Value of: What would an Erik Karlsson contract look like if he hit the market as a UFA this summer?

[koyvoo]

11.5Mx8

But seriously, I’d love hear opinions on this. Consider all things, including league salary cap projections etc.

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[Bizz]

11.5Mx6

 

[AssaultPK]

Probably what he's making now, the only difference is he would be free

 

[Ugene Magic]

Not 11.5 if he cares to actually you know, win.

 

[BlueBaron]

Depends on term. He could get a ton on a one year deal. Add term and his paycheck would probably fall into the 9.5 area.

 

[Grinner]

Depends on term. He could get a ton on a one year deal. Add term and his paycheck would probably fall into the 9.5 area.

I'd agree with this. Doug Wilson no doubt promised to make him the highest paid defender. DW only outbid himself

 

[MisterT]

Given his age, the longer the term then the lower AAV. $7.5M for 3 years would be the target and anything above that hamstrings a team.

 

[Juxtaposer]

Karlsson could easily get 4 years at $11.5M if he were a UFA this summer.

 

[Holy Slapshot]

Karlsson could easily get 4 years at $11.5M if he were a UFA this summer.

From Chuck Fletcher, yes. But not from sane people.

 

[one2gamble]

Same one he has right now

 

[BigBadBruins7708]

9m per tops. Teams don't forget that he's played no more than 56 games in a season since 2018.

Injury prone, 1 outlier year against multiple years of decline and 32 years old

9x4 or 9x5

 

[Gecklund]

Hell after the season he’s having right now I could see him getting more than 11.5. Dude is on pace for the best season by a defenseman in 30 years.

 

[Oddbob]

15X5 !

 

[bucks_oil]

Some of you guys are crazy, IMHO.

Sure, Karlsson could get 1 year x $anything he wants, but after that it's on a STEEP downward sliding scale to 4 x ~$8M max. If he wants longer it continues to decline down to 7 or 8 x $4M.

He's old..., not this year, but sometime soon. GMs have seen this type of peak season in the early thirties before. It's great to see, but they aren't going to be so mesmerized they forget decades of data.

GM's will certainly be willing to pay him a tonne, but IMO, the total $ dollar value is somewhere in the ~$25 to 30M range depending on term.

 

[The Real JT]

Am I the only one here who thinks this thread needs to be locked?

 

[koyvoo]

People on here acting like GMs always show wise financial constraint when they in fact never do.

 

[The Devilish Buffoon]

I am guessing he would aim for a deal in the 5-7yr, 8.5-10mil range.

 

[Matty Sundin]

He’d probably want at least 4-5 years with a slightly lower cap hit then he has now and a GM in this league would definitely give that to him eventually.

 

[fasterthanlight]

His salary would be equal to the number of Erik Karlsson threads on the main boards

 

[jetsforever]

5 x 11M

 

[MAB1]

I'd give him Rielly's contract.

 

[norrisnick]

His salary would be equal to the number of Erik Karlsson threads on the main boards

There is a cap on individual contracts. Your suggestion would exceed that.

 

[KirkAlbuquerque]

4 years/16m

 

[I am Canadian]

7M x 3

 

[McShogun99]

10.5 x 8 from Treveling after he trades a 1st for his rights at the draft.