ChaosAgent
Registered User
- May 8, 2018
- 17,956
- 12,222
I want to preempt this by calling it "childishly naive."
But: this year's Malkin is nowhere near a $9.5M player. His net impact has been average; average is a $4M player. 2018-2019 Malkin is a $4M player getting paid $9.5M. In the past including last year, he easily exceeded that number - his value was around $15M or so. In my mind, $9.5M is the going rate for a league-average 1C (think like Giroux or Backstrom). By the end of this year, we should have clarity on whether or not Malkin can get back to the level of a league-average 1C or not. I'm optimistic he can, especially watching him play last night. But if he continues to be terrible this year...
I wouldn't want to trade him, I think he'd block virtually anything given his NMC. I'd sit him down and ask him about Russia: would he rather be with his family there or not? I don't think the money is more appealing in Russia anymore as the Ruble fell by 50% against the dollar in the last 5 years - bet this is why Ilya Kovalchuk came back - but maybe it makes sense for Geno and his family anyway.
I wouldn't want to do this, but I'm just pointing out that I'd trade the Geno we have gotten so far this year for 3 years of $9.5M extra cap space straight up.
But: this year's Malkin is nowhere near a $9.5M player. His net impact has been average; average is a $4M player. 2018-2019 Malkin is a $4M player getting paid $9.5M. In the past including last year, he easily exceeded that number - his value was around $15M or so. In my mind, $9.5M is the going rate for a league-average 1C (think like Giroux or Backstrom). By the end of this year, we should have clarity on whether or not Malkin can get back to the level of a league-average 1C or not. I'm optimistic he can, especially watching him play last night. But if he continues to be terrible this year...
I wouldn't want to trade him, I think he'd block virtually anything given his NMC. I'd sit him down and ask him about Russia: would he rather be with his family there or not? I don't think the money is more appealing in Russia anymore as the Ruble fell by 50% against the dollar in the last 5 years - bet this is why Ilya Kovalchuk came back - but maybe it makes sense for Geno and his family anyway.
I wouldn't want to do this, but I'm just pointing out that I'd trade the Geno we have gotten so far this year for 3 years of $9.5M extra cap space straight up.