OEL cap penalty is 2.35m. It’s not some boogyman you can scare me with. The two subsequent years are the big ones. Next year is a pretty minor annoyance.
It is a thing that is getting worse than it was this year. Also the two years after that affect the contracts you are signing next summer if the contracts are longer than 1 year.
Over 40m and open roster spots throughout the entire line-up. That’s the only thing we know for certain right now.
You actually need to sign players there, and UFAs are not an efficient way to build.
Obviously they were able to do it this year with insane level of success. To expect this hit rate to continue is IMO unreasonable.
Also, this isn’t a career year for the last 5 players you listed. It’s also Joshua’s 2nd year in the league and Lafferty was tracking identically last season.
He is LITERALLY doubling his career shooting%.
You said the same thing about Miller two seasons ago…
I have been consistently wrong about Miller.
Of course I think there will be some regression but where it will come from and what the roster look like? I have no idea.
Sorry but... this isn't contributing anything to the conversation.
We all are making our predictions based on the information we currently have. With new information I will do my best to adjust my opinion.
TLDR;
As it currently stands, there are extremely loud statistical signs that we are due to regress. Also our cap situation is about to get a lot more tricky.
Also want to add;
I wont be shocked if our management actually pulls it off. They did incredible work post Kuzmenko extension ( and I feel they did an incredibly job addressing that mistake with the Lindholm trade). Pretty much every single move has been fantastic short & long term.
It's really easy to commit to saying there will be a regression next year when we are 1st place.
I think it's puzzling to look at this team and not think we will be fighting for 1st in the Pacific the next few years though.
We are having an everything goes right season but that isn't indicating we are a one and done.
I think it will be shocking levels of regression to the folk who are more optimistic about our future.
I would expect us to make the playoffs again tho. So I am not predicting one and done.