Which Active Players Will Reach 500 Goals?

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Marchand is on pace for 28 goals this season, if he keeps that pace he'll need 71 after this season.

That's not impossible, really depends upon how long he wants to/can keep playing. If he keeps playing till he's 45 like Chara did he's prolly a lock. If he retires at 40 he'd need 17 goals/season over the next four, which is very doable. If he maintains the 28-30 goals/season average he's been doing the past 6 years or so he can do it in a little over three.

But it's also very conceivable he falls short, so wouldn't be surprised either way. But if he next contract is 3 years he's prolly got a decent shot at least.

Marchand is going to get damn close IMO. Surprised he's not mentioned more. He's going to flirt with 30 goals again.... at age 36.

For him it will come down to how long he wants to drag out the last part of his career. Does he want to go out like Chara or Bergeron? Both paths are admirable.
 
Well, you could simply go by this to get a rough idea who could reach it. I think starting from Patrik Kane (#24) upwards (because he is near 500 and close-ish to retirement), they all have a chance if there's no drastic drop in production. Some of them probably won't reach 500 due to inconsistency, like Laine, Forsberg and Panarin (just a guess).


This list is by goals per game average

View attachment 981571
Crazy to see Kuch that high as mainly a pass first player. Impressive. Along with a lot of those numbers.
 
Bedard, Celebrini, Fantilli? Nobody has anything to say about guys who still have 20 more years in the league to get there?

Michkov? Guenther? Raymond? Any takers?
First guy I thought of was Bedard, those extra goals so young really help plus he has Richard type of goal finishes very possible in his peak years.
 

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