Last year, I believe I picked NJ, then BUF, then MTL/CHI tied.
Things change fast with these young D, and development is hard to predict.
Hutson has emerged, CHI added Levshunov, and things in Jersey don’t look quite as good. Also, how tf is BUF not better than they are with Dahlin, Power, and Byram?
Now, I think I’d go:
1. BUF: this team should be better - these 3 guys I mentioned are doing well. So I can understand some impatience, but I think all 3 of these guys have some development runway left, even Dahlin. Not sure how you could pick anyone else at this stage; Dahlin is already a top D in the league and both Power and Byram have #1D calibre potential.
2. CHI: the emergence of Vlasic and the addition of Levshunov, combined with the question marks with some of MTL’s and NJ’s guys is enough to elevate CHI to the #2 spot for now. Also, just the sheer volume of young D prospects with size and upside is a factor as well - Murphy, Allan, Kaiser, Del Mastro, Rinzel, Korchinski, Crevier, and a few more.
3. NJ: they had the top spot for me last year, but things are looking like they might be starting to go awry. Not saying they will, but concerns are mounting, especially on the Nemec front. I was never the biggest fan, but this just ain’t it so far. Dude might be Ryan Murray 2.0. Luke Hughes is chugging along just fine, but looks to have plateaued somewhat for now, and I’m starting to wonder if his upside is quite as high as I thought. Then they have Silayev in the system who has great upside but didn’t really build on last year - another guy who seems to have plateaued. Casey is meh. Still a strong group and I wouldn’t be surprised if they all uptick as a group next year, but I’m not sure I’d bet on it.
4. MTL: Hutson has emerged this year in spectacular fashion and that counts for a lot, but it’s one guy. The emergence of Hutson counts for a lot, but there’s too many question marks with other guys to rise on the list. Big time injury concerns with Guhle, but he’s already a proven NHL D, so that counts for a lot. The same type of thing (worse, actually) going on with Reinbacher, except he’s proven nothing yet because he simply hasn’t had the chance to. Struble looks like solid and steady D on his way to becoming a decent #4 type of guy. Xhekaj has progressed some, but not enough to raise his outlook as much more than a bottom-pairing guy, imo. Last season, the question was if he’d even be that long term. Then there’s a bunch of lottery tickets - Mailloux, Engstrom, Konyushkov. Would be great to get something out of these guys, but it’s too uncertain to factor them into the future much at this point.
HM: Utah, Columbus, Anaheim.