Useless Thread MDCLXVIII: Call Your Parents, Tell Them You Love Them
- Thread starter Bones Malone
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irunthepeg
Board man gets paid
irunthepeg
Board man gets paid
olli quac did u see how I was down by 5 points going into last night's SNF and then my opponent had Jamison Crowder and I had Robert Kelley so after RK's first TD I thought I was good but then Crowder had one and then almost a second and I was ****ed but then RK had a 2nd TD and brought me back into it then a huge run and got me the W but a 3rd TD just to cap it off 
irunthepeg
Board man gets paid
Pharrell Williams
watch me whip and nae nae
Pharrell Williams
watch me whip and nae nae
Pharrell Williams
watch me whip and nae nae
i could have a bigger lead if i had started JIMMY GRAHAM over TYLER EIFERT and DION LEWIS over ISAIAH CROWELL
irunthepeg
Board man gets paid
irunthepeg
Board man gets paid
Pharrell Williams
watch me whip and nae nae
Pharrell Williams
watch me whip and nae nae
i just realized jacksonville is only 2-8 i thought they were finna turn things around this season
Pharrell Williams
watch me whip and nae nae
irunthepeg
Board man gets paid
Pharrell Williams
watch me whip and nae nae
Finnish your Czech
J'aime Les offres hostiles
irunthepeg
Board man gets paid
Pharrell Williams
watch me whip and nae nae
Finnish your Czech
J'aime Les offres hostiles
I've been extremely busy th past couple weeks
Driving in the snow was very hard 2day
Pharrell Williams
watch me whip and nae nae
irunthepeg
Board man gets paid
Pharrell Williams
watch me whip and nae nae
FiveThirtyEight
UPDATED 11:48 PM EST | NOV 20, 2016
2016 NFL Predictions
For the regular season and playoffs, updated after every game
More NFL: Forecast methodology | Every team’s Elo history
Week
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
Week 11 Games
THU
NOV. 17
SUN
NOV. 20
MON
NOV. 21
Away team
NO
ARI
BAL
BUF
CHI
JAX
PIT
TB
TEN
MIA
NE
PHI
GB
HOU
Pre-game win probabilities
31% 46% 25% 44% 25% 17% 74% 16% 31% 44% 82% 27% 36% 50%
69% 54% 75% 56% 75% 83% 26% 84% 69% 56% 18% 73% 64% 50%
Home team
CAR
MIN
DAL
CIN
NYG
DET
CLE
KC
IND
LA
SF
SEA
WSH
OAK
Win probabilitiesElo point spreads
Team-By-Team Forecast
AVERAGE SIMULATED SEASON PLAYOFF CHANCES
ELO RATING
1-WEEK CHANGE TEAM DIVISION
WINS
LOSSES
POINT DIFF.
MAKE PLAYOFFS
WIN DIVISION
FIRST ROUND BYE
WIN SUPER BOWL
1676
+13
SEA-logo Seattle7-2-1 NFC West 11.6 3.4 +101.3 99% 98% 84% 20%
1663
+9
NE-logo New England8-2 AFC East 12.2 3.8 +135.0 97% 91% 86% 19%
1639
-21
KC-logo Kansas City7-3 AFC West 10.8 5.2 +63.9 85% 47% 35% 10%
1625
+11
DAL-logo Dallas9-1 NFC East 12.8 3.2 +125.0 98% 83% 78% 14%
1623
DEN-logo Denver7-3 AFC West 10.7 5.3 +75.0 78% 31% 29% 8%
1563
+8
CAR-logo Carolina4-6 NFC South 7.0 9.0 -0.8 9% 6% <1% <1%
1559
+18
BUF-logo Buffalo5-5 AFC East 9.0 7.0 +74.6 29% 1% <1% 1%
1555
ATL-logo Atlanta6-4 NFC South 9.6 6.4 +57.3 78% 75% 8% 3%
1554
-18
ARI-logo Arizona4-5-1 NFC West 7.0 8.0 +35.7 12% 2% <1% <1%
1554
+18
MIN-logo Minnesota6-4 NFC North 9.7 6.3 +52.2 65% 49% 9% 3%
1548
+20
WSH-logo Washington6-3-1 NFC East 8.9 6.0 +19.5 56% 5% 4% 2%
1545
-13
PHI-logo Philadelphia5-5 NFC East 8.4 7.6 +67.6 27% 1% <1% <1%
1536
+13
PIT-logo Pittsburgh5-5 AFC North 8.4 7.5 +39.5 55% 54% 1% 2%
1535
HOU-logo Houston6-3 AFC South 10.2 5.7 -0.8 87% 86% 24% 4%
1533
OAK-logo Oakland7-2 AFC West 10.3 5.7 +16.3 67% 21% 19% 3%
1531
+6
DET-logo Detroit6-4 NFC North 9.2 6.8 +13.3 58% 46% 7% 2%
1521
+9
NYG-logo N.Y. Giants7-3 NFC East 9.9 6.1 +1.2 66% 11% 8% 2%
1509
+18
MIA-logo Miami6-4 AFC East 9.0 7.0 +2.0 32% 7% 4% 1%
1500
-18
CIN-logo Cincinnati3-6-1 AFC North 6.2 8.8 -18.8 15% 15% <1% <1%
1494
+12
IND-logo Indianapolis5-5 AFC South 8.0 8.0 -9.3 19% 12% <1% <1%
1474
-20
GB-logo Green Bay4-6 NFC North 6.5 9.5 -46.8 6% 4% <1% <1%
1473
-11
BAL-logo Baltimore5-5 AFC North 7.5 8.5 -6.4 32% 31% <1% <1%
1470
-8
NO-logo New Orleans4-6 NFC South 6.8 9.2 -8.8 10% 8% <1% <1%
1460
NYJ-logo N.Y. Jets3-7 AFC East 5.6 10.4 -78.5 <1% <1% <1% <1%
1456
+21
TB-logo Tampa Bay5-5 NFC South 7.3 8.7 -47.7 15% 11% <1% <1%
1454
SD-logo San Diego4-6 AFC West 6.6 9.3 +1.8 1% <1% <1% <1%
1447
-18
LA-logo Los Angeles4-6 NFC West 6.3 9.7 -62.3 1% <1% <1% <1%
1392
-12
TEN-logo Tennessee5-6 AFC South 6.8 9.2 -20.0 3% 1% <1% <1%
1375
-9
CHI-logo Chicago2-8 NFC North 4.5 11.5 -99.1 <1% <1% <1% <1%
1320
-9
SF-logo San Francisco1-9 NFC West 2.5 13.5 -162.9 <1% <1% <1% <1%
1312
-6
JAX-logo Jacksonville2-8 AFC South 3.4 12.6 -127.4 <1% <1% <1% <1%
1263
-13
CLE-logo Cleveland0-11 AFC North 1.1 14.9 -191.7 <1% <1% — <1%
Forecast from
How this works: Our forecast is based on 100,000 simulations of the season and updates after every game. Our model uses Elo ratings (a measure of strength based on head-to-head results and quality of opponent) to calculate teams’ chances of winning their regular-season games and advancing to and through the playoffs. Full methodology »
By Jay Boice and Nate Silver. Additional contributions from Aaron Bycoffe, Ritchie King and K****ij Aranke.
RELATED STORIES
How Randall Cunningham Taught NFL Quarterbacks To Fly
How Randall Cunningham Taught NFL Quarterbacks To Fly
More NFL Teams Are Going For Two — Just As They Should Be
More NFL Teams Are Going For Two — Just As They Should Be
The Eagles Should Be Better Than 4-4
The Eagles Should Be Better Than 4-4
Dak Prescott Is Already Playing About As Well As Tony Romo Ever Has
Dak Prescott Is Already Playing About As Well As Tony Romo Ever Has
Matt Ryan Is Our Midseason MVP
Matt Ryan Is Our Midseason MVP
COMMENTSAdd Comment
Get more FiveThirtyEight
Newsletter
Podcasts
Twitter
Facebook
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RSS
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Jobs
Masthead
Privacy and Terms of Service
UPDATED 11:48 PM EST | NOV 20, 2016
2016 NFL Predictions
For the regular season and playoffs, updated after every game
More NFL: Forecast methodology | Every team’s Elo history
Week
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
Week 11 Games
THU
NOV. 17
SUN
NOV. 20
MON
NOV. 21
Away team
NO
ARI
BAL
BUF
CHI
JAX
PIT
TB
TEN
MIA
NE
PHI
GB
HOU
Pre-game win probabilities
31% 46% 25% 44% 25% 17% 74% 16% 31% 44% 82% 27% 36% 50%
69% 54% 75% 56% 75% 83% 26% 84% 69% 56% 18% 73% 64% 50%
Home team
CAR
MIN
DAL
CIN
NYG
DET
CLE
KC
IND
LA
SF
SEA
WSH
OAK
Win probabilitiesElo point spreads
Team-By-Team Forecast
AVERAGE SIMULATED SEASON PLAYOFF CHANCES
ELO RATING
1-WEEK CHANGE TEAM DIVISION
WINS
LOSSES
POINT DIFF.
MAKE PLAYOFFS
WIN DIVISION
FIRST ROUND BYE
WIN SUPER BOWL
1676
+13
SEA-logo Seattle7-2-1 NFC West 11.6 3.4 +101.3 99% 98% 84% 20%
1663
+9
NE-logo New England8-2 AFC East 12.2 3.8 +135.0 97% 91% 86% 19%
1639
-21
KC-logo Kansas City7-3 AFC West 10.8 5.2 +63.9 85% 47% 35% 10%
1625
+11
DAL-logo Dallas9-1 NFC East 12.8 3.2 +125.0 98% 83% 78% 14%
1623
DEN-logo Denver7-3 AFC West 10.7 5.3 +75.0 78% 31% 29% 8%
1563
+8
CAR-logo Carolina4-6 NFC South 7.0 9.0 -0.8 9% 6% <1% <1%
1559
+18
BUF-logo Buffalo5-5 AFC East 9.0 7.0 +74.6 29% 1% <1% 1%
1555
ATL-logo Atlanta6-4 NFC South 9.6 6.4 +57.3 78% 75% 8% 3%
1554
-18
ARI-logo Arizona4-5-1 NFC West 7.0 8.0 +35.7 12% 2% <1% <1%
1554
+18
MIN-logo Minnesota6-4 NFC North 9.7 6.3 +52.2 65% 49% 9% 3%
1548
+20
WSH-logo Washington6-3-1 NFC East 8.9 6.0 +19.5 56% 5% 4% 2%
1545
-13
PHI-logo Philadelphia5-5 NFC East 8.4 7.6 +67.6 27% 1% <1% <1%
1536
+13
PIT-logo Pittsburgh5-5 AFC North 8.4 7.5 +39.5 55% 54% 1% 2%
1535
HOU-logo Houston6-3 AFC South 10.2 5.7 -0.8 87% 86% 24% 4%
1533
OAK-logo Oakland7-2 AFC West 10.3 5.7 +16.3 67% 21% 19% 3%
1531
+6
DET-logo Detroit6-4 NFC North 9.2 6.8 +13.3 58% 46% 7% 2%
1521
+9
NYG-logo N.Y. Giants7-3 NFC East 9.9 6.1 +1.2 66% 11% 8% 2%
1509
+18
MIA-logo Miami6-4 AFC East 9.0 7.0 +2.0 32% 7% 4% 1%
1500
-18
CIN-logo Cincinnati3-6-1 AFC North 6.2 8.8 -18.8 15% 15% <1% <1%
1494
+12
IND-logo Indianapolis5-5 AFC South 8.0 8.0 -9.3 19% 12% <1% <1%
1474
-20
GB-logo Green Bay4-6 NFC North 6.5 9.5 -46.8 6% 4% <1% <1%
1473
-11
BAL-logo Baltimore5-5 AFC North 7.5 8.5 -6.4 32% 31% <1% <1%
1470
-8
NO-logo New Orleans4-6 NFC South 6.8 9.2 -8.8 10% 8% <1% <1%
1460
NYJ-logo N.Y. Jets3-7 AFC East 5.6 10.4 -78.5 <1% <1% <1% <1%
1456
+21
TB-logo Tampa Bay5-5 NFC South 7.3 8.7 -47.7 15% 11% <1% <1%
1454
SD-logo San Diego4-6 AFC West 6.6 9.3 +1.8 1% <1% <1% <1%
1447
-18
LA-logo Los Angeles4-6 NFC West 6.3 9.7 -62.3 1% <1% <1% <1%
1392
-12
TEN-logo Tennessee5-6 AFC South 6.8 9.2 -20.0 3% 1% <1% <1%
1375
-9
CHI-logo Chicago2-8 NFC North 4.5 11.5 -99.1 <1% <1% <1% <1%
1320
-9
SF-logo San Francisco1-9 NFC West 2.5 13.5 -162.9 <1% <1% <1% <1%
1312
-6
JAX-logo Jacksonville2-8 AFC South 3.4 12.6 -127.4 <1% <1% <1% <1%
1263
-13
CLE-logo Cleveland0-11 AFC North 1.1 14.9 -191.7 <1% <1% — <1%
Forecast from
How this works: Our forecast is based on 100,000 simulations of the season and updates after every game. Our model uses Elo ratings (a measure of strength based on head-to-head results and quality of opponent) to calculate teams’ chances of winning their regular-season games and advancing to and through the playoffs. Full methodology »
By Jay Boice and Nate Silver. Additional contributions from Aaron Bycoffe, Ritchie King and K****ij Aranke.
RELATED STORIES
How Randall Cunningham Taught NFL Quarterbacks To Fly
How Randall Cunningham Taught NFL Quarterbacks To Fly
More NFL Teams Are Going For Two — Just As They Should Be
More NFL Teams Are Going For Two — Just As They Should Be
The Eagles Should Be Better Than 4-4
The Eagles Should Be Better Than 4-4
Dak Prescott Is Already Playing About As Well As Tony Romo Ever Has
Dak Prescott Is Already Playing About As Well As Tony Romo Ever Has
Matt Ryan Is Our Midseason MVP
Matt Ryan Is Our Midseason MVP
COMMENTSAdd Comment
Get more FiveThirtyEight
Newsletter
Podcasts
Github
RSS
Contact
Jobs
Masthead
Privacy and Terms of Service
Pharrell Williams
watch me whip and nae nae
irunthepeg
Board man gets paid
irunthepeg
Board man gets paid
Pharrell Williams
watch me whip and nae nae
- Status
