I certainly wouldn't be buying if I was their GM.
 
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Tkachuk Norris said:
6 points with 4 teams ahead in the current system is a huge gap. It’s Gary’s illusion of parody at work.
If Calgary or Vancouver get 25 points (which is very likely) then the Ducks will need 31 in the final 23 games. That’s like 15-7-1.. which is the same pace as the Jets, Stars, Capitals and Knights…

Realistically one of those 4 teams ahead of the ducks is going to get hot down the stretch.
Click to expand...

They're 9-3-1 in their last 12.
 
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IWantSakicAsMyGM said:
Utah and Anaheim are currently 2 regulation wins behind Vancouver and St Louis, and 4 behind Calgary, for the first tiebreaker in the event of a tie in points. Maybe they aren't out of it quite yet, but I'm not liking their chances. I certainly wouldn't be buying if I was their GM.
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Anaheim surely won't be buying rentals with only about a 5% chance of making playoffs, but they may not be as motivated to sell their own impending UFAs as they would have been in previous years. Definitely should be considered buyers in a sense that they are going to be actively looking to get better rather than sell from here on out.
 
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IWantSakicAsMyGM said:
Utah and Anaheim are currently 2 regulation wins behind Vancouver and St Louis, and 4 behind Calgary, for the first tiebreaker in the event of a tie in points. Maybe they aren't out of it quite yet, but I'm not liking their chances. I certainly wouldn't be buying if I was their GM.
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With regards to Utah, Bill Armstrong has said that we're going to be neither buyers nor sellers at the deadline. He might make a minor move or two, or see what he can get for Karel Vejmelka if he doesn't sign him to an extension by Friday (but still possibly not, since goalies rarely get you much in the trade market). With it being such a seller's market this year, I'm fine with that, since it would cost more than I'd be comfortable with paying in order to trade for anyone that would significantly help in the push for the playoffs, the end result of which would be most likely getting torched in the first round, only to have that player leave as a UFA in the summer. Not really a big point to doing that. If we do get into the playoffs, great. I'll just be happy to be there. If we don't, no big deal, I didn't realistically expect the playoffs this season anyway (we're right about where I imagined we'd be this season, but the journey here has been frustrating at times).

Now, if we miss the playoffs next year, that's a different story.
 
Summer Rose said:
With regards to Utah, Bill Armstrong has said that we're going to be neither buyers nor sellers at the deadline. He might make a minor move or two, or see what he can get for Karel Vejmelka if he doesn't sign him to an extension by Friday (but still possibly not, since goalies rarely get you much in the trade market). With it being such a seller's market this year, I'm fine with that, since it would cost more than I'd be comfortable with paying in order to trade for anyone that would significantly help in the push for the playoffs, the end result of which would be most likely getting torched in the first round, only to have that player leave as a UFA in the summer. Not really a big point to doing that. If we do get into the playoffs, great. I'll just be happy to be there. If we don't, no big deal, I didn't realistically expect the playoffs this season anyway (we're right about where I imagined we'd be this season, but the journey here has been frustrating at times).

Now, if we miss the playoffs next year, that's a different story.
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With the young talent on that roster, that sounds like the right strategy to me. With a little more development, and a few tweaks, they could easily be a consistent playoff team in the near future.
 
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