Speculation: Which player will get the worst contract in this free agent class ?

[Brookbank]

Sam Bennett. He's an effective player, but I think part of it has to do with his environment. I can see a team paying him to be someone he's not (ala Clarkson).

Haha Clarkson.

I did a name search on Bennett on this forum. He was on bust watch with Jake Virtanen for awhile there. Then he got a 2 year 2.5 million dollar extension with the Flames. Not exactly a huge endorsement. Now this guy's going to get millions because grit.

 

[Brookbank]

Marner

What number would make Marner overpaid ? career PPG player who's never missed the playoffs

 

[Porter Stoutheart]

Bennett/Boeser are the obvious choices.

I will go off the board a bit and say Dante Fabbro, wouldn't be surprised if some team gives him something like 5x5 or more and could regret that pretty quickly.

Do you watch Fabbro a lot? I'm just genuinely curious, not challenging this. I was ready to give Fabbro 4x$4M in 2022, I thought he easily was worth that, but the Preds had a VERY different view on him. Columbus has a different view again, apparently. But I'd be all for paying him 5x$5M.

 

[Henkka]

Think it will be Boeser.

Bennet and Ekblad will both extend with Florida, for bargain, because why would you leave that almost Dynasty-level team?

 

[Henkka]

What number would make Marner overpaid ? career PPG player who's never missed the playoffs

Everything which goes over Rantanen, when taking the taxes also in count.

 

[Torontonian]

I think Donato is going to get a stupid contract after one solid year. Honorable mention to Sam Bennett, anything over 7.5m+ for a 50 point centerman is an over payment.

Don't think the Marner one is going to be as bad value wise due to the fact if he's going to a middle of the pact team, he's going to make them a playoff team.. That has value to a bunch of teams.

 

[bellringer77]

I think Bennett re-signs with Florida and doesn't even make FA.

I'm gonna throw out Cody Ceci. I think someone pays him 4-5M AAV for 4-5 years

Detroit

 

[Pablo El Perro]

Brock Nelson
Brock Boeser
John Tavares

The summer of the Brock!

 

[CanMerc]

I think Bennett takes a discount and stays in FLA. With how good they are, why would he leave.

Marner and Boeser will definitely get overpaid, but not the worst.

Nelson will likely be the worst contract, looking back in a year.

 

[wintersej]

You're talking about a $500kish difference/year in take home. Sure, maybe Bennett would sign for $8.25 million in Florida vs. $9 million somewhere else. Florida would likely have to add an extra year too. Miami is also a very expensive city, with relatively high consumption and property taxes. And yes, I know that Panthers arena is in Sunrise, which is not part of Miami proper....and only part of the Miami metro area.

Even with a "discount" in Florida, Bennett ends up with an awful contract IMO.

People also need to take into account the massive benefit of getting paid in USD and spending in CAD in Canada. Once you get over the property price hurdle, it's far cheaper to live in Canada right now than the Miami area.

I hear you, but I think you overestimate the percentage of the money they are spending in Canada over the contract….by a lot…the vast vast vast majority is getting socked away.

 

[blankall]

I hear you, but I think you overestimate the percentage of the money they are spending in Canada over the contract….by a lot…the vast vast vast majority is getting socked away.

With the run Bennett's having, I just can't see him not trying the UFA market. Every goal he scores makes it less likely he'll re-sign in Florida. I could even see a team playing a 2nd just for his signing rights, so they can throw that 8 year contract at him.

 

[wintersej]

With the run Bennett's having, I just can't see him not trying the UFA market. Every goal he scores makes it less likely he'll re-sign in Florida. I could even see a team playing a 2nd just for his signing rights, so they can throw that 8 year contract at him.

I’m pretty sure you can only throw the 8th year if you grab them before the TDL.

 

[mydnyte]

the last to sign typically gets the worst contract. so, unless you are a top UFA, sign early, or lose $$

 

[Hostile Offer]

Sam Bennett's UFA situation feels a lot like Bobby Holik's in 2002.

NYR gave him an absurd 5 year deal worth 45 M that year to get him out of Jersey. Very quickly, it became clear the Rangers made a huge mistake. Holik was not a front line C, he was a hell of a #3 C on a contending Devils team. NYR tried playing him higher up, it did not work.

But I am dubious that in a 110 M+ cap world we are headed towards, Bennett on a 8-9 M AAV will ever be such bad value his next contract will be bought out. He should still bring 4-5 M of yearly value one would think. That guy cares too much to just start coasting after signing a big deal.


Kypreos: Red Wings Rumors: Has Ryan Suter Picked Detroit?

To be fair in a hard cap world, even one where the cap is rising fast, there will never be a contract that gets even close to what Holik got. Paying $9M per year for a 3rd liner would be asinine today, let alone over 20 years ago (I mean, at the time you could argue there were only a handful of players worth that, at best). But the way the Rangers were doing business back then was feasible due to there being no cap to make you consider the financial consequences. I can see the similarities if Bennett is also getting seemingly overpaid, but the extent of overpayment won't be even remotely similar to Holik.

 

[Brookbank]

Need to stop thinking Kypreos has any level of credibility. He's just talking to get clicks

Well it looks like Kyper under shot it a bit

Rumor: - Bennett contract AAV could eclipse $10M?

 

[Dirty Dan]

Bennett is at his best when he's in a 2nd line physical role and not expected to be a scorer and hits teams by surprise

 

[LEAFANFORLIFE23]

Sam Bennett if he leaves, if he leaves he's getting 9+ and that won't be a good deal in 2 years.

 

[The Devilish Buffoon]

I think Bennett re-signs with Florida and doesn't even make FA.

I'm gonna throw out Cody Ceci. I think someone pays him 4-5M AAV for 4-5 years

Man, I came into this thread to say literallly these two exact things. Even down to the dollar and year amounts.