Which team is the fugazi one?

[gritdash60]

Who is the pretender? My vote went for Caps.

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[Coffee]

There no flukes in the 2025 season

 

[Golden_Jet]

Can’t decide which team was like the band Fugazi.

 

[SnuggaRUDE]

Can’t decide which team was like the band Fugazi.

They're from DC

 

[BKarchitect]

TEAM	GF	GA	GF/x	GA/x	GD/x	PDO
LAK	14th	4th	+0.12	-1.63	+1.75	101.33
MIN	13th	1st	+6.89	-11.45	+18.34	103.74
NJD	8th	6th	-8.07	+2.51	-10.58	99.73
TOR	19th	5th	+2.18	-9.95	+12.13	102.32
WSH	1st	7th	+11.42	-2.58	+14.00	103.21
WPG	5th	3rd	-1.50	-10.48	+8.98	101.14

Obviously, there are a million ways to frame this but looking at some simple metrics here...and this is not to say a team can't simply be fortunate, clutch, lucky, whatever you want to call it - over a full season. These numbers are all /GP or /60.

First thing that stands out - in terms of actual GA...these 5 teams are all in the top 7 of the league.

Second thing that stands out - New Jersey is clearly not fugazi and if anything, their standing is not commensurate with how good they have been. Their expected offensive output is well above their actual 8th place ranking and their expected goals against should result in slightly better defensive ranking as well. Plus, they have the lowest team PDO. Everything points to them winning and collecting points at a greater rate than they have if they simply keep playing the way they are.

On the flip side...Washington has the league's #1 offense but given their extremely high goals for above expected and high PDO, you would expect them probably not to end the season with the #1 offense in the league (of course - in reality - they also will be getting Ovie back at some point, so clearly there are more considerations here than just stats).

Minnesota is probably the analytical choice for most fugazi though, thus far. Their offense has been a bit above average, but they are carrying the second highest goals for above expected and the highest team PDO. Meanwhile - kind of the reverse of Washington - their defense is #1 in the league but they've given up way fewer goals than expected so far and their overall goal differential above expected is by far the highest of this group. They've got some great defensive players and Gus is out of his mind so far this season, but the numbers would say perhaps expect some regression.

 

[Pavel Buchnevich]

Jets the most, but Caps and Wild could also.

 

[The Gr8 Dane]

I feel like the kings stand out here

 

[AhosDatsyukian]

I admittedly haven't watched much of the Wild but I picked them just because it's a very Minnesota sports thing for them to start out looking really good and then wind up disappointing their fans later in the season in some tragic fashion, either before playoffs or in the playoffs.

Caps are legit and should not be getting the most votes here.

 

[Hisch13r]

The Caps and Wild aren’t pretenders but they’re not 120+ pt teams

 

[Breakers]

PLD cancer effect hasn’t spread yet.

 

[Hank Chinaski]

Can’t decide which team was like the band Fugazi.

Half the posts on HF Jets lately read like lyrics from a Midwest Emo band. Maybe them?

 

[Nogatco Rd]

They're from DC

Legendary performance in front of the White House on the eve of the first war in Iraq

 

[Nogatco Rd]

Edmonton

You think Edmonton had a great start to the season? They were out of a playoff spot until a few days ago

 

[JKG33]

I mean I'd be shocked if anyone of those teams besides one of the caps/devils won a round in the playoffs, but they'll probably all make it in.

I'd say Minny with a close second to LA being the ones most likely to drop-off in the regular season. Winnipeg and Toronto are usually fine in the RS, its the playoffs that give them trouble

 

[KirkAlbuquerque]

Leafs are just mid.

Jets are obv Fugazi but still a good team

 

[gritdash60]

TEAM	GF	GA	GF/x	GA/x	GD/x	PDO
LAK	14th	4th	+0.12	-1.63	+1.75	101.33
MIN	13th	1st	+6.89	-11.45	+18.34	103.74
NJD	8th	6th	-8.07	+2.51	-10.58	99.73
TOR	19th	5th	+2.18	-9.95	+12.13	102.32
WSH	1st	7th	+11.42	-2.58	+14.00	103.21
WPG	5th	3rd	-1.50	-10.48	+8.98	101.14

Obviously, there are a million ways to frame this but looking at some simple metrics here...and this is not to say a team can't simply be fortunate, clutch, lucky, whatever you want to call it - over a full season. These numbers are all /GP or /60.

First thing that stands out - in terms of actual GA...these 5 teams are all in the top 7 of the league.

Second thing that stands out - New Jersey is clearly not fugazi and if anything, their standing is not commensurate with how good they have been. Their expected offensive output is well above their actual 8th place ranking and their expected goals against should result in slightly better defensive ranking as well. Plus, they have the lowest team PDO. Everything points to them winning and collecting points at a greater rate than they have if they simply keep playing the way they are.

On the flip side...Washington has the league's #1 offense but given their extremely high goals for above expected and high PDO, you would expect them probably not to end the season with the #1 offense in the league (of course - in reality - they also will be getting Ovie back at some point, so clearly there are more considerations here than just stats).

Minnesota is probably the analytical choice for most fugazi though, thus far. Their offense has been a bit above average, but they are carrying the second highest goals for above expected and the highest team PDO. Meanwhile - kind of the reverse of Washington - their defense is #1 in the league but they've given up way fewer goals than expected so far and their overall goal differential above expected is by far the highest of this group. They've got some great defensive players and Gus is out of his mind so far this season, but the numbers would say perhaps expect some regression.

Watch a f***ing game JFresh.

 

[qc14]

On the flip side...Washington has the league's #1 offense but given their extremely high goals for above expected and high PDO, you would expect them probably not to end the season with the #1 offense in the league (of course - in reality - they also will be getting Ovie back at some point, so clearly there are more considerations here than just stats).

Caps are above expectations and on a shooting bender but their underlying profile is still elite.

 

[Regal]

TEAM	GF	GA	GF/x	GA/x	GD/x	PDO
LAK	14th	4th	+0.12	-1.63	+1.75	101.33
MIN	13th	1st	+6.89	-11.45	+18.34	103.74
NJD	8th	6th	-8.07	+2.51	-10.58	99.73
TOR	19th	5th	+2.18	-9.95	+12.13	102.32
WSH	1st	7th	+11.42	-2.58	+14.00	103.21
WPG	5th	3rd	-1.50	-10.48	+8.98	101.14

Obviously, there are a million ways to frame this but looking at some simple metrics here...and this is not to say a team can't simply be fortunate, clutch, lucky, whatever you want to call it - over a full season. These numbers are all /GP or /60.

First thing that stands out - in terms of actual GA...these 5 teams are all in the top 7 of the league.

Second thing that stands out - New Jersey is clearly not fugazi and if anything, their standing is not commensurate with how good they have been. Their expected offensive output is well above their actual 8th place ranking and their expected goals against should result in slightly better defensive ranking as well. Plus, they have the lowest team PDO. Everything points to them winning and collecting points at a greater rate than they have if they simply keep playing the way they are.

On the flip side...Washington has the league's #1 offense but given their extremely high goals for above expected and high PDO, you would expect them probably not to end the season with the #1 offense in the league (of course - in reality - they also will be getting Ovie back at some point, so clearly there are more considerations here than just stats).

Minnesota is probably the analytical choice for most fugazi though, thus far. Their offense has been a bit above average, but they are carrying the second highest goals for above expected and the highest team PDO. Meanwhile - kind of the reverse of Washington - their defense is #1 in the league but they've given up way fewer goals than expected so far and their overall goal differential above expected is by far the highest of this group. They've got some great defensive players and Gus is out of his mind so far this season, but the numbers would say perhaps expect some regression.

Minny is the highest above expectations, but their 5v5 GF% is also best in the league by a decent amount. Their expected numbers are still quite strong so I can see them continuing to do well even as their percentages regress. A lot will depend on Gus though. He was great two years ago then fell back last year and is great again so far this year.

 

[Took a pill in Sbisa]

Choosing LA because I think their goaltending is going to implode at some point. Kemper is a walking band aid and Big Save Dave has played over 24GP in a season since Covid, he's sitting at 17 through 1/3 of the season