I would have given it to McDavid, playoffs or not, but I understand why there is a mental block when it comes to the value provided for a team that still finished 17 points out of a playoff spot. It’s really difficult to for most to see the difference between a possible last place in the league team and a 20th place team, so let’s move on from that. The other four all had really nice cases.
I’ve long defended Hall winning a close race against MacKinnon because the way their seasons ended were the exact opposite and it’s no one’s fault other than MacKinnon’s that he didn’t win it.
Hall helped lead the Devils to a 7-0-1 record in the final two weeks of the season and they nabbed the 8 seed. He scored 7 goals and had 15 points in those 8 games. People also tend to forget that from January 2nd through March 6th, he had a personal 26 game point streak where he scored 18 goals and had 38 points which had to have stayed fresh in the minds of the voters.
Meanwhile, the Avs went 3-5-1 and very nearly fell out of a playoff spot until securing it on the final day against the Blues. MacKinnon had 1 goal and 6 points in those 9 games. MacKinnon went goalless during the 9 games prior to the final game of the season where he scored in that win to help the Avs stave off getting eliminated.
There’s a difference in the mind of voters between a team getting hot to just sneak into the playoffs and a team playing lackluster and nearly missing a position they had held.
That’s just how a lot of the Hart races work. If there is not that obvious pick, it usually comes down to the final stretch of the season. Hall simply flipped a switch when the calendar turned to 2018 and his point streak paired with the final two weeks of opposite results compared to MacKinnon, was just enough to squeak out a close win.