Jackets season in 4 stages:
0-2-0 OMG, SOJ!
11-3-4 Hey, they've rebounded, they are in the hunt. Are they for real?...when actually, they had so many games in hand that they were nicely above the PO bar at that point, just the actual points just showed them right at the bar.
16-0 OMG, we are the best team in the league...going to win President's Cup, can't wait for home ice in playoffs. How dare anyone criticize the basis of our success.
7-9-1 OMG, SOJ.
I have no idea when the current lull breaks, but it will. Probably not going to get 2nd spot in Metro, and 1st spot in Metro is getting out of reach. If you had said before season started, or even after the 11-3-4 stretch that CBJ would be fighting for 3/4 spot in Metro, with 100+ points likely, with the 4 spot being the #1 WC, most of us would have jumped for joy x3.
The fact that they went 27-3-3 was quite a feat, maybe even moreso than the the 16-game streak, as far as showing us what they COULD be. I recall thinking that at 11-5-4, with the first 2 games looking like 2015-16, that if they could somehow keep at 11-5-4 pace that would be 104 points. Guess what...they are 23-9-1 since then, which includes the current 7-9-1 skid.
They are not the most talented team in the NHL, not in top 3.
They are not the best team in the NHL, currently top 4 in points, probably top 8/10 all things considered, better than that when 72 is hot, but in a confidence/effort spin.
They are a bit too fragile - I had the same feeling CR did when CBJ blew the Ranger game in early January, cold sweat flashback to game 1 of 2015-16 season.
But this team can and has ramped it up against better opponents, even during this recent skid. Prior CBJ teams could not do that. They are not the CBJ of old, the are the CBJ of YOUNG (as in too young to not get caught up in the emotional stuff, the highs of playing PIT and NYR, the lows of playing VAN to less than a full house). I am not predicting a complete turnaround, but if they go 6-4 or 6-3-1 every ten games here out, they would be considered a solid team (even without the streak). They are still learning how to do that, even though there season record overall is above that pace. Going 4-3 every 7 games in PO wins series, even Cups. Going 1-4, followed by 6-0 means you lost the first round and won the first 6 preseason games the following year.
I almost think Torts likes the mystery of games like Sat v NJD and Thurs vs VAN - it puts his YOUNG team in adversity and he believes he can coach them out of it. If they had continued hot, he was worried how would they react to be being down 1-2 or even 1-3 in a PO series...he is getting a chance to find out early, and the kids are learning. It may be that the learning is NOT about this year's PO, but next season and next season's PO. They may not make it all the way back to solid this year, but they likely will still get in the PO, and there is so much positive and so much learning going on ... hard to comprehend that at times. I get as ****** off as EDM or even MFRONE at some of the play recently. The two Murray plays on Thurs almost had me in the ER, and had me forgetting the progress he's been showing for a while. But overall, what a great spot they are in... whether that means a PO run this year or a quick exit that creates even more fire for next year...and as they get older, they won't need as much of that fire, just consistent professionalism.
Ramblings from an old guy (sorry OG), just trying to enjoy the ride without getting too frustrated...some of this ramble is to myself, as I have started to become unglued at times the past few games. Gave myself a talking too after Thursday's game to relax a little. I don't think they will completely choke their wonderful start away, but I understand the angst many have (me included). My optimism is that they had that 11-3-3 stretch right before the 16-0 stretch. 33 games is more than just a hot streak. This 7-9-1 spin is the same number of games as that 11-3-3 stretch - The are somewhere between those two (18-12-4 would be mathematically precise), which is the equivalent to 96-97 points. That is a slightly above-average team, with so much youth and potential for the future. This wasn't supposed to be THE year; I hope it still is, but don't expect it...but future looks so much better than before.