This is why these things are so tough unless you're really looking closely at it...
I would have expected an allegedly elite playmaker to not have his playmaking fall off considerably at this age. Especially because we see he's still capable of scoring. It's not like he's out there with a walker, he's out there throwing pucks into the net whenever he feels like it. So, we know he's still capable of playing.
So when you're evaluating the playmaking, the process matters a lot. You really have to put yourself in the head of the player, you have to look at that game through his eyes and see what he sees if you really want to get down to it.
With Crosby, I've remarked in other threads over the last couple of years here, that he seems to be - against all reasonable odds - improving his playmaking process because he's getting older, falling out of his athletic prime. He's inventing playmaking complexity that I'm not sure I've seen from him before. I'm not sure what the assist numbers say, and the team isn't very good overall, which doesn't help...but how he's processing the game mentally seems to be at all time high and it shows in his playmaking.
Back to Ovechkin, does this mean that when he had his few decent high assist seasons that he was actually just getting them on effort? You can go crazy going down this rabbit hole, and a top 10 finish isn't necessarily functionally different than a top-11 finish. But it's not like these are comfortable finishes...these are "in the pack" finishes. In '09, he's an assist way from not being top 10, in '10 he's three assists away, and in '11 (a season where Crosby didn't really play) he's four away. (Which is no different than Crosby's non-1st place goal finishes, before all the
unbiased folks get upset).
When you look at those seasons - and we all remember, I hope - Ovy was a force. Highest shot total in '09 (526)...but also most shot attempts of his career (so, including misses and blocked) over 1000 (!). In 2010, not much different. He missed some games, but 11.3 shot attempts per game is second most of his career. 2011 is a touch lower than these, but still at 765 shot attempts, that's narrowly missing 5th most in his career.
Then you look, too, the 2009-2011 window is the weakest 3-year shooting percentage window of his career at 10.78%.
[TABLE=collapse]
[TR]
[TD]2006-08[/TD]
[TD]
12.91%
[/TD]
[/TR]
[TR]
[TD]2007-09[/TD]
[TD]
12.24%
[/TD]
[/TR]
[TR]
[TD]2008-10[/TD]
[TD]
12.64%
[/TD]
[/TR]
[TR]
[TD]
2009-11[/TD]
[TD]
10.78%
[/TD]
[/TR]
[TR]
[TD]2010-12[/TD]
[TD]
11.37%
[/TD]
[/TR]
[TR]
[TD]2011-13[/TD]
[TD]
11.43%
[/TD]
[/TR]
[TR]
[TD]2012-14[/TD]
[TD]
13.33%
[/TD]
[/TR]
[TR]
[TD]2013-15[/TD]
[TD]
13.63%
[/TD]
[/TR]
[TR]
[TD]2014-16[/TD]
[TD]
13.11%
[/TD]
[/TR]
[TR]
[TD]2015-17[/TD]
[TD]
12.33%
[/TD]
[/TR]
[TR]
[TD]2016-18[/TD]
[TD]
12.39%
[/TD]
[/TR]
[TR]
[TD]2017-19[/TD]
[TD]
13.22%
[/TD]
[/TR]
[TR]
[TD]2018-20[/TD]
[TD]
14.74%
[/TD]
[/TR]
[TR]
[TD]2019-21[/TD]
[TD]
14.80%
[/TD]
[/TR]
[TR]
[TD]2020-22[/TD]
[TD]
14.75%
[/TD]
[/TR]
[TR]
[TD]2021-23[/TD]
[TD]
14.32%
[/TD]
[/TR]
[/TABLE]
So, and again, this is why you go to the tape...was he actually better at playmaking in his prime or was he just getting to more pucks and they didn't go in on the first try? Or, are we suggesting, that his technical passing ability and hockey sense and mental processor have fallen off so considerably with age that this is what you get...
Even though that doesn't generally seem to be the case with actual elite playmakers at the age of 34, 35, 36, 37...decline? Of course. But my man here is ranked 118th in assists the last four years. He's ~200th in the NHL in assists per 60 minutes 5v5. Tied with Keegan Kolesar. I don't know...I just don't know that this fall off is what you think it is...or, said another way, I don't think those three assist-total seasons were quite what you think they were...