The guy is likely not going to get a job again because of the stuff at the end, and was a really wierd hiring and probably shouldn't have had a GM job in the first place, but I think he gets way too much of a bad rap. Rather than "proceed to lay a turd" it's more like he wasn't able to polish a turd into gold. Again not a guy that should have gotten hired to GM right off the bat but when he did he kind of became the target for all the anti-analytical sentiment in the NHL community getting way more attention than he deserved generating a lot of indeterminable screeching noises. Like right in this threat there's a lot of hostile 'thought he was the smartest guy in the room' comments, how is that something quantifiable?
Perhaps the best case in point, it's now 3 seasons since he was fired and the coyotes are still just as shitty. How often do you hear about them now that Chayka isn't the GM? Do people even know how the Coyotes GM is now? I sure as hell don't.
From what I recall, he got a lot of flak for the Strome & Perlini for Schmaltz trade, but in the long run that's actually turned out well for them. His drafting was ragged on but Keller has brought it to another level this season and Hayton is looking like much less of a bust. On the positive side he did a good job revamping the Coyotes blueline and goaltending, but on the negative the Hall and Kessel acquisitions were busts. Overall, sounds like a pretty average GM resume that wouldn't get much distinction if he was a 60 year old from the old boys club rather than a 25 year old analyitics wiz kid.
I got curious so I looked at his body of work.... drafts, trades, signings.
Where were the Coyotes before he arrived in May 5th 2016?
24th in 2015-16, 29th in 2014-15, 18th in 2013-14, 19th in 2012-13
So, they were going into a wall. Their roster standouts? 24 years old OEL was their leading scorer. Domi was a 52 pts scorer 20 years old (nice!), Doan on the verge of retiring, 20 years old Duclair had 44 pts... 33 years old Mike Smith in goals with Domingue, Lindback playing as backups.
What were some of Chayka's bigger acquisitions? I skipped "useless" ones, but kept significant contributors to big W's and big L's.
- Acquired Goligoski for a 5th: Goligoski put up 152 pts in 372 games for the Coyotes, and was within -10 to +10 every year except one horrid -31 year. I'd call that a win
- Acquired Datsyuk's contract to move up 4 positions and nabbed Jakob Chychrun. Besides Tage Thompson, nothing great came out of the rest of that 1st round. I'd call that a win.
- Acquired Deangelo for a 37th OA pick. He then Tony D and a 1st quickly after for Ranta and Stepan.
Debatable. Tony D for a 2nd is a steal, but idk why he got traded shortly after, being unable to reign Tony D in would be a L. Also trading him and a high 1st for Ranta and Stepan was a steep price - even though Ranta and Stepan gave good hockey to the Coyotes.
- Acquired Dave Bolland and Lawson Crouse for 2nd and 3rd round picks (conditional). That's a win, Crouse is still on the Coyotes and a solid NHLer.
- Acquired Minnesota's 1st, 2nd and 4th against Martin hanzal and Ryan White and a 4th. Well, Hanzal stopped playing hockey 3 years later (65 games over that span). White was a grinder/goon. Clear W.
- Traded Mike Smith away for essentially a 3rd rounder. I think that's a clear L. Especially since it was same day as the Stepan/Raanta acquisitions.
- Traded away Duclair for Panik and Dauphin. Clear L due to Duclair breaking out just a few years later. But like Tony D, were there rumours of character issues? Maybe Chayka was too green to handle more "difficult" prospects?
- Acquired Kuemper for Rieder and Wedgewood. Big W. He had solid, SOLID years in Arizona AND they were able to flip him for a solid package (Timmins, 1st rounder, 3rd)
- Acquired Alex Galchenyuk vs Max Domi. L there, Domi continues to be a solid NHL forward while Galchenyuk has been in and out of the league for years. Again though, Domi is a "strong" character... a trend seems to be forming in his L's.
- Acquired Nick Schmaltz for Perlini and D. Strome.: A tight? They both seem to have become solid players.
- Moved up in the draft by 3 spots to grab Victor Soderstrom. Flyers picked Cam York with the pick and Egor Afanasyev. Too early to tell, but seems like a L just because Sodestrom doesn't seem like he was worth moving up for... and Chayka missed Caufield/Boldy/Knight.
- Kessel for Galchenyuk and Joseph. Jury is out on Joseph... could be a bad one. But Kessel gave it 3 good years in Arizona.
- Hall vs N. Merkley, Shnarr, 1st rounder, 3rd rounder. Meh, it was a "going all in" year it seems for the Coyotes. They fell flat but good try, he didn't pay that much more than other usual rentals did he?
Overall, you can clearly see a pattern to his losing trades - talented young prospects with rumoured "character issues". Definitely, he wasn't able to recoup decent long term value for them, but perhaps it was a result of those rumours that made them not valuable.
Now, for draft picks, what did the Coyotes end up with, or drafted and traded, from his era?
- Clayton Keller (7th OA, 2016)
- Jakob Chychrun (16th OA, 2016)
- PO Joseph (23 OA, 2017)
- Barrett Hayton (5th OA, 2018)
- Jan Jenik (65th OA, 2018)
- Ivan Prosvetov (114th OA, 2018)
- Victor Soderstrom (11th Oa, 2019)
- Matias Maccelli (98th OA, 2019)
- Kevin Bahl (55th OA, 2018)
Granted, a lot of them are still very young, but that looks like the most promising (with 2020 the Coyotes didn't have a pick in the first 3 rounds).
Overall his first round seems like it hits, but besides Keller no game breaking talent. Seems like an average drafter.
Signatures?
He seemed pretty high on the futures. Signed OEL, Keller, Schmaltz, Chychrun to long-ish terms contracts. OEL stands out like a sore thumb, but Keller and Schmaltz could end up solid value for the Coyotes.
For what it's worth, I think he left the Coyotes in a better spot than when he took over, with solid foundations to build on. Their core pieces of Keller, Schmaltz, Maccelli, Crouse, Hayton, perhaps future goalie Prosvetov and Soderstrom are all from his acquisitions/drafting. Current management also uses a lot of his acquired/drafted/developed assets to fasten the rebuild.
But, Current management also seems a bit more savy in navigating the cap and getting value for it as an asset - perhaps better in GM to GM relationships.
Still, Stepan returned a 2nd, Garland and OEL (+ cap space
), returned a 9th OA and 47 OA picks, Kuemper go them Timmins, 32nd OA and a 3rd, a 1st 2nd and 2nd for Chychrun.
Overall, he wasn't the worst GM in the world, nor was he especially good. It's a shame that he did some unethical stuff, because at his age, he could have learned a lot from his mistakes and had a lot more time to grow than most GMs