Speculation: What Happens With Dubie?

What do happen with Pierre-Luc Dubois

  • Re-signs long term contact 6+ years

    Votes: 4 2.4%
  • Resigns Bridge Deal 3-5 years

    Votes: 36 21.8%
  • Traded this summer

    Votes: 88 53.3%
  • Accepts QO traded at Deadline

    Votes: 21 12.7%
  • Accepts QO, walks to UFA

    Votes: 15 9.1%
  • Other (explain)

    Votes: 1 0.6%

  • Total voters
    165

KingBogo

Admitted Homer
Nov 29, 2011
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Buff too was signed in Feb 2016
Mark Stuart in March 2014
Ladd would've been talked too as well before being dealt in 2016.

Ehlers was signed on Oct 4 2017 (first game of the year) not sure if that qualifies or not.

doesn't happen often really. in PLDs case, his decision might influence some other transactions for Chevy. Maybe even for the TDL.
I'm sure Chevy would have wanted to sign PLD by now. As you mentioned an extended PLD could change Chevy's thinking around the TD.
 

bustamente

Fraud Supporter
Jun 29, 2015
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Had high hopes with the way the team was going that it might sway him to sign long term but that may be wishful thinking. He has one foot out the door and I am now thinking the other follows in the off season
 

Mortimer Snerd

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I honestly think this is going to happen. It looks like he likes his teammates and usage, the team is competitive, his dad is in the org, and a bridge walks him to a big payday. Additionally, Montreal should be a competitive team by then.

I hope for 5 years but I think it will be 3.

This makes a lot of sense. But someone made the point a week or so ago that if he was willing to sign here a deal would probably have been done by now. That is not written in stone but it also makes sense. Maybe Chevy is still negotiating for longer term. Maybe his agent is pushing hard for shorter term or more money, or both. But the lack of a signing by now is not encouraging.

I still like the bridge idea but voted for walking after next season. I am hoping for the best but preparing for the worst. :laugh:

That is also why I am leaning towards a trade for someone with term. If we sign PLD we wouldn't have cap space for another big ticket player.
 

Mortimer Snerd

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I mean the Jets are winning this year, but it wasn't so long ago that the Jets, with Dubois, got knocked out by Montreal, who went to the Stanley Cup. Granted there is no Price or Weber to lead the team, but Suzuki, Caufield, Anderson, Gallagher and Armia were on that team. Canadiens have loaded up on draft picks. Finally changed their scouting staff after years of missing on picks.

St. Louis is an underrated coach. I think he could turn the Canadiens into a playoff team faster than fans think. Especially with Dubois as his #1 C.

I figure Dubois could probably get close to $10M X 8 from the Canadiens, where the Jets salary structure would have a hard time with that.

For the Jets fans, they are going to want a big return but I wouldn't be surprised if it were along the lines of Fla. 1st and Beck, maybe another prospect.

Getting Dubois could accelerate their rebuild but they have a long way to go. That PO run by Habs a couple of years ago was very flukey. Proves nothing. At least 3 years before they contend, IMO. Maybe more if they don't execute really well.

Voted with my heart for a 3-year bridge, but my head says QO offer and then walks for nought as we keep him as a rental for a playoff run.

That's what I voted for - but only because arbitration wasn't an option. I see zero chance of him signing his QO. If he is not signed, here or elsewhere, he will go to arbitration and get a lot more than 6 mil.
 

Mortimer Snerd

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With Chevy and True North we won't hear any talk of a contract until it is done. But I tend to agree with those that believe if it was going to be done it would be done by now. But I guess PLD might wait and make his decision after the season. You'd have to think Chevy has at least talked to his agent about the possibility.


Why not? He'd be the only GM that doesn't.

He would sign PLD today if it was at all possible. No way he would wait and give it the chance to slip away.
 
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DRW204

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Dec 26, 2010
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I mean the Jets are winning this year, but it wasn't so long ago that the Jets, with Dubois, got knocked out by Montreal, who went to the Stanley Cup. Granted there is no Price or Weber to lead the team, but Suzuki, Caufield, Anderson, Gallagher and Armia were on that team. Canadiens have loaded up on draft picks. Finally changed their scouting staff after years of missing on picks.

St. Louis is an underrated coach. I think he could turn the Canadiens into a playoff team faster than fans think. Especially with Dubois as his #1 C.

I figure Dubois could probably get close to $10M X 8 from the Canadiens, where the Jets salary structure would have a hard time with that.

For the Jets fans, they are going to want a big return but I wouldn't be surprised if it were along the lines of Fla. 1st and Beck, maybe another prospect.
if MTL was closer to competing, or had an influx of talent coming in i think they would be super aggressive to get PLD.

they'll be on their 2nd off-season of rebuilding since that cup finals. have people actually seen their Defensive personnel? they need tons of talent imo. In net, Montembault has had a decent season, but i don't know if he's the long-term answer. they have a few nice pieces at Fwd, but overall still need lots of help.

PLD will certainly help on the Fwd side. but w/o a good D or Goalie they aren't coming close to the POs next year either. this isn't a Rangers team in 2019 who had Shesterkin waiting in the wings, just signed Fox, high % of signing Panarin and the 2nd overall pick of a supposed blue-chip player. they could trade a late 1st+ to get Trouba with the reinforcements they had coming. MTL needs tons of work comparatively.

i think they'll muster up an offer, if the Jets don't like it MTL moves on and takes their chances in 2024.
 
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Zhamnov5GoalGame

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Jan 14, 2012
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I mean the Jets are winning this year, but it wasn't so long ago that the Jets, with Dubois, got knocked out by Montreal, who went to the Stanley Cup. Granted there is no Price or Weber to lead the team, but Suzuki, Caufield, Anderson, Gallagher and Armia were on that team. Canadiens have loaded up on draft picks. Finally changed their scouting staff after years of missing on picks.

St. Louis is an underrated coach. I think he could turn the Canadiens into a playoff team faster than fans think. Especially with Dubois as his #1 C.

I figure Dubois could probably get close to $10M X 8 from the Canadiens, where the Jets salary structure would have a hard time with that.

For the Jets fans, they are going to want a big return but I wouldn't be surprised if it were along the lines of Fla. 1st and Beck, maybe another prospect.
The Habs division for the foreseeable future is a tougher road to go than the average team.
The Habs D is a mess and I don't think they have their goalie yet.
Dubois makes them better but not likely enough to crack that Eastern path in the next year or 2.
Making the playoffs and having a shot at the Cup are two different things.
As has been pointed out many times, if not for the Canadian bubble division the Habs may have missed the playoffs that year.
 
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kylbaz

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Nov 14, 2015
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The Habs division for the foreseeable future is a tougher road to go than the average team.
The Habs D is a mess and I don't think they have their goalie yet.
Dubois makes them better but not likely enough to crack that Eastern path in the next year or 2.
Making the playoffs and having a shot at the Cup are two different things.
As has been pointed out many times, if not for the Canadian bubble division the Habs may have missed the playoffs that year.
Who knows if that even matters to him. Some guys may just be happy to play where they want.
 

Heldig

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Apr 12, 2002
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I voted a trade this summer.

My HOPE is the team's success this year - including a nice playoff run - has Dubois commit to 5 year deal.

My FEAR is he gets a qualifying offer forcing a trade to Montreal for a fraction of his value and Chevy, in order to keep at least 1 scoring C on the roster gives Scheifele a ridiculous extension that us fans treat ala wheeler contract perhaps as soon as the 1st season it kicks in.
 

DRW204

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Dec 26, 2010
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I'm sure Chevy would have wanted to sign PLD by now. As you mentioned an extended PLD could change Chevy's thinking around the TD.
do you think if the Jets were outside the PO line, PLD would be mentioned along the lines of Meier for trade targets?

pretty close to the same situation. Meier has a 10M QO, PLD can go the arbitration route and get close to that and both will be UFAs in 2024.
 

Adam da bomb

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May 1, 2016
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He would sign PLD today if it was at all possible. No way he would wait and give it the chance to slip away.
True but it’s also possible a conference finals visit changes his mind as none of us truly know what he is thinking. Just what he thought in the past, which is a good indicator of what he is still thinking. He also has competing thoughts wanting to play for a contender and wanting to play for Mtl. What matters more to him?
 
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KingBogo

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Nov 29, 2011
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do you think if the Jets were outside the PO line, PLD would be mentioned along the lines of Meier for trade targets?

pretty close to the same situation. Meier has a 10M QO, PLD can go the arbitration route and get close to that and both will be UFAs in 2024.
Yep. If we were shitting the bed this season and had fallen out of realistic playoff contention PLD would be the biggest name on the TSN trade board and Chevy would be fielding calls from every GM in contention.
 

KingBogo

Admitted Homer
Nov 29, 2011
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I voted a trade this summer.

My HOPE is the team's success this year - including a nice playoff run - has Dubois commit to 5 year deal.

My FEAR is he gets a qualifying offer forcing a trade to Montreal for a fraction of his value and Chevy, in order to keep at least 1 scoring C on the roster gives Scheifele a ridiculous extension that us fans treat ala wheeler contract perhaps as soon as the 1st season it kicks in.
Except this board way over reacted to Wheelers contract. More than 1/2 way through year 4 of a 5 year deal he is still a top 6 winger scoring at close to a PPG pace. Just about every team has 1 or 2 contracts worse than his.
 

voyageur

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Jul 10, 2011
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The Habs division for the foreseeable future is a tougher road to go than the average team.
The Habs D is a mess and I don't think they have their goalie yet.
Dubois makes them better but not likely enough to crack that Eastern path in the next year or 2.
Making the playoffs and having a shot at the Cup are two different things.
As has been pointed out many times, if not for the Canadian bubble division the Habs may have missed the playoffs that year.
I don't know at some point the top teams will bottom out. That's how the Cap world works.

Montreal's defense is probably not as bad as it looks. Guhle with Savard early in the year were holding water. Matheson has been good since returning, he's definitely a top 4 d-man, and Guhle and Savard are too. Question is can Justin Barron become one? I'd say there is a chance he fills that spot, and then you have Jordan Harris and our Kovacevic, who have held their own this year. I get the sense that Barron was the player that held up a potential draft day trade, but that's just speculation.

Forwards on Montreal have been trash this year outside of a few. They will get rid of a few duds. Still stuck with the Gallagher contract that doesn't age well. But Dach was a good pickup for them. Obviously they would have a better PP with a player like Dubois, I think most teams would feel that way.

Canadiens are going to cash in on some more picks this year with Edmunson and Monahan likely traded.

2024 is where I see the Canadiens prospective talent pushing them into a competitive place. If Cayden Primeau can't become a starting goalie they are going to have to look elsewhere. 2024 is also when the Jets future becomes a complete mystery. Probably not enough prospects to replace players departing...and then question of who stays and who goes is important too.
 

Mortimer Snerd

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True but it’s also possible a conference finals visit changes his mind as none of us truly know what he is thinking. Just what he thought in the past, which is a good indicator of what he is still thinking. He also has competing thoughts wanting to play for a contender and wanting to play for Mtl. What matters more to him?

Also true.

I am just setting myself up to be pleasantly surprised if he signs with us. We can't rule anything out at this point.
 

ps241

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Except this board way over reacted to Wheelers contract. More than 1/2 way through year 4 of a 5 year deal he is still a top 6 winger scoring at close to a PPG pace. Just about every team has 1 or 2 contracts worse than his.

Wheeler isn’t what he once was but he has been solidly productive on this contract especially when you compare it with the total boat anchor deals so many other teams have. He has not fallen off a cliff like many feared.
 

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