What's the most goals in a season Laine will score in Montreal?

[JKG33]

How many will he pace for or how many will he actually score? Because the Laine fan club has been using pace and one good full season to defend the guy his entire career. But between the injuries and mental issues I'd be shocked if he scored much more than 30. Not a great investment on a one-trick pony when that pony is only available to do his one trick half the time

 

[Video Nasty]

Hasn’t potted 30 in 6 years and when he did, he had 21 goals in his first 24 games and finished with 9 in his final 58.

Has scored 103 goals over his past 301 games and it’s taken 6 years to do so.

Montreal has had what? One 40 goal scorer over the last 30 years?

Doesn’t seem promising.

 

[Faceboner]

37+28 for 65 points in 79 gp

 

[vancityluongo]

he can get to the low 40s

 

[Albatros]

How many will he pace for or how many will he actually score? Because the Laine fan club has been using pace and one good full season to defend the guy his entire career. But between the injuries and mental issues I'd be shocked if he scored much more than 30. Not a great investment on a one-trick pony when that pony is only available to do his one trick half the time

Even so he has dozens of more goals than anyone in Montréal since he entered the league.

 

[JKG33]

Even so he has dozens of more goals than anyone in Montréal since he entered the league.

That's a pretty low bar

 

[WhiskeyYerTheDevils]

I think he'll break 30 pretty easily if he can play 70 games.

 

[Albatros]

That's a pretty low bar

Ya, they should have sent Harris to Toronto for Matthews instead.

 

[Stephen]

Le Demon Blond Part Deux.

 

[JKG33]

Ya, they should have sent Harris to Toronto for Matthews instead.

I mean I've long said the Leafs aren't winning shit as long as they keep overpaying Matthews and Co. to keep disappearing in the playoffs

 

[notbias]

He is capable of doing 40+ so voted there, I think he will get a lot of opportunity because Montreal is bad, but I still think he will be a net negative even if he puts up points.

 

[Plural]

I think he'll bounce back. 30-39.

 

[ole ole]

Obviously with Montreal he will now get 76 goals next season

Well we know which team he wasn't even getting 30 with.

 

[Cup or Bust]

If he is healthy and focused, I think the style the Canadiens play, he could have a really big year. I could see 40.

 

[Rabid Ranger]

I'll give him the benefit of the doubt and say 29.

 

[Sidney the Kidney]

He'll probably pace for 30+ goals, but since he'll also likely miss time due to injury, I went with 20-29 goals to account for the missed games.

 

[Panthaz89]

If healthy he definitely can hit 40 regularly, with good chemistry challenge for 50, but probably will keep struggling with missed games as before which makes 30 more realistic.

He's only hit 40 once his entire career and only threatened 40 one other time and both were his very first two seasons....now he can hit 40 regularly?

 

[WetcoastOrca]

Hasn’t hit 30 goals in 6 years. Take the under 30.

 

[Albatros]

He's only hit 40 once his entire career and only threatened 40 one other time and both were his very first two seasons....now he can hit 40 regularly?

That's why I wrote "if healthy". He's averaged 0.43 goals per game in his career despite not being healthy.

 

[VaporTrail]

13 ...he gets benched for poor play and tells the coach that he'll never play another game for Montreal...the Habs then trade him off to Utah where he wins a Cup.

 

[ps241]

If healthy he definitely can hit 40 regularly, with good chemistry challenge for 50, but probably will keep struggling with missed games as before which makes 30 more realistic.

Patrik has had 5 seasons in a row where he hasn’t hit 30 goals. He doesn’t tend to stay healthy and he doesn’t shoot the puck enough to get 40 goals unless he has an outlier season where his shooting % elevates (like his career year when he was 19 and shot over 18%)

Let’s pretend for a second he could play 82 games this upcoming season. If you look at his body of work Patrik has played 480 regular season games in the NHL, he has generated 1390 shots, so he averages 2.89 shots per game. His career shooting % is 14.9 so If Patrik plays 82 games in Montreal he will get about 34 goals if he follows career norms.

If you look at Cole Caufield last season he was able to generate 3.8 shots per game which is impressive he was just snake bitten and had a dismal career low 8.9% shooting rate compared to a career high 16.5% the year before. Caufield does generate more shots than Laine does per game though and the margin is material.

Ovi is the gold standard for goal scoring and it’s because of two major factors. His phenomenal health (longevity) and his ability to generate shots on net. His 12.9 shooting % is pedestrian at best for an elite goal scorer but dam man he has been able to generate 4.64 shots per game (6627), over 1426 career regular season games.


TLDR summary: Patrik has never been a high volume shot taker for a goal scorer and I doubt that is going to change.

 

[Albatros]

Patrik has had 5 seasons in a row where he hasn’t hit 30 goals.

He was quite healthy during the first COVID-shortened season and scored 28 goals in 68 games. It's safe to say that he would have exceeded 30 if full schedule was played. That time it was not on him or his health.

 

[Cats2TheCup]

I can see him retiring after his contract ends. I’ll say he plays enough games to score 12 goals.

 

[Marioesque]

Somewhere around current Finnish record in a full season is his potential.

 

[FMichael]

If healthy, plays 75 games (give or take 3, or 4) I’d say he’s good for 28 to 36 goals.