Yeah, still Oilers for me.
I don't see Florida as repeating.
With Oilers - it's so nice to have 3 huge x-factors. McDavid, Draisaitl, and even Bouchard. All 3 players have stepped up huge the past 2 playoffs (past 3 for McDrai). It doesn't guarantee they will win, but if even ~2 of them are clicking it's a big differentiator.
I'm kind of curious to see Tampa though. I've said for a while they're the best team of the cap era - and I wonder if that core can make another run at it. I know I also said that past 2 years, and it didn't pan out, so I won't hold my breath...but still, I have them as a dark horse.