Reading the posts in this thread has reminded me of how Dubnyk got treated on these boards. A good goalie with lots of potential that is on a bad team with terrible defence. Once Dubnyk got traded to a decent team (Minnie), people started to realize that he's a pretty good goalie and stopped herping the derp on him. Similar situation with Markstrom.
What happened with Dubnyk's stints with Nashville and Arizona?
Not sure how you can compare Dubnyk before he left Edmonton and Markstrom today?
Markstrom - NHL
2010-2016 83GP .904 S%
2010/11 1GP .857 S%
2011/12 7GP .923 S%
2012/13 23GP .901 S%
2013/14 16GP .873 S%
2014/15 3GP .879 S%
2015/16 32GP .915 S%
Dubnyk - NHL with Oilers
2009-2014 EDM 173GP .909 S%
2009/10 EDM 19GP .889 S%
2010/11 EDM 35GP .916 S%
2011/12 EDM 47GP .914 S%
2012/13 EDM 38GP .921 S%
2013/14 EDM 32GP .894 S%
2013/14 NSH 2GP .850 S%
2014/15 MIN 39GP .936 S%
2015/16 MIN 67GP .918 S%
If you see here Dubnyk actually played very solid for Edmonton, but he had a very bad 32 game stint once they named him our starter... not sure what went wrong - likely coaching and loss of confidence. Then the buffoons traded him... with 50% retention. I think Dubbie was another victim of Eakins coaching.
If you look at Dubnyk 2010-2013 stats with Edmonton (looking past his rookie campaign), it was almost identical to last year's stats with MIN (a much better defensive team). You could say his stats in Edmonton were better than he achieved last year with MIN, because of the defensive strength of the team infront of him. Take away 2013/14 (three quarters of a season- very bad) and 2014/15 (half a season - very good) and you have a .918 S% goalie on what you could arguably say the majority of the games were played with a worse D than VAN had last year. If MIN paid Dubnyk based on his 39GP in 2014/15 he would have been the highest paid goalie in the NHL.
If you look at Markstrom 2011-2016 (looking past his rookie campaign), he looks like a sub .910 S% goalie. I realize he had a good 2nd half last year and put up some decent numbers in spite of playing behind a Dline with many injuries, but it seems premature to give Markstrom a contract like this, a full year before he becomes a UFA, especially considering his struggles in the NHL before a 32 game stint where he performed much higher than the rest of his NHL experience.
IF Markstrom performs to the level we saw last year then this contract will be alright. Like I said, it just seems a bit premature.
I have also seen a lot of hopes put on Demko, whose College stats look incredible and you have reason to be excited about him as a prospect, but be very careful... there is great disparity in College hockey and he played on a powerhouse. I know you are hoping for another Schneider (without the trade)... but you should wait to see how his game translates professionally before already anointing him your starter in 3 years. And, yes, this coming from an Oiler fan who has witnessed much hype about of many players who have... well, let's just say "they ain't what they were supposed to be". Hellebuyck's game transferred well, O'Connor struggled in the AHL last year with .895 S%. Demko looks solid but a little early to be crowning him.