Victorias
Registered User
- May 1, 2022
- 341
- 585
this
i live in vancouver, the third biggest market in the biggest hockey country in the world
there are literally not enough ice rinks for the amount of kids who want to (and can afford to) play
Bill James wrote about this some time ago now:
I’m not a nostalgic person who clings to some imaginary hockey golden age. But I began playing in the mid-60s and eventually coached for 35 years. What do I know for sure? That a larger talent pool does not always mean a superior talent pool. Anyone who has read James’ article will likely know exactly what I mean.
I think this is a bit of a different situation than in the article. We’re not looking at an untapped skill in some location (eg literary talent in Topeka) but rather a skill with extremely high rewards (hockey talent) in that one city over time. eg baseball talent in Topeka 50 years ago vs today
Let’s take Vancouver. As Vancouver’s hockey playing population increases, so does the talent pool since the incentives are only increasing. However, there are bottlenecks - as vadim pointed out - such as number of rinks. At the same time, rinks have been built elsewhere (like Phoenix) that didn’t exist before. So maybe Vancouver is saturated, but the overall talent pool continues to grow elsewhere.
It’s certainly true that a small talent pool - like from a small Swedish town - can produce more NHL players than a larger one - like from a large US city. But that comes down to development practices like pro/youth integration. In any given city, the development practices should remain constant with respect to population size until resources are exhausted. Considering how resource intensive (and expensive) hockey is, that may happen rather quickly in many places. I don’t think it has happened globally yet, but perhaps it will.